Pairwise course analysis
Milton Standard 5Kvs.Bouchard Park 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Bouchard Park 5K runs faster
-1.15%
Roughly 13.8 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
105
Deep evidence
Median difference
-1.66%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-1.15%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.80%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Bouchard Park 5K fasterEvenBouchard Park 5K slower
Confidence interval
-3.10% to -1.06%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Milton Standard 5K | Bouchard Park 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angie Feng | 2023 | 33:53.001 race | 25:08.001 race | -25.82% |
| George Yerid | 2025 | 28:00.001 race | 23:57.901 race | -14.41% |
| Chloe Jeppson | 2023 | 33:55.001 race | 29:42.001 race | -12.43% |
| Alex Spindt | 2024 | 24:14.001 race | 21:55.001 race | -9.56% |
| Olivia Standish | 2024 | 24:26.001 race | 22:08.001 race | -9.41% |
| Caroline Jennings | 2023 | 29:44.001 race | 27:06.001 race | -8.86% |
| Lukas Leibisch | 2024 | 22:19.001 race | 20:22.001 race | -8.74% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2021 | 22:29.001 race | 20:42.101 race | -7.92% |
| Nnamdi Achebe | 2023 | 25:51.001 race | 23:51.001 race | -7.74% |
| Alan Wang | 2025 | 25:41.001 race | 23:42.401 race | -7.70% |
| Alex Kovtunenko | 2024 | 22:28.001 race | 20:45.001 race | -7.64% |
| Alex Cheng | 2023 | 19:11.001 race | 17:44.001 race | -7.56% |
| Collette Noordzij | 2021 | 26:17.001 race | 24:24.501 race | -7.13% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 24:22.001 race | 22:43.001 race | -6.77% |
| Isla Scott | 2024 | 23:33.001 race | 22:01.001 race | -6.51% |
| Talia Frieze | 2024 | 25:34.001 race | 23:55.001 race | -6.45% |
| Rhaya Nestor | 2025 | 25:42.001 race | 24:09.801 race | -5.98% |
| Madi Pugatch | 2024 | 28:00.001 race | 26:20.001 race | -5.95% |
| Gianluca Foschi Walko | 2019 | 21:42.001 race | 20:25.501 race | -5.88% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2021 | 26:20.001 race | 24:49.901 race | -5.70% |
| Charles Broderick | 2025 | 21:59.001 race | 20:44.701 race | -5.63% |
| James Fair | 2023 | 20:56.001 race | 19:48.001 race | -5.41% |
| Annie Lopez | 2023 | 26:07.001 race | 24:43.001 race | -5.36% |
| Wes Shaller | 2024 | 21:16.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -5.33% |
| Peter Gnazzo | 2025 | 25:19.001 race | 24:00.701 race | -5.15% |
| Cate O'Connor | 2021 | 25:04.001 race | 23:48.401 race | -5.03% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 22:29.001 race | 21:23.001 race | -4.89% |
| Nicole Fallon | 2025 | 23:49.001 race | 22:39.401 race | -4.87% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 22:15.001 race | 21:12.001 race | -4.72% |
| Brianna Boucher | 2021 | 26:37.001 race | 25:22.101 race | -4.69% |
| Taylor Hauff | 2024 | 23:30.001 race | 22:27.001 race | -4.47% |
| Violet Safari | 2025 | 24:54.001 race | 23:48.601 race | -4.38% |
| Justin Jang | 2024 | 18:50.001 race | 18:01.001 race | -4.34% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2024 | 22:58.001 race | 21:59.001 race | -4.28% |
| Alana Brownstein | 2025 | 26:26.001 race | 25:24.201 race | -3.90% |
| Eden Hossaena | 2024 | 38:42.001 race | 37:14.001 race | -3.79% |
| Eloise Finley | 2025 | 25:14.001 race | 24:21.801 race | -3.45% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2022 | 24:13.001 race | 23:25.001 race | -3.30% |
| Liam Peterson | 2019 | 21:05.001 race | 20:26.801 race | -3.02% |
| Skye Connell | 2021 | 23:07.001 race | 22:27.201 race | -2.87% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2024 | 26:04.001 race | 25:21.001 race | -2.75% |
| Zach Green | 2023 | 21:57.001 race | 21:22.001 race | -2.66% |
| Justin Lee | 2023 | 20:12.001 race | 19:40.001 race | -2.64% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2024 | 34:30.001 race | 33:41.001 race | -2.37% |
| Jake Pappo | 2019 | 20:55.001 race | 20:27.101 race | -2.22% |
| Tim Churchill | 2023 | 17:14.001 race | 16:52.001 race | -2.13% |
| Brenna Thomas | 2023 | 27:32.001 race | 26:57.001 race | -2.12% |
| Oscar King | 2021 | 18:25.001 race | 18:03.001 race | -1.99% |
| Kate Tarr | 2025 | 21:14.001 race | 20:49.901 race | -1.89% |
| Lucas Miller | 2025 | 18:38.001 race | 18:19.201 race | -1.68% |
| Nate Madden | 2023 | 20:58.001 race | 20:37.001 race | -1.67% |
| Anray Sheng | 2023 | 23:06.001 race | 22:43.001 race | -1.66% |
| Sunehri Verma | 2023 | 30:11.001 race | 29:41.001 race | -1.66% |
| Allison Park | 2023 | 25:08.001 race | 24:44.001 race | -1.59% |
| Patrick Albers | 2023 | 19:07.001 race | 18:51.001 race | -1.39% |
| Raquel Frankel | 2023 | 27:55.001 race | 27:33.001 race | -1.31% |
| Charles Donahue | 2019 | 18:41.001 race | 18:26.401 race | -1.30% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2024 | 16:49.001 race | 16:36.001 race | -1.29% |
| Jayden Leung | 2023 | 21:33.001 race | 21:17.001 race | -1.24% |
| Noah Douglas | 2023 | 17:15.001 race | 17:04.001 race | -1.06% |
| Emmett Kellogg | 2025 | 26:51.001 race | 26:35.801 race | -0.94% |
| Alex Young | 2024 | 18:20.001 race | 18:12.001 race | -0.73% |
| Christina Hall | 2023 | 27:35.001 race | 27:23.001 race | -0.73% |
| Owen Harrington | 2023 | 23:41.001 race | 23:31.001 race | -0.70% |
| Riley Gordon | 2023 | 27:07.001 race | 26:57.001 race | -0.61% |
| Alexa Zhou | 2023 | 25:44.001 race | 25:38.001 race | -0.39% |
| Ella Berger | 2023 | 24:14.001 race | 24:09.001 race | -0.34% |
| Henry McLane | 2023 | 17:18.001 race | 17:15.001 race | -0.29% |
| Will Grace | 2023 | 19:18.001 race | 19:17.001 race | -0.09% |
| Charlie Hall | 2023 | 19:29.001 race | 19:30.001 race | +0.09% |
| Maxwell Huang | 2023 | 18:00.001 race | 18:01.001 race | +0.09% |
| Sreetej Digumarthi | 2019 | 20:22.001 race | 20:23.501 race | +0.12% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2023 | 22:17.001 race | 22:19.001 race | +0.15% |
| Aly Correia | 2024 | 25:44.001 race | 25:47.001 race | +0.19% |
| Devin Gray | 2023 | 19:08.001 race | 19:12.001 race | +0.35% |
| Gabriel Klug | 2019 | 21:50.001 race | 21:55.001 race | +0.38% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2023 | 19:11.001 race | 19:16.001 race | +0.43% |
| Ben Guenther | 2023 | 17:28.001 race | 17:33.001 race | +0.48% |
| Charlie Young | 2023 | 21:19.001 race | 21:27.001 race | +0.63% |
| Camryn Flessel | 2021 | 22:38.001 race | 22:47.301 race | +0.68% |
| Abdirizak Abdulle | 2023 | 21:22.001 race | 21:31.001 race | +0.70% |
| Ryan Growney | 2021 | 20:05.001 race | 20:14.201 race | +0.76% |
| Matthew Loose | 2023 | 18:33.001 race | 18:44.001 race | +0.99% |
| Aidan McGaugh | 2019 | 18:00.001 race | 18:12.401 race | +1.15% |
| Lauren Peloquin | 2023 | 24:38.001 race | 24:55.001 race | +1.15% |
| Nicholas Hebard | 2019 | 21:58.001 race | 22:18.701 race | +1.57% |
| Yiling Ding | 2023 | 24:21.001 race | 24:44.001 race | +1.57% |
| Jonathan Tillen | 2023 | 18:51.001 race | 19:09.001 race | +1.59% |
| Tyler Forg | 2019 | 20:07.001 race | 20:27.401 race | +1.69% |
| Abraham Tolkoff | 2019 | 19:15.001 race | 19:35.101 race | +1.74% |
| Daniel Bittner | 2019 | 21:05.001 race | 21:28.401 race | +1.85% |
| Emma Finkelstein | 2023 | 24:10.001 race | 24:42.001 race | +2.21% |
| Christiaan Eikeboom | 2019 | 18:35.001 race | 19:02.101 race | +2.43% |
| Olivia Golhar | 2023 | 22:31.001 race | 23:06.001 race | +2.59% |
| Charles Mullaney | 2019 | 20:33.001 race | 21:05.001 race | +2.60% |
| Aidan McCormick | 2019 | 22:25.001 race | 23:02.101 race | +2.76% |
| Sofia Branco | 2023 | 27:54.001 race | 28:49.001 race | +3.29% |
| James Donahue | 2019 | 16:31.001 race | 17:13.501 race | +4.29% |
| Howard Huang | 2019 | 19:59.001 race | 21:03.401 race | +5.37% |
| Blakeny Johnston | 2023 | 22:59.001 race | 24:18.001 race | +5.73% |
| Kate Wei | 2023 | 24:20.001 race | 26:05.001 race | +7.19% |
| Charles Wells | 2019 | 23:11.001 race | 25:09.901 race | +8.55% |
| Nate Hagerty | 2025 | 18:45.001 race | 20:36.601 race | +9.92% |
| Justin Lin | 2024 | 23:22.001 race | 26:45.001 race | +14.48% |
| Phoebe Triant | 2023 | 24:34.001 race | 28:10.001 race | +14.65% |