Pairwise course analysis
Milton Standard 5Kvs.Taft School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Taft School 5K runs slower
+3.52%
Roughly 42.2 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
26
Developing evidence
Median difference
+4.38%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+3.52%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.74%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+3.30% to +5.53%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Milton Standard 5K | Taft School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zifu Song | 2025 | 21:31.003 races | 21:15.001 race | -1.24% |
| Alex Sherman | 2025 | 18:54.003 races | 19:01.001 race | +0.62% |
| Phoebe Quinn | 2025 | 21:48.003 races | 22:13.001 race | +1.91% |
| Theo Edgar | 2025 | 19:46.003 races | 20:10.001 race | +2.02% |
| Felix Stuart | 2025 | 21:03.002 races | 21:29.001 race | +2.06% |
| Amelia Simoneau | 2025 | 25:31.003 races | 26:06.001 race | +2.29% |
| Griffin Kelleher | 2025 | 17:31.002 races | 17:58.001 race | +2.57% |
| Margot Murphy-Hara | 2025 | 23:18.003 races | 23:55.001 race | +2.65% |
| Alyssa Liu | 2025 | 25:32.003 races | 26:16.001 race | +2.87% |
| Owen Chrisensen | 2025 | 20:50.003 races | 21:28.001 race | +3.04% |
| Alex Signorovitch | 2025 | 17:18.003 races | 17:50.001 race | +3.08% |
| William Nass | 2025 | 20:39.002 races | 21:23.001 race | +3.55% |
| Ella Cocchi | 2025 | 27:10.003 races | 28:21.001 race | +4.36% |
| Jace LiVigni | 2025 | 17:47.002 races | 18:34.001 race | +4.40% |
| Hudson Li | 2025 | 19:32.003 races | 20:26.001 race | +4.61% |
| Emlyn Joseph | 2025 | 18:16.003 races | 19:09.001 race | +4.84% |
| Armand Matijasevic | 2025 | 18:58.003 races | 19:55.001 race | +5.01% |
| Taylor Krepps | 2025 | 25:46.003 races | 27:07.001 race | +5.24% |
| Emmett Burghardt | 2025 | 18:06.003 races | 19:04.001 race | +5.34% |
| Hunter Caggiano | 2025 | 20:01.002 races | 21:06.001 race | +5.41% |
| Hudson Tulman | 2025 | 20:22.003 races | 21:31.001 race | +5.65% |
| Grant Wheelan | 2025 | 17:59.003 races | 19:04.001 race | +6.02% |
| Isabella Chen | 2025 | 23:24.003 races | 25:12.001 race | +7.69% |
| Emilia Raviola | 2025 | 22:43.003 races | 25:02.001 race | +10.20% |
| Will Frazier | 2025 | 18:17.003 races | 20:11.001 race | +10.39% |
| Rhia Patel | 2025 | 25:09.002 races | 27:56.001 race | +11.07% |