Pairwise course analysis
Bouchard Park 5Kvs.Brooks School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Brooks School 5K runs slower
+4.25%
Roughly 51.0 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
121
Deep evidence
Median difference
+5.74%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+4.25%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.89%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Brooks School 5K fasterEvenBrooks School 5K slower
Confidence interval
+5.20% to +7.65%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Bouchard Park 5K | Brooks School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anika Ata | 2024 | 26:09.001 race | 22:02.001 race | -15.74% |
| Cally Garth | 2021 | 29:13.401 race | 26:38.001 race | -8.86% |
| Oliver Colbert | 2025 | 25:09.001 race | 23:22.151 race | -7.08% |
| Lucas Lu | 2021 | 24:00.501 race | 22:19.001 race | -7.05% |
| Allen Xia | 2021 | 23:20.801 race | 22:23.001 race | -4.13% |
| Camryn Flessel | 2021 | 22:47.301 race | 22:11.001 race | -2.65% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2021 | 20:42.101 race | 20:14.001 race | -2.26% |
| Brianna Boucher | 2021 | 25:22.101 race | 24:52.001 race | -1.98% |
| James McCarron III | 2021 | 17:20.901 race | 17:09.001 race | -1.14% |
| Mae Lial | 2021 | 25:22.601 race | 25:10.001 race | -0.83% |
| James (JJ) Oldershaw | 2021 | 19:37.801 race | 19:29.001 race | -0.75% |
| Ryan Growney | 2021 | 20:14.201 race | 20:06.001 race | -0.68% |
| Nolan McNeil | 2023 | 21:42.001 race | 21:34.001 race | -0.61% |
| Catherine (Cate) Wacholz | 2021 | 24:51.501 race | 24:45.001 race | -0.44% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2021 | 24:49.901 race | 24:44.001 race | -0.40% |
| Bric Ridder | 2021 | 23:06.201 race | 23:02.001 race | -0.30% |
| Riley Eyman | 2021 | 23:06.501 race | 23:03.001 race | -0.25% |
| Oscar King | 2021 | 18:03.001 race | 18:02.001 race | -0.09% |
| Eva Zhao | 2024 | 29:08.001 race | 29:11.001 race | +0.17% |
| Bennett Jones | 2022 | 18:21.001 race | 18:25.001 race | +0.36% |
| Parker Lial | 2021 | 24:29.601 race | 24:36.001 race | +0.44% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2023 | 25:35.001 race | 25:48.001 race | +0.85% |
| Celine Ding | 2024 | 27:57.001 race | 28:14.001 race | +1.01% |
| Bennett Walker | 2021 | 32:05.401 race | 32:26.001 race | +1.07% |
| Theo Martin | 2024 | 23:01.001 race | 23:24.001 race | +1.67% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:00.001 race | 23:23.001 race | +1.67% |
| Dylan Zaterka | 2022 | 19:26.001 race | 19:49.001 race | +1.97% |
| Robert Sou | 2024 | 20:00.001 race | 20:34.001 race | +2.83% |
| Collette Noordzij | 2021 | 24:24.501 race | 25:08.001 race | +2.97% |
| Marvelous Ugwu | 2024 | 25:15.001 race | 26:01.001 race | +3.04% |
| Jacob Snell | 2022 | 18:33.001 race | 19:09.001 race | +3.23% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 17:27.001 race | 18:02.001 race | +3.34% |
| Allison Luo | 2024 | 22:21.001 race | 23:06.001 race | +3.36% |
| Sue Hayashi | 2024 | 24:51.001 race | 25:42.001 race | +3.42% |
| Emme Salyer | 2023 | 23:13.001 race | 24:02.001 race | +3.52% |
| James Nichols-Worley | 2022 | 20:08.001 race | 20:51.001 race | +3.56% |
| Sita Warner | 2022 | 24:00.001 race | 24:53.001 race | +3.68% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 16:52.001 race | 17:31.001 race | +3.85% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 18:28.001 race | 19:13.001 race | +4.06% |
| Jessica Wu | 2024 | 26:11.001 race | 27:16.001 race | +4.14% |
| Anthony Billings | 2024 | 21:14.001 race | 22:07.001 race | +4.16% |
| AJ Gorman | 2022 | 17:09.001 race | 17:53.001 race | +4.28% |
| Daghan Konur | 2024 | 19:21.001 race | 20:12.001 race | +4.39% |
| Skye Connell | 2021 | 22:27.201 race | 23:27.001 race | +4.44% |
| Toby Harrison | 2025 | 18:07.501 race | 18:56.021 race | +4.46% |
| Julian Vidal | 2025 | 20:29.001 race | 21:24.501 race | +4.52% |
| Condy Bao | 2022 | 19:52.001 race | 20:46.001 race | +4.53% |
| Lincoln Hyatt | 2025 | 17:42.801 race | 18:31.341 race | +4.57% |
| Alexei Liska | 2024 | 20:57.001 race | 21:55.001 race | +4.61% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 19:29.001 race | 20:24.001 race | +4.70% |
| Casey Coleman | 2024 | 19:34.001 race | 20:32.001 race | +4.94% |
| Alex Young | 2023 | 17:50.001 race | 18:43.001 race | +4.95% |
| Ben Romano | 2025 | 20:17.601 race | 21:18.271 race | +4.98% |
| Sam Blank | 2023 | 19:53.001 race | 20:53.001 race | +5.03% |
| Dylan Fu | 2024 | 19:22.001 race | 20:21.001 race | +5.08% |
| Camille Destefano | 2023 | 27:35.001 race | 29:00.001 race | +5.14% |
| Maggie Cabot | 2024 | 21:39.001 race | 22:48.001 race | +5.31% |
| Cassidy Bruno | 2024 | 20:07.001 race | 21:13.001 race | +5.47% |
| Anya Carroll | 2025 | 27:24.401 race | 28:55.001 race | +5.51% |
| Steve Ma | 2024 | 21:20.001 race | 22:32.001 race | +5.62% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2023 | 18:18.001 race | 19:21.001 race | +5.74% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2023 | 23:33.001 race | 24:57.001 race | +5.94% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2023 | 23:35.001 race | 25:03.001 race | +6.22% |
| Nick Glaeser | 2025 | 22:08.601 race | 23:32.581 race | +6.32% |
| Martin Erath | 2024 | 18:50.001 race | 20:02.001 race | +6.37% |
| Max Liang | 2024 | 21:19.001 race | 22:41.001 race | +6.41% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 21:12.001 race | 22:34.001 race | +6.45% |
| Liam Walsh | 2025 | 16:54.301 race | 18:02.091 race | +6.68% |
| Fin Reichard | 2025 | 18:57.101 race | 20:13.331 race | +6.70% |
| Lucy Wu | 2024 | 29:47.001 race | 31:47.001 race | +6.72% |
| Julian Barber | 2024 | 21:04.001 race | 22:30.001 race | +6.80% |
| Eric Archerman | 2025 | 17:29.601 race | 18:41.781 race | +6.88% |
| Pipsa Palatsi | 2024 | 21:50.001 race | 23:25.001 race | +7.25% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 17:49.001 race | 19:07.001 race | +7.30% |
| Terry Qi | 2024 | 19:10.001 race | 20:36.001 race | +7.48% |
| Leighton Glass | 2024 | 20:34.001 race | 22:07.001 race | +7.54% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 23:48.001 race | 25:40.001 race | +7.84% |
| Colin Bradley | 2025 | 17:34.601 race | 18:58.151 race | +7.92% |
| Jasper Hyatt | 2025 | 20:42.301 race | 22:20.911 race | +7.94% |
| Jasmine Zhang | 2022 | 23:43.001 race | 25:36.001 race | +7.94% |
| Sunny Qian | 2024 | 20:27.001 race | 22:07.001 race | +8.15% |
| Alex DeChiara | 2024 | 20:22.001 race | 22:06.001 race | +8.51% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 21:38.001 race | +8.62% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 18:26.001 race | 20:10.001 race | +9.40% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 21:23.001 race | 23:26.001 race | +9.59% |
| Alison Leiva | 2023 | 30:41.001 race | 33:40.001 race | +9.72% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 22:43.001 race | 24:56.001 race | +9.76% |
| Keira McNeil | 2023 | 28:50.001 race | 31:39.001 race | +9.77% |
| Emma Schillinger | 2022 | 23:54.001 race | 26:15.001 race | +9.83% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 17:45.701 race | 19:34.001 race | +10.16% |
| Alex Kovtenenko | 2025 | 19:15.401 race | 21:15.001 race | +10.35% |
| Henry Orraca-Cecil | 2024 | 18:48.001 race | 20:46.001 race | +10.46% |
| James Kerr | 2025 | 15:44.701 race | 17:23.601 race | +10.47% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 15:56.601 race | 17:37.001 race | +10.50% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 18:50.701 race | 20:50.001 race | +10.55% |
| Justin Jang | 2023 | 18:27.001 race | 20:31.001 race | +11.20% |
| Pepper Taylor | 2023 | 25:35.001 race | 28:27.001 race | +11.21% |
| Paul Tompros | 2025 | 23:21.201 race | 25:58.931 race | +11.26% |
| Max Kesselheim | 2025 | 18:37.601 race | 20:43.471 race | +11.26% |
| Aitong (Ivy) Li | 2022 | 23:05.001 race | 25:42.001 race | +11.34% |
| Charlotte Friedmann | 2024 | 26:08.001 race | 29:11.001 race | +11.67% |
| Angelina Ha | 2025 | 21:07.301 race | 23:43.001 race | +12.29% |
| Heng Leong | 2023 | 20:36.001 race | 23:13.001 race | +12.70% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 21:09.701 race | 23:58.001 race | +13.26% |
| Katie Tantillo | 2024 | 21:42.001 race | 24:42.001 race | +13.82% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 19:38.001 race | 22:23.001 race | +14.01% |
| Sebastien Aubourg | 2024 | 17:57.001 race | 20:34.001 race | +14.58% |
| Temi Martins Dosumu | 2025 | 25:01.401 race | 28:46.091 race | +14.97% |
| Anna Clark | 2025 | 22:55.001 race | 26:21.001 race | +14.98% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 18:00.201 race | 20:43.001 race | +15.07% |
| Zayna Gilani | 2025 | 30:33.301 race | 35:13.001 race | +15.26% |
| Isla Scott | 2025 | 21:59.101 race | 25:24.001 race | +15.53% |
| Eden Hossaena | 2025 | 37:28.101 race | 43:24.001 race | +15.83% |
| Quincy Treisman | 2025 | 22:48.301 race | 26:29.001 race | +16.13% |
| Olivia Standish | 2025 | 22:22.701 race | 26:01.001 race | +16.26% |
| Myda Gilani | 2025 | 26:30.801 race | 32:07.001 race | +21.13% |
| Talia Frieze | 2025 | 26:01.701 race | 32:06.001 race | +23.33% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2025 | 24:46.101 race | 30:39.001 race | +23.75% |
| Wes Shaller | 2025 | 20:43.701 race | 25:41.001 race | +23.90% |
| Abby Erlandson | 2025 | 33:22.901 race | 41:48.001 race | +25.22% |
| Maya Kapasi | 2025 | 25:48.901 race | 34:30.001 race | +33.64% |