Pairwise course analysis
St. Mark's School Championship Coursevs.WNH 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
WNH 5K runs slower
+2.32%
Roughly 27.8 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
41
Strong evidence
Median difference
-0.59%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+2.32%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.87%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-1.07% to +1.05%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | St. Mark's School Championship Course | WNH 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sooah (Sua) Yoo | 2021 | 26:53.004 races | 25:22.001 race | -5.64% |
| Weixin (Wendy) Wu | 2021 | 28:56.003 races | 27:38.001 race | -4.49% |
| Laruen McMahon | 2021 | 24:38.001 race | 23:37.001 race | -4.13% |
| Peter Abenante | 2021 | 23:59.001 race | 23:01.001 race | -4.03% |
| Mei-Ling Bielagus | 2021 | 24:07.001 race | 23:11.001 race | -3.87% |
| Jacqueline Thabit | 2021 | 25:46.001 race | 24:47.001 race | -3.82% |
| Jaclyn Zatsiorsky | 2021 | 28:16.004 races | 27:27.001 race | -2.89% |
| John Wallace | 2021 | 23:54.001 race | 23:16.001 race | -2.65% |
| Nicholas Reimer | 2021 | 29:07.001 race | 28:21.001 race | -2.63% |
| Mark Henshon | 2021 | 17:47.001 race | 17:20.001 race | -2.53% |
| Olivia Crisafi | 2021 | 24:07.001 race | 23:37.001 race | -2.07% |
| Kofi Fordjour | 2021 | 17:22.001 race | 17:04.001 race | -1.73% |
| John (Jake) Popeo | 2021 | 20:13.001 race | 19:55.001 race | -1.48% |
| Brian Zheng | 2021 | 21:40.001 race | 21:23.001 race | -1.31% |
| Aleah Ghiasuddin | 2021 | 22:35.001 race | 22:21.001 race | -1.03% |
| Diana Oh | 2021 | 29:28.003 races | 29:10.001 race | -1.02% |
| Eric Diop | 2021 | 18:07.001 race | 17:57.001 race | -0.92% |
| Andy Jiang | 2021 | 24:56.001 race | 24:43.001 race | -0.87% |
| Veronika Kitsul | 2021 | 25:49.004 races | 25:37.001 race | -0.77% |
| John (Jack) Tompros | 2021 | 20:57.001 race | 20:48.001 race | -0.72% |
| Aiden English | 2021 | 22:34.001 race | 22:26.001 race | -0.59% |
| Amelia Barlow | 2021 | 27:36.001 race | 27:30.001 race | -0.36% |
| Thomas Reichard | 2021 | 19:07.001 race | 19:05.001 race | -0.17% |
| Judy Xie | 2021 | 27:59.002 races | 28:03.001 race | +0.24% |
| Sunny Li | 2021 | 30:16.002 races | 30:26.001 race | +0.55% |
| Princess Alexander | 2021 | 26:19.003 races | 26:28.001 race | +0.57% |
| Coco Chen | 2021 | 29:45.003 races | 29:57.001 race | +0.67% |
| Sophia Matherly | 2021 | 27:20.001 race | 27:37.001 race | +1.04% |
| Michael Thomas | 2021 | 18:32.001 race | 18:45.001 race | +1.17% |
| Helena Xie | 2021 | 22:40.004 races | 23:00.001 race | +1.47% |
| Lakshmi Bogelli | 2021 | 30:05.001 race | 30:36.001 race | +1.72% |
| Akhilsai Damera | 2021 | 20:27.001 race | 20:49.001 race | +1.79% |
| Benzo Zhou | 2021 | 20:35.001 race | 21:01.001 race | +2.11% |
| Maddie Bazinet | 2021 | 30:08.002 races | 30:56.001 race | +2.65% |
| Bear Brooks | 2021 | 17:10.001 race | 17:39.001 race | +2.82% |
| Cora Knoell | 2021 | 24:16.001 race | 24:57.001 race | +2.82% |
| Michael Allen | 2021 | 21:09.001 race | 21:54.001 race | +3.55% |
| David Sullivan | 2021 | 18:04.001 race | 18:43.001 race | +3.60% |
| Natalie Zaterka | 2021 | 21:06.003 races | 21:58.001 race | +4.11% |
| David (Hershie) Liebowitz | 2021 | 21:22.001 race | 22:27.001 race | +5.07% |
| Kevin Yao | 2021 | 24:33.001 race | 28:22.002 races | +15.55% |