Pairwise course analysis
RL 5K Coursevs.Rock Meadow 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow 5K runs faster
-2.61%
Roughly 31.4 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
56
Strong evidence
Median difference
-1.82%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.61%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.94%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-3.11% to -1.52%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | RL 5K Course | Rock Meadow 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Green | 2022 | 23:50.001 race | 21:30.001 race | -9.79% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2022 | 20:51.001 race | 19:07.001 race | -8.31% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2022 | 24:18.001 race | 22:24.001 race | -7.82% |
| Alexander Behn | 2022 | 21:10.001 race | 19:33.001 race | -7.64% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2022 | 18:43.001 race | 17:19.001 race | -7.48% |
| Reuben Siegel | 2022 | 25:03.001 race | 23:26.001 race | -6.45% |
| Davin Roy | 2022 | 25:33.001 race | 23:58.001 race | -6.20% |
| Luca Mezzanotte | 2022 | 21:07.001 race | 19:56.001 race | -5.60% |
| Aaron Stanger | 2022 | 19:14.001 race | 18:12.001 race | -5.37% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2022 | 19:13.001 race | 18:15.001 race | -5.03% |
| Gabriel Simmons | 2022 | 21:48.001 race | 20:46.001 race | -4.74% |
| Carver Porter | 2022 | 21:06.001 race | 20:06.001 race | -4.74% |
| Adrian Tan | 2022 | 25:05.001 race | 24:00.001 race | -4.32% |
| Daniel Xie | 2022 | 23:53.001 race | 22:52.001 race | -4.26% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2022 | 18:44.001 race | 17:58.001 race | -4.09% |
| Emilio Manz | 2022 | 21:01.001 race | 20:12.001 race | -3.89% |
| Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo | 2022 | 22:37.001 race | 21:47.001 race | -3.68% |
| Oliver Burstein | 2022 | 21:43.001 race | 20:55.001 race | -3.68% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2022 | 18:51.001 race | 18:10.001 race | -3.63% |
| Will McLane | 2022 | 18:21.001 race | 17:44.001 race | -3.36% |
| William Trautz | 2022 | 18:12.001 race | 17:42.001 race | -2.75% |
| Maksim Roman | 2022 | 20:20.001 race | 19:47.001 race | -2.70% |
| Will Grimes | 2022 | 20:27.001 race | 19:55.001 race | -2.61% |
| Luke Hotra | 2022 | 21:37.001 race | 21:06.001 race | -2.39% |
| Ben Guenther | 2022 | 18:18.001 race | 17:55.001 race | -2.09% |
| Carter Bartel | 2022 | 18:27.001 race | 18:04.001 race | -2.08% |
| Arnav Harve | 2022 | 19:30.001 race | 19:06.001 race | -2.05% |
| Max Daniello | 2022 | 20:37.001 race | 20:13.001 race | -1.94% |
| Colin Anderson | 2022 | 20:30.001 race | 20:09.001 race | -1.71% |
| David Hermanson | 2022 | 19:22.001 race | 19:03.001 race | -1.64% |
| Jonathan Tillen | 2022 | 20:43.001 race | 20:23.001 race | -1.61% |
| Noah Douglas | 2022 | 17:55.001 race | 17:40.001 race | -1.40% |
| Jeffrey Liu | 2022 | 25:53.001 race | 25:33.001 race | -1.29% |
| Alex Cheng | 2022 | 18:31.001 race | 18:17.001 race | -1.26% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2022 | 21:16.001 race | 21:04.001 race | -0.94% |
| Charlie Hall | 2022 | 18:37.001 race | 18:27.001 race | -0.90% |
| Jeremy Eaton | 2022 | 21:35.001 race | 21:24.001 race | -0.85% |
| Jerry Qin | 2022 | 20:12.001 race | 20:02.001 race | -0.83% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2022 | 20:45.001 race | 20:36.001 race | -0.72% |
| Tim Churchill | 2022 | 18:00.001 race | 17:53.001 race | -0.65% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2022 | 22:23.001 race | 22:17.001 race | -0.45% |
| Henry Ramanathan | 2022 | 21:01.001 race | 20:56.001 race | -0.40% |
| Justin Lee | 2022 | 20:51.001 race | 20:48.001 race | -0.24% |
| Om Paithankar | 2022 | 22:30.001 race | 22:29.001 race | -0.07% |
| Willy Connors | 2022 | 24:12.001 race | 24:12.001 race | 0.00% |
| Chris Tillen | 2022 | 20:59.001 race | 21:02.001 race | +0.24% |
| Josh Levine | 2022 | 24:01.001 race | 24:05.001 race | +0.28% |
| Thomas Xue | 2022 | 22:47.001 race | 22:51.001 race | +0.29% |
| Matthew Loose | 2022 | 20:28.001 race | 20:33.001 race | +0.41% |
| Ethan Burack | 2022 | 22:54.001 race | 23:05.001 race | +0.80% |
| Ezra Lee | 2022 | 20:42.001 race | 20:52.001 race | +0.81% |
| Patrick Albers | 2022 | 18:14.001 race | 18:23.001 race | +0.82% |
| Noah Peters | 2022 | 23:22.001 race | 23:41.001 race | +1.36% |
| Wesley Lindstrom-Chalpin | 2022 | 25:37.001 race | 26:00.001 race | +1.50% |
| Ethan Train | 2022 | 19:47.001 race | 20:18.001 race | +2.61% |
| Abdirizak Abdulle | 2022 | 21:51.001 race | 23:27.001 race | +7.32% |