Pairwise course analysis

Brooks School 5Kvs.Williston Northampton School 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

These courses run about even

-0.20%

Roughly 2.4 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

26

Developing evidence

Median difference

-3.88%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

-0.20%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+2.66%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Williston Northampton School 5K fasterEvenWilliston Northampton School 5K slower

Confidence interval

-5.53% to -3.34%

Scale shown

-6% to +6%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonBrooks School 5KWilliston Northampton School 5KDifference
Paul Tompros202525:58.931 race23:11.001 race-10.77%
Robert Peirce202521:49.171 race19:42.001 race-9.71%
Kolby Sahin202523:59.071 race21:41.001 race-9.59%
James Kerr202517:23.601 race16:18.001 race-6.29%
Thomas Casall202523:56.561 race22:27.001 race-6.23%
Ben Romano202521:18.271 race20:01.001 race-6.04%
Seamus McFarland202520:59.841 race19:47.001 race-5.78%
Lincoln Hyatt202518:31.341 race17:33.001 race-5.25%
Owen Haskell202520:21.191 race19:18.001 race-5.17%
KJ Irving202522:14.781 race21:06.001 race-5.15%
Oliver Massey202520:47.601 race19:44.001 race-5.10%
Max Kesselheim202520:43.471 race19:45.001 race-4.70%
Riley Alqueza202522:35.081 race21:42.001 race-3.92%
Calvin Jacobs202520:19.931 race19:33.001 race-3.85%
Nick Glaeser202523:32.581 race22:39.001 race-3.79%
Liam Walsh202518:02.091 race17:24.001 race-3.52%
Oliver Colbert202523:22.151 race22:33.001 race-3.51%
Avish Kumar202524:06.431 race23:18.001 race-3.35%
Fin Reichard202520:13.331 race19:34.001 race-3.24%
Eric Archerman202518:41.781 race18:07.001 race-3.10%
Toby Harrison202518:56.021 race18:21.001 race-3.08%
Julian Vidal202521:24.501 race20:57.001 race-2.14%
Richie Federico202517:42.321 race17:20.001 race-2.10%
Colin Bradley202518:58.151 race18:40.001 race-1.59%
Quinn Bartling202521:20.301 race21:35.001 race+1.15%
Brandon Abell202521:22.351 race21:41.001 race+1.45%