Pairwise course analysis
Brooks School 5Kvs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-2.96%
Roughly 35.5 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
200
Deep evidence
Median difference
-2.60%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.96%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.57%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Milton Standard 5K fasterEvenMilton Standard 5K slower
Confidence interval
-3.89% to -2.30%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Brooks School 5K | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Zhu | 2025 | 32:10.002 races | 24:50.001 race | -22.80% |
| Bella Choi | 2025 | 31:26.002 races | 24:23.001 race | -22.43% |
| Kai On (Jason) Yu | 2023 | 26:11.001 race | 20:31.003 races | -21.64% |
| Gabriel Yu | 2021 | 28:14.001 race | 23:23.001 race | -17.18% |
| Ernesto Ortiz | 2023 | 25:03.001 race | 21:11.003 races | -15.44% |
| Andy Li | 2025 | 31:00.002 races | 26:15.001 race | -15.32% |
| Michael Kalinichenko | 2021 | 32:04.001 race | 27:10.001 race | -15.28% |
| Luke Ferrone | 2025 | 31:02.002 races | 26:38.001 race | -14.18% |
| Alder Hurley | 2025 | 35:55.002 races | 30:58.001 race | -13.78% |
| Rumi Kaye | 2025 | 31:57.001 race | 27:53.001 race | -12.73% |
| Taylor Armstead | 2021 | 40:06.001 race | 35:06.001 race | -12.47% |
| Pilar Bell | 2025 | 29:13.002 races | 26:01.001 race | -10.95% |
| Morgan Pfeil | 2025 | 26:57.002 races | 24:03.001 race | -10.76% |
| Haotong (HT) Xue | 2023 | 20:19.001 race | 18:08.002 races | -10.75% |
| Luke Desmaison | 2019 | 22:10.001 race | 19:50.001 race | -10.53% |
| Zarak Ahmad | 2023 | 27:25.001 race | 24:53.002 races | -9.24% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2021 | 24:32.001 race | 22:16.001 race | -9.24% |
| Dion Cheung | 2023 | 28:12.001 race | 25:41.002 races | -8.92% |
| Gratian Ting | 2023 | 22:21.001 race | 20:22.003 races | -8.87% |
| Leo Demissie | 2023 | 22:53.001 race | 20:53.001 race | -8.74% |
| Ashley Picard | 2019 | 26:32.002 races | 24:13.001 race | -8.73% |
| Kate Tarr | 2024 | 23:57.001 race | 21:52.001 race | -8.70% |
| Phoebe Cogan | 2025 | 24:17.002 races | 22:12.001 race | -8.58% |
| T Ullman | 2023 | 28:37.001 race | 26:14.001 race | -8.33% |
| James Carroll | 2025 | 24:19.002 races | 22:18.001 race | -8.29% |
| Austin Corbett | 2024 | 19:26.001 race | 17:51.001 race | -8.15% |
| Katalin (Kata) Clark | 2021 | 20:54.002 races | 19:12.001 race | -8.13% |
| Jack Butterworth | 2023 | 21:36.001 race | 19:58.002 races | -7.56% |
| Breanna Kunkel | 2023 | 25:00.001 race | 23:07.001 race | -7.53% |
| Masan Porter | 2023 | 23:42.001 race | 21:55.003 races | -7.52% |
| Brian Luppy | 2021 | 21:42.001 race | 20:05.001 race | -7.45% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2019 | 24:56.002 races | 23:05.001 race | -7.42% |
| Samson Oblak | 2025 | 23:53.002 races | 22:08.001 race | -7.33% |
| Gardner Brown | 2019 | 21:50.002 races | 20:18.001 race | -7.02% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2024 | 20:48.001 race | 19:23.001 race | -6.81% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2021 | 24:54.001 race | 23:13.001 race | -6.76% |
| L. Goldstone | 2023 | 25:40.001 race | 23:56.001 race | -6.75% |
| Jason Li | 2024 | 25:11.001 race | 23:30.001 race | -6.68% |
| Zoe Campbell | 2023 | 22:49.001 race | 21:18.003 races | -6.65% |
| Ian Schmidek | 2022 | 28:29.001 race | 26:37.001 race | -6.55% |
| James Joyce | 2021 | 21:46.001 race | 20:22.001 race | -6.43% |
| Sam Benson | 2025 | 23:31.002 races | 22:03.001 race | -6.24% |
| Jillian Bergeron | 2024 | 20:47.001 race | 19:30.001 race | -6.17% |
| Kevin Xie | 2025 | 33:00.002 races | 31:00.001 race | -6.06% |
| Noah Qiu | 2024 | 25:21.001 race | 23:51.001 race | -5.92% |
| Ching Hei (Andre) Leung | 2023 | 24:45.001 race | 23:18.002 races | -5.86% |
| Sophie Kelly | 2024 | 27:19.001 race | 25:43.001 race | -5.86% |
| Brin Ferrone | 2025 | 28:02.002 races | 26:25.001 race | -5.77% |
| Amina Cifric | 2024 | 23:30.001 race | 22:09.001 race | -5.74% |
| Hunter Caggiano | 2023 | 21:54.001 race | 20:40.003 races | -5.63% |
| Lindsey Bennett | 2023 | 23:41.001 race | 22:22.001 race | -5.56% |
| Evan Wirth | 2021 | 20:22.001 race | 19:15.001 race | -5.48% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2022 | 20:47.001 race | 19:41.001 race | -5.29% |
| Alexa Burton | 2023 | 23:24.001 race | 22:10.002 races | -5.27% |
| Joe Jia | 2023 | 26:00.001 race | 24:38.002 races | -5.26% |
| Camille Destefano | 2022 | 29:33.001 race | 28:01.001 race | -5.19% |
| Matthew Smith | 2024 | 21:53.001 race | 20:46.001 race | -5.10% |
| Gabriel (Gabby) Guerrero | 2023 | 18:23.001 race | 17:27.003 races | -5.08% |
| Brady Preneta | 2024 | 23:43.001 race | 22:31.001 race | -5.06% |
| Jaden Smith | 2023 | 19:40.001 race | 18:41.001 race | -5.00% |
| Kevin Farmer | 2023 | 20:16.001 race | 19:16.003 races | -4.93% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2019 | 23:45.002 races | 22:35.001 race | -4.91% |
| Matthew Choumenkovitch | 2021 | 26:48.001 race | 25:30.001 race | -4.85% |
| Angelina Liberman | 2019 | 28:11.001 race | 26:51.001 race | -4.73% |
| Katherine Hardy | 2024 | 35:58.001 race | 34:18.001 race | -4.63% |
| Eddie Ryan | 2021 | 23:13.001 race | 22:10.001 race | -4.52% |
| William Nass | 2023 | 20:47.001 race | 19:52.002 races | -4.41% |
| Esme Campbell | 2023 | 22:22.001 race | 21:23.003 races | -4.40% |
| Angelina Liberman | 2021 | 28:30.001 race | 27:15.001 race | -4.39% |
| Cassidy Kamil | 2024 | 27:08.001 race | 25:59.001 race | -4.24% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 23:26.001 race | 22:29.001 race | -4.05% |
| Thomas Scordino | 2021 | 21:11.001 race | 20:20.001 race | -4.01% |
| Nicole Fallon | 2024 | 27:04.001 race | 26:00.001 race | -3.94% |
| Elizabeth De Ramel | 2023 | 25:00.001 race | 24:01.003 races | -3.93% |
| Connor Steele | 2023 | 21:16.001 race | 20:26.003 races | -3.92% |
| Jack Kastner | 2022 | 21:44.001 race | 20:53.001 race | -3.91% |
| Max Rochford | 2024 | 23:13.001 race | 22:19.001 race | -3.88% |
| Forrester Clark | 2022 | 18:27.003 races | 17:45.001 race | -3.79% |
| Lucy McCormick | 2024 | 23:19.001 race | 22:26.001 race | -3.79% |
| Alex Tobias | 2019 | 18:32.002 races | 17:51.001 race | -3.69% |
| Minho Eune | 2019 | 21:42.002 races | 20:54.001 race | -3.69% |
| Cheng Zhuang | 2021 | 23:08.002 races | 22:17.001 race | -3.67% |
| Christian MacCallum | 2023 | 20:22.001 race | 19:38.001 race | -3.60% |
| Nate Hagerty | 2024 | 21:31.001 race | 20:45.001 race | -3.56% |
| Emilia Raviola | 2023 | 23:33.001 race | 22:43.002 races | -3.54% |
| Peyton Dahmen | 2022 | 22:28.003 races | 21:41.001 race | -3.49% |
| Jace Livingi | 2023 | 19:21.001 race | 18:42.003 races | -3.36% |
| Ella McDonald | 2024 | 22:53.001 race | 22:08.001 race | -3.28% |
| Matthew Abati | 2023 | 20:12.001 race | 19:33.002 races | -3.22% |
| Hans Vigener | 2021 | 19:34.001 race | 18:57.001 race | -3.15% |
| Brooke Hansen | 2023 | 24:05.001 race | 23:22.001 race | -2.98% |
| Quinn McCaffrey | 2024 | 21:51.001 race | 21:12.001 race | -2.97% |
| Evan Salhanick | 2022 | 19:43.002 races | 19:08.001 race | -2.96% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2022 | 26:38.001 race | 25:52.001 race | -2.88% |
| Jason Louie | 2023 | 19:28.001 race | 18:55.003 races | -2.83% |
| Samuel Hinman | 2021 | 19:07.001 race | 18:36.001 race | -2.70% |
| Carver Porter | 2022 | 20:22.001 race | 19:49.001 race | -2.70% |
| Tanay Kommareddi | 2019 | 21:15.002 races | 20:41.001 race | -2.67% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2022 | 17:51.001 race | 17:23.001 race | -2.61% |
| Jack Connors | 2021 | 18:34.001 race | 18:05.001 race | -2.60% |
| Myles McCusker | 2024 | 22:33.001 race | 21:58.001 race | -2.59% |
| Elena Gordon | 2024 | 25:16.001 race | 24:38.001 race | -2.51% |
| Eliza Barker | 2022 | 25:37.004 races | 24:59.001 race | -2.47% |
| Alexander Colangelo | 2024 | 18:01.001 race | 17:35.001 race | -2.41% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2022 | 18:14.001 race | 17:48.001 race | -2.38% |
| Jake Devries | 2023 | 21:09.001 race | 20:39.001 race | -2.36% |
| Lucas Miller | 2024 | 19:29.001 race | 19:02.001 race | -2.31% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 24:56.001 race | 24:22.001 race | -2.27% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2022 | 19:36.001 race | 19:10.001 race | -2.21% |
| Rileigh Murphy-Morris | 2023 | 29:26.001 race | 28:48.001 race | -2.15% |
| Alexander Behn | 2022 | 19:46.001 race | 19:21.001 race | -2.11% |
| Kiera Furness | 2023 | 31:40.001 race | 31:00.001 race | -2.11% |
| Katelyn Pereira | 2024 | 25:54.001 race | 25:23.001 race | -1.99% |
| Josh Taylor | 2024 | 21:34.001 race | 21:09.001 race | -1.93% |
| Maksim Roman | 2022 | 19:51.001 race | 19:28.001 race | -1.93% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2021 | 18:31.003 races | 18:10.001 race | -1.89% |
| Gabriel Simmons | 2022 | 21:02.001 race | 20:40.001 race | -1.74% |
| Peter Gnazzo | 2024 | 24:01.001 race | 23:36.001 race | -1.73% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2021 | 22:26.002 races | 22:03.001 race | -1.71% |
| Michael Bobo | 2022 | 21:00.001 race | 20:39.001 race | -1.67% |
| Aaron Stanger | 2022 | 18:04.001 race | 17:46.001 race | -1.66% |
| Jeremy Eaton | 2022 | 20:20.001 race | 20:00.001 race | -1.64% |
| DK Rhee | 2024 | 27:54.001 race | 27:27.001 race | -1.61% |
| Ashley Brzezenski | 2021 | 26:49.001 race | 26:24.001 race | -1.55% |
| Alex Tobias | 2021 | 17:30.002 races | 17:15.001 race | -1.43% |
| Skye Connell | 2021 | 23:27.001 race | 23:07.001 race | -1.42% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 22:34.001 race | 22:15.001 race | -1.40% |
| Evan Salhanick | 2021 | 20:37.002 races | 20:20.001 race | -1.37% |
| Claire Choe | 2023 | 20:53.001 race | 20:36.003 races | -1.36% |
| Marina Joseph | 2022 | 28:21.001 race | 27:58.001 race | -1.35% |
| Kenzie Murphy | 2023 | 21:58.001 race | 21:41.001 race | -1.29% |
| Adyson Duval | 2021 | 27:20.002 races | 27:00.001 race | -1.22% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2022 | 19:15.003 races | 19:01.001 race | -1.21% |
| Reuben Siegel | 2022 | 23:31.001 race | 23:14.001 race | -1.20% |
| Caleb Stokes | 2024 | 25:19.001 race | 25:01.001 race | -1.18% |
| Brendan Brosnan | 2023 | 19:12.001 race | 18:59.001 race | -1.13% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2021 | 23:15.002 races | 23:01.001 race | -1.00% |
| Grant Morishita | 2023 | 23:38.001 race | 23:25.002 races | -0.92% |
| Peter Abenante | 2024 | 20:13.001 race | 20:02.001 race | -0.91% |
| William Hansen | 2021 | 20:28.001 race | 20:17.001 race | -0.90% |
| James Lyman | 2019 | 20:45.001 race | 20:34.001 race | -0.88% |
| Arav Kochhar | 2024 | 22:31.001 race | 22:20.001 race | -0.81% |
| William Trautz | 2022 | 17:43.001 race | 17:35.001 race | -0.75% |
| Maya Hindawi | 2023 | 36:44.001 race | 36:28.001 race | -0.73% |
| Thatcher Brown | 2023 | 21:14.001 race | 21:05.002 races | -0.71% |
| Vanessa Shipley | 2019 | 23:38.002 races | 23:28.001 race | -0.71% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2022 | 32:57.001 race | 32:45.001 race | -0.61% |
| Adyson Duval | 2022 | 26:03.004 races | 25:55.001 race | -0.51% |
| Eli Berk | 2023 | 21:21.001 race | 21:15.002 races | -0.47% |
| James Lyman | 2021 | 20:45.003 races | 20:41.001 race | -0.32% |
| Chloe Catalano | 2023 | 27:05.001 race | 27:00.001 race | -0.31% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2022 | 18:06.001 race | 18:03.001 race | -0.28% |
| Georgia Barrett | 2023 | 25:10.001 race | 25:08.003 races | -0.13% |
| Annabel McNamara | 2023 | 26:08.001 race | 26:06.001 race | -0.13% |
| Ryan Growney | 2021 | 20:06.001 race | 20:05.001 race | -0.08% |
| Charlie Gilman | 2023 | 26:18.001 race | 26:18.001 race | 0.00% |
| Luke Driscoll | 2023 | 19:53.001 race | 19:53.001 race | 0.00% |
| Mairin Anderson | 2022 | 25:50.001 race | 25:50.001 race | 0.00% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2022 | 24:42.004 races | 24:43.001 race | +0.07% |
| Megan Corry | 2023 | 25:15.001 race | 25:17.001 race | +0.13% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2022 | 25:06.004 races | 25:08.001 race | +0.13% |
| Renee Martell | 2023 | 31:02.001 race | 31:05.001 race | +0.16% |
| Cate Devaney | 2023 | 23:40.001 race | 23:45.001 race | +0.35% |
| Molly Sheehan | 2023 | 24:07.001 race | 24:13.003 races | +0.41% |
| Evan Schneider | 2023 | 21:44.001 race | 21:51.001 race | +0.54% |
| Eliza Barker | 2021 | 24:50.002 races | 25:06.001 race | +1.07% |
| Sebastian Keleher | 2023 | 22:38.001 race | 22:53.001 race | +1.10% |
| Alaina Millian | 2023 | 26:22.001 race | 26:42.001 race | +1.26% |
| Ryan Albertson | 2021 | 24:46.001 race | 25:05.001 race | +1.28% |
| Daniel McGowan | 2024 | 24:34.001 race | 24:53.001 race | +1.29% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2022 | 18:16.001 race | 18:33.001 race | +1.55% |
| Kamran Bradley | 2022 | 23:53.003 races | 24:16.001 race | +1.61% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2021 | 24:47.002 races | 25:12.001 race | +1.68% |
| Colleen Leary | 2023 | 23:37.001 race | 24:02.001 race | +1.76% |
| Luca Mezzanotte | 2022 | 20:19.001 race | 20:41.001 race | +1.80% |
| Camryn Flessel | 2021 | 22:11.001 race | 22:38.001 race | +2.03% |
| Aditya Shrivastava | 2024 | 21:13.001 race | 21:39.001 race | +2.04% |
| Oscar King | 2021 | 18:02.001 race | 18:25.001 race | +2.13% |
| Monica Mukherjee | 2021 | 21:38.001 race | 22:08.001 race | +2.31% |
| Jack Torrisi | 2025 | 25:14.002 races | 25:54.001 race | +2.64% |
| Katalin (Kata) Clark | 2022 | 19:55.003 races | 20:31.001 race | +3.01% |
| Armaun Dehpanah | 2022 | 23:30.004 races | 24:13.001 race | +3.05% |
| Brandon Spector-Townsend | 2021 | 19:55.003 races | 20:34.001 race | +3.26% |
| Alexa Meekins | 2023 | 25:45.001 race | 26:37.001 race | +3.37% |
| Alyssa McGuirl | 2023 | 27:45.001 race | 28:49.001 race | +3.84% |
| Gabriel Yu | 2019 | 22:25.001 race | 23:20.001 race | +4.09% |
| Peyton Dahmen | 2021 | 21:24.002 races | 22:19.001 race | +4.28% |
| Collette Noordzij | 2021 | 25:08.001 race | 26:17.001 race | +4.58% |
| Torey Mathews | 2023 | 25:10.001 race | 26:21.002 races | +4.70% |
| Alitza Soiffer | 2023 | 25:03.001 race | 26:18.002 races | +4.99% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2022 | 22:23.001 race | 23:40.001 race | +5.73% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2021 | 24:44.001 race | 26:20.001 race | +6.47% |
| Brianna Boucher | 2021 | 24:52.001 race | 26:37.001 race | +7.04% |
| John Brice | 2023 | 21:17.001 race | 22:47.001 race | +7.05% |
| Eben Dooling | 2022 | 24:00.004 races | 25:42.001 race | +7.08% |
| Andy Seals | 2021 | 18:50.003 races | 20:35.001 race | +9.29% |
| Thomas Ireland | 2024 | 21:18.001 race | 23:22.001 race | +9.70% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2021 | 20:14.001 race | 22:29.001 race | +11.12% |
| David Jiang | 2021 | 24:46.001 race | 29:11.001 race | +17.83% |
| Jennifer Li | 2023 | 25:01.001 race | 30:55.002 races | +23.58% |