Pairwise course analysis
Bouchard Park 5Kvs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs slower
+1.17%
Roughly 14.0 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
105
Deep evidence
Median difference
+1.68%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+1.17%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.80%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Milton Standard 5K fasterEvenMilton Standard 5K slower
Confidence interval
+1.07% to +3.20%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Bouchard Park 5K | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoebe Triant | 2023 | 28:10.001 race | 24:34.001 race | -12.78% |
| Justin Lin | 2024 | 26:45.001 race | 23:22.001 race | -12.65% |
| Nate Hagerty | 2025 | 20:36.601 race | 18:45.001 race | -9.02% |
| Charles Wells | 2019 | 25:09.901 race | 23:11.001 race | -7.87% |
| Kate Wei | 2023 | 26:05.001 race | 24:20.001 race | -6.71% |
| Blakeny Johnston | 2023 | 24:18.001 race | 22:59.001 race | -5.42% |
| Howard Huang | 2019 | 21:03.401 race | 19:59.001 race | -5.10% |
| James Donahue | 2019 | 17:13.501 race | 16:31.001 race | -4.11% |
| Sofia Branco | 2023 | 28:49.001 race | 27:54.001 race | -3.18% |
| Aidan McCormick | 2019 | 23:02.101 race | 22:25.001 race | -2.68% |
| Charles Mullaney | 2019 | 21:05.001 race | 20:33.001 race | -2.53% |
| Olivia Golhar | 2023 | 23:06.001 race | 22:31.001 race | -2.53% |
| Christiaan Eikeboom | 2019 | 19:02.101 race | 18:35.001 race | -2.37% |
| Emma Finkelstein | 2023 | 24:42.001 race | 24:10.001 race | -2.16% |
| Daniel Bittner | 2019 | 21:28.401 race | 21:05.001 race | -1.82% |
| Abraham Tolkoff | 2019 | 19:35.101 race | 19:15.001 race | -1.71% |
| Tyler Forg | 2019 | 20:27.401 race | 20:07.001 race | -1.66% |
| Jonathan Tillen | 2023 | 19:09.001 race | 18:51.001 race | -1.57% |
| Yiling Ding | 2023 | 24:44.001 race | 24:21.001 race | -1.55% |
| Nicholas Hebard | 2019 | 22:18.701 race | 21:58.001 race | -1.55% |
| Lauren Peloquin | 2023 | 24:55.001 race | 24:38.001 race | -1.14% |
| Aidan McGaugh | 2019 | 18:12.401 race | 18:00.001 race | -1.14% |
| Matthew Loose | 2023 | 18:44.001 race | 18:33.001 race | -0.98% |
| Ryan Growney | 2021 | 20:14.201 race | 20:05.001 race | -0.76% |
| Abdirizak Abdulle | 2023 | 21:31.001 race | 21:22.001 race | -0.70% |
| Camryn Flessel | 2021 | 22:47.301 race | 22:38.001 race | -0.68% |
| Charlie Young | 2023 | 21:27.001 race | 21:19.001 race | -0.62% |
| Ben Guenther | 2023 | 17:33.001 race | 17:28.001 race | -0.47% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2023 | 19:16.001 race | 19:11.001 race | -0.43% |
| Gabriel Klug | 2019 | 21:55.001 race | 21:50.001 race | -0.38% |
| Devin Gray | 2023 | 19:12.001 race | 19:08.001 race | -0.35% |
| Aly Correia | 2024 | 25:47.001 race | 25:44.001 race | -0.19% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2023 | 22:19.001 race | 22:17.001 race | -0.15% |
| Sreetej Digumarthi | 2019 | 20:23.501 race | 20:22.001 race | -0.12% |
| Maxwell Huang | 2023 | 18:01.001 race | 18:00.001 race | -0.09% |
| Charlie Hall | 2023 | 19:30.001 race | 19:29.001 race | -0.09% |
| Will Grace | 2023 | 19:17.001 race | 19:18.001 race | +0.09% |
| Henry McLane | 2023 | 17:15.001 race | 17:18.001 race | +0.29% |
| Ella Berger | 2023 | 24:09.001 race | 24:14.001 race | +0.35% |
| Alexa Zhou | 2023 | 25:38.001 race | 25:44.001 race | +0.39% |
| Riley Gordon | 2023 | 26:57.001 race | 27:07.001 race | +0.62% |
| Owen Harrington | 2023 | 23:31.001 race | 23:41.001 race | +0.71% |
| Christina Hall | 2023 | 27:23.001 race | 27:35.001 race | +0.73% |
| Alex Young | 2024 | 18:12.001 race | 18:20.001 race | +0.73% |
| Emmett Kellogg | 2025 | 26:35.801 race | 26:51.001 race | +0.95% |
| Noah Douglas | 2023 | 17:04.001 race | 17:15.001 race | +1.07% |
| Jayden Leung | 2023 | 21:17.001 race | 21:33.001 race | +1.25% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2024 | 16:36.001 race | 16:49.001 race | +1.31% |
| Charles Donahue | 2019 | 18:26.401 race | 18:41.001 race | +1.32% |
| Raquel Frankel | 2023 | 27:33.001 race | 27:55.001 race | +1.33% |
| Patrick Albers | 2023 | 18:51.001 race | 19:07.001 race | +1.41% |
| Allison Park | 2023 | 24:44.001 race | 25:08.001 race | +1.62% |
| Sunehri Verma | 2023 | 29:41.001 race | 30:11.001 race | +1.68% |
| Anray Sheng | 2023 | 22:43.001 race | 23:06.001 race | +1.69% |
| Nate Madden | 2023 | 20:37.001 race | 20:58.001 race | +1.70% |
| Lucas Miller | 2025 | 18:19.201 race | 18:38.001 race | +1.71% |
| Kate Tarr | 2025 | 20:49.901 race | 21:14.001 race | +1.93% |
| Oscar King | 2021 | 18:03.001 race | 18:25.001 race | +2.03% |
| Brenna Thomas | 2023 | 26:57.001 race | 27:32.001 race | +2.16% |
| Tim Churchill | 2023 | 16:52.001 race | 17:14.001 race | +2.17% |
| Jake Pappo | 2019 | 20:27.101 race | 20:55.001 race | +2.27% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2024 | 33:41.001 race | 34:30.001 race | +2.42% |
| Justin Lee | 2023 | 19:40.001 race | 20:12.001 race | +2.71% |
| Zach Green | 2023 | 21:22.001 race | 21:57.001 race | +2.73% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2024 | 25:21.001 race | 26:04.001 race | +2.83% |
| Skye Connell | 2021 | 22:27.201 race | 23:07.001 race | +2.95% |
| Liam Peterson | 2019 | 20:26.801 race | 21:05.001 race | +3.11% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2022 | 23:25.001 race | 24:13.001 race | +3.42% |
| Eloise Finley | 2025 | 24:21.801 race | 25:14.001 race | +3.57% |
| Eden Hossaena | 2024 | 37:14.001 race | 38:42.001 race | +3.94% |
| Alana Brownstein | 2025 | 25:24.201 race | 26:26.001 race | +4.05% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2024 | 21:59.001 race | 22:58.001 race | +4.47% |
| Justin Jang | 2024 | 18:01.001 race | 18:50.001 race | +4.53% |
| Violet Safari | 2025 | 23:48.601 race | 24:54.001 race | +4.58% |
| Taylor Hauff | 2024 | 22:27.001 race | 23:30.001 race | +4.68% |
| Brianna Boucher | 2021 | 25:22.101 race | 26:37.001 race | +4.92% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 21:12.001 race | 22:15.001 race | +4.95% |
| Nicole Fallon | 2025 | 22:39.401 race | 23:49.001 race | +5.12% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 21:23.001 race | 22:29.001 race | +5.14% |
| Cate O'Connor | 2021 | 23:48.401 race | 25:04.001 race | +5.29% |
| Peter Gnazzo | 2025 | 24:00.701 race | 25:19.001 race | +5.43% |
| Wes Shaller | 2024 | 20:08.001 race | 21:16.001 race | +5.63% |
| Annie Lopez | 2023 | 24:43.001 race | 26:07.001 race | +5.66% |
| James Fair | 2023 | 19:48.001 race | 20:56.001 race | +5.72% |
| Charles Broderick | 2025 | 20:44.701 race | 21:59.001 race | +5.97% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2021 | 24:49.901 race | 26:20.001 race | +6.05% |
| Gianluca Foschi Walko | 2019 | 20:25.501 race | 21:42.001 race | +6.24% |
| Madi Pugatch | 2024 | 26:20.001 race | 28:00.001 race | +6.33% |
| Rhaya Nestor | 2025 | 24:09.801 race | 25:42.001 race | +6.36% |
| Talia Frieze | 2024 | 23:55.001 race | 25:34.001 race | +6.90% |
| Isla Scott | 2024 | 22:01.001 race | 23:33.001 race | +6.96% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 22:43.001 race | 24:22.001 race | +7.26% |
| Collette Noordzij | 2021 | 24:24.501 race | 26:17.001 race | +7.68% |
| Alex Cheng | 2023 | 17:44.001 race | 19:11.001 race | +8.18% |
| Alex Kovtunenko | 2024 | 20:45.001 race | 22:28.001 race | +8.27% |
| Alan Wang | 2025 | 23:42.401 race | 25:41.001 race | +8.34% |
| Nnamdi Achebe | 2023 | 23:51.001 race | 25:51.001 race | +8.39% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2021 | 20:42.101 race | 22:29.001 race | +8.61% |
| Lukas Leibisch | 2024 | 20:22.001 race | 22:19.001 race | +9.57% |
| Caroline Jennings | 2023 | 27:06.001 race | 29:44.001 race | +9.72% |
| Olivia Standish | 2024 | 22:08.001 race | 24:26.001 race | +10.39% |
| Alex Spindt | 2024 | 21:55.001 race | 24:14.001 race | +10.57% |
| Chloe Jeppson | 2023 | 29:42.001 race | 33:55.001 race | +14.20% |
| George Yerid | 2025 | 23:57.901 race | 28:00.001 race | +16.84% |
| Angie Feng | 2023 | 25:08.001 race | 33:53.001 race | +34.81% |