Pairwise course analysis
Thayer 5K Coursevs.Brooks School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Brooks School 5K runs slower
+4.34%
Roughly 52.0 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
31
Developing evidence
Median difference
+2.33%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+4.34%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.23%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-0.46% to +3.85%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Thayer 5K Course | Brooks School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gigi Gillard | 2019 | 33:48.002 races | 28:15.001 race | -16.42% |
| Erin Farmer | 2019 | 34:37.002 races | 30:18.001 race | -12.47% |
| Cameron Walker | 2019 | 27:30.002 races | 26:34.001 race | -3.39% |
| Braeden Moitoso | 2021 | 20:58.001 race | 20:20.001 race | -3.02% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:55.001 race | 23:23.001 race | -2.23% |
| Virginia Thompson | 2019 | 27:03.002 races | 26:27.001 race | -2.22% |
| Nathalie Pierpont | 2021 | 26:27.001 race | 26:10.001 race | -1.07% |
| Aidan Berger | 2021 | 21:13.001 race | 21:01.001 race | -0.94% |
| Ally Gilbert | 2019 | 27:24.002 races | 27:17.001 race | -0.43% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 21:31.001 race | 21:38.001 race | +0.54% |
| Lilly Bradley | 2019 | 19:58.002 races | 20:06.001 race | +0.67% |
| Matthew Smith | 2021 | 22:16.001 race | 22:34.001 race | +1.35% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 25:14.001 race | 25:40.001 race | +1.72% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 17:13.001 race | 17:31.001 race | +1.74% |
| Brandon Christ | 2021 | 19:28.001 race | 19:54.001 race | +2.23% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 24:22.001 race | 24:56.001 race | +2.33% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 20:24.001 race | +2.43% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 18:32.001 race | 19:07.001 race | +3.15% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 18:34.001 race | 19:13.001 race | +3.50% |
| Kylie Bogar | 2019 | 27:57.002 races | 29:00.001 race | +3.76% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 17:20.001 race | 18:02.001 race | +4.04% |
| Mairin Anderson | 2022 | 24:49.001 race | 25:50.001 race | +4.10% |
| Lindsay Tucker | 2019 | 26:42.002 races | 27:51.001 race | +4.31% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 21:33.001 race | 22:34.001 race | +4.72% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 22:17.001 race | 23:26.001 race | +5.16% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 18:59.001 race | 20:10.001 race | +6.23% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2022 | 25:01.001 race | 26:38.001 race | +6.46% |
| Anya Carroll | 2022 | 25:01.001 race | 26:38.001 race | +6.46% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2022 | 30:25.001 race | 32:57.001 race | +8.33% |
| Camille Destefano | 2022 | 26:12.001 race | 29:33.001 race | +12.79% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 19:43.001 race | 22:23.001 race | +13.52% |