Pairwise course analysis
Brooks School 5Kvs.Bouchard Park 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Bouchard Park 5K runs faster
-4.08%
Roughly 49.0 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
121
Deep evidence
Median difference
-5.43%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-4.08%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.89%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Bouchard Park 5K fasterEvenBouchard Park 5K slower
Confidence interval
-7.11% to -4.94%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Brooks School 5K | Bouchard Park 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Kapasi | 2025 | 34:30.001 race | 25:48.901 race | -25.17% |
| Abby Erlandson | 2025 | 41:48.001 race | 33:22.901 race | -20.14% |
| Wes Shaller | 2025 | 25:41.001 race | 20:43.701 race | -19.29% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2025 | 30:39.001 race | 24:46.101 race | -19.19% |
| Talia Frieze | 2025 | 32:06.001 race | 26:01.701 race | -18.91% |
| Myda Gilani | 2025 | 32:07.001 race | 26:30.801 race | -17.45% |
| Olivia Standish | 2025 | 26:01.001 race | 22:22.701 race | -13.98% |
| Quincy Treisman | 2025 | 26:29.001 race | 22:48.301 race | -13.89% |
| Eden Hossaena | 2025 | 43:24.001 race | 37:28.101 race | -13.67% |
| Isla Scott | 2025 | 25:24.001 race | 21:59.101 race | -13.44% |
| Zayna Gilani | 2025 | 35:13.001 race | 30:33.301 race | -13.24% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 20:43.001 race | 18:00.201 race | -13.10% |
| Anna Clark | 2025 | 26:21.001 race | 22:55.001 race | -13.03% |
| Temi Martins Dosumu | 2025 | 28:46.091 race | 25:01.401 race | -13.02% |
| Sebastien Aubourg | 2024 | 20:34.001 race | 17:57.001 race | -12.72% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 22:23.001 race | 19:38.001 race | -12.29% |
| Katie Tantillo | 2024 | 24:42.001 race | 21:42.001 race | -12.15% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 23:58.001 race | 21:09.701 race | -11.70% |
| Heng Leong | 2023 | 23:13.001 race | 20:36.001 race | -11.27% |
| Angelina Ha | 2025 | 23:43.001 race | 21:07.301 race | -10.94% |
| Charlotte Friedmann | 2024 | 29:11.001 race | 26:08.001 race | -10.45% |
| Aitong (Ivy) Li | 2022 | 25:42.001 race | 23:05.001 race | -10.18% |
| Max Kesselheim | 2025 | 20:43.471 race | 18:37.601 race | -10.12% |
| Paul Tompros | 2025 | 25:58.931 race | 23:21.201 race | -10.12% |
| Pepper Taylor | 2023 | 28:27.001 race | 25:35.001 race | -10.08% |
| Justin Jang | 2023 | 20:31.001 race | 18:27.001 race | -10.07% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 20:50.001 race | 18:50.701 race | -9.54% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 17:37.001 race | 15:56.601 race | -9.50% |
| James Kerr | 2025 | 17:23.601 race | 15:44.701 race | -9.48% |
| Henry Orraca-Cecil | 2024 | 20:46.001 race | 18:48.001 race | -9.47% |
| Alex Kovtenenko | 2025 | 21:15.001 race | 19:15.401 race | -9.38% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 19:34.001 race | 17:45.701 race | -9.22% |
| Emma Schillinger | 2022 | 26:15.001 race | 23:54.001 race | -8.95% |
| Keira McNeil | 2023 | 31:39.001 race | 28:50.001 race | -8.90% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 24:56.001 race | 22:43.001 race | -8.89% |
| Alison Leiva | 2023 | 33:40.001 race | 30:41.001 race | -8.86% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 23:26.001 race | 21:23.001 race | -8.75% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 20:10.001 race | 18:26.001 race | -8.60% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 21:38.001 race | 19:55.001 race | -7.94% |
| Alex DeChiara | 2024 | 22:06.001 race | 20:22.001 race | -7.84% |
| Sunny Qian | 2024 | 22:07.001 race | 20:27.001 race | -7.54% |
| Jasmine Zhang | 2022 | 25:36.001 race | 23:43.001 race | -7.36% |
| Jasper Hyatt | 2025 | 22:20.911 race | 20:42.301 race | -7.35% |
| Colin Bradley | 2025 | 18:58.151 race | 17:34.601 race | -7.34% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 25:40.001 race | 23:48.001 race | -7.27% |
| Leighton Glass | 2024 | 22:07.001 race | 20:34.001 race | -7.01% |
| Terry Qi | 2024 | 20:36.001 race | 19:10.001 race | -6.96% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 19:07.001 race | 17:49.001 race | -6.80% |
| Pipsa Palatsi | 2024 | 23:25.001 race | 21:50.001 race | -6.76% |
| Eric Archerman | 2025 | 18:41.781 race | 17:29.601 race | -6.43% |
| Julian Barber | 2024 | 22:30.001 race | 21:04.001 race | -6.37% |
| Lucy Wu | 2024 | 31:47.001 race | 29:47.001 race | -6.29% |
| Fin Reichard | 2025 | 20:13.331 race | 18:57.101 race | -6.28% |
| Liam Walsh | 2025 | 18:02.091 race | 16:54.301 race | -6.26% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 22:34.001 race | 21:12.001 race | -6.06% |
| Max Liang | 2024 | 22:41.001 race | 21:19.001 race | -6.02% |
| Martin Erath | 2024 | 20:02.001 race | 18:50.001 race | -5.99% |
| Nick Glaeser | 2025 | 23:32.581 race | 22:08.601 race | -5.95% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2023 | 25:03.001 race | 23:35.001 race | -5.85% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2023 | 24:57.001 race | 23:33.001 race | -5.61% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2023 | 19:21.001 race | 18:18.001 race | -5.43% |
| Steve Ma | 2024 | 22:32.001 race | 21:20.001 race | -5.33% |
| Anya Carroll | 2025 | 28:55.001 race | 27:24.401 race | -5.22% |
| Cassidy Bruno | 2024 | 21:13.001 race | 20:07.001 race | -5.18% |
| Maggie Cabot | 2024 | 22:48.001 race | 21:39.001 race | -5.04% |
| Camille Destefano | 2023 | 29:00.001 race | 27:35.001 race | -4.89% |
| Dylan Fu | 2024 | 20:21.001 race | 19:22.001 race | -4.83% |
| Sam Blank | 2023 | 20:53.001 race | 19:53.001 race | -4.79% |
| Ben Romano | 2025 | 21:18.271 race | 20:17.601 race | -4.75% |
| Alex Young | 2023 | 18:43.001 race | 17:50.001 race | -4.72% |
| Casey Coleman | 2024 | 20:32.001 race | 19:34.001 race | -4.71% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 20:24.001 race | 19:29.001 race | -4.49% |
| Alexei Liska | 2024 | 21:55.001 race | 20:57.001 race | -4.41% |
| Lincoln Hyatt | 2025 | 18:31.341 race | 17:42.801 race | -4.37% |
| Condy Bao | 2022 | 20:46.001 race | 19:52.001 race | -4.33% |
| Julian Vidal | 2025 | 21:24.501 race | 20:29.001 race | -4.32% |
| Toby Harrison | 2025 | 18:56.021 race | 18:07.501 race | -4.27% |
| Skye Connell | 2021 | 23:27.001 race | 22:27.201 race | -4.25% |
| Daghan Konur | 2024 | 20:12.001 race | 19:21.001 race | -4.21% |
| AJ Gorman | 2022 | 17:53.001 race | 17:09.001 race | -4.10% |
| Anthony Billings | 2024 | 22:07.001 race | 21:14.001 race | -3.99% |
| Jessica Wu | 2024 | 27:16.001 race | 26:11.001 race | -3.97% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 19:13.001 race | 18:28.001 race | -3.90% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 17:31.001 race | 16:52.001 race | -3.71% |
| Sita Warner | 2022 | 24:53.001 race | 24:00.001 race | -3.55% |
| James Nichols-Worley | 2022 | 20:51.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -3.44% |
| Emme Salyer | 2023 | 24:02.001 race | 23:13.001 race | -3.40% |
| Sue Hayashi | 2024 | 25:42.001 race | 24:51.001 race | -3.31% |
| Allison Luo | 2024 | 23:06.001 race | 22:21.001 race | -3.25% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 18:02.001 race | 17:27.001 race | -3.23% |
| Jacob Snell | 2022 | 19:09.001 race | 18:33.001 race | -3.13% |
| Marvelous Ugwu | 2024 | 26:01.001 race | 25:15.001 race | -2.95% |
| Collette Noordzij | 2021 | 25:08.001 race | 24:24.501 race | -2.88% |
| Robert Sou | 2024 | 20:34.001 race | 20:00.001 race | -2.76% |
| Dylan Zaterka | 2022 | 19:49.001 race | 19:26.001 race | -1.93% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:23.001 race | 23:00.001 race | -1.64% |
| Theo Martin | 2024 | 23:24.001 race | 23:01.001 race | -1.64% |
| Bennett Walker | 2021 | 32:26.001 race | 32:05.401 race | -1.06% |
| Celine Ding | 2024 | 28:14.001 race | 27:57.001 race | -1.00% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2023 | 25:48.001 race | 25:35.001 race | -0.84% |
| Parker Lial | 2021 | 24:36.001 race | 24:29.601 race | -0.43% |
| Bennett Jones | 2022 | 18:25.001 race | 18:21.001 race | -0.36% |
| Eva Zhao | 2024 | 29:11.001 race | 29:08.001 race | -0.17% |
| Oscar King | 2021 | 18:02.001 race | 18:03.001 race | +0.09% |
| Riley Eyman | 2021 | 23:03.001 race | 23:06.501 race | +0.25% |
| Bric Ridder | 2021 | 23:02.001 race | 23:06.201 race | +0.30% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2021 | 24:44.001 race | 24:49.901 race | +0.40% |
| Catherine (Cate) Wacholz | 2021 | 24:45.001 race | 24:51.501 race | +0.44% |
| Nolan McNeil | 2023 | 21:34.001 race | 21:42.001 race | +0.62% |
| Ryan Growney | 2021 | 20:06.001 race | 20:14.201 race | +0.68% |
| James (JJ) Oldershaw | 2021 | 19:29.001 race | 19:37.801 race | +0.75% |
| Mae Lial | 2021 | 25:10.001 race | 25:22.601 race | +0.83% |
| James McCarron III | 2021 | 17:09.001 race | 17:20.901 race | +1.16% |
| Brianna Boucher | 2021 | 24:52.001 race | 25:22.101 race | +2.02% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2021 | 20:14.001 race | 20:42.101 race | +2.31% |
| Camryn Flessel | 2021 | 22:11.001 race | 22:47.301 race | +2.73% |
| Allen Xia | 2021 | 22:23.001 race | 23:20.801 race | +4.30% |
| Lucas Lu | 2021 | 22:19.001 race | 24:00.501 race | +7.58% |
| Oliver Colbert | 2025 | 23:22.151 race | 25:09.001 race | +7.62% |
| Cally Garth | 2021 | 26:38.001 race | 29:13.401 race | +9.72% |
| Anika Ata | 2024 | 22:02.001 race | 26:09.001 race | +18.68% |