Pairwise course analysis

Williston Northampton School 5Kvs.Brooks School 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

These courses run about even

+0.20%

Roughly 2.4 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

26

Developing evidence

Median difference

+4.04%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+0.20%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+2.66%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Brooks School 5K fasterEvenBrooks School 5K slower

Confidence interval

+3.45% to +5.85%

Scale shown

-6% to +6%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonWilliston Northampton School 5KBrooks School 5KDifference
Brandon Abell202521:41.001 race21:22.351 race-1.43%
Quinn Bartling202521:35.001 race21:20.301 race-1.14%
Colin Bradley202518:40.001 race18:58.151 race+1.62%
Richie Federico202517:20.001 race17:42.321 race+2.15%
Julian Vidal202520:57.001 race21:24.501 race+2.19%
Toby Harrison202518:21.001 race18:56.021 race+3.18%
Eric Archerman202518:07.001 race18:41.781 race+3.20%
Fin Reichard202519:34.001 race20:13.331 race+3.35%
Avish Kumar202523:18.001 race24:06.431 race+3.46%
Oliver Colbert202522:33.001 race23:22.151 race+3.63%
Liam Walsh202517:24.001 race18:02.091 race+3.65%
Nick Glaeser202522:39.001 race23:32.581 race+3.94%
Calvin Jacobs202519:33.001 race20:19.931 race+4.00%
Riley Alqueza202521:42.001 race22:35.081 race+4.08%
Max Kesselheim202519:45.001 race20:43.471 race+4.93%
Oliver Massey202519:44.001 race20:47.601 race+5.37%
KJ Irving202521:06.001 race22:14.781 race+5.43%
Owen Haskell202519:18.001 race20:21.191 race+5.46%
Lincoln Hyatt202517:33.001 race18:31.341 race+5.54%
Seamus McFarland202519:47.001 race20:59.841 race+6.14%
Ben Romano202520:01.001 race21:18.271 race+6.43%
Thomas Casall202522:27.001 race23:56.561 race+6.65%
James Kerr202516:18.001 race17:23.601 race+6.71%
Kolby Sahin202521:41.001 race23:59.071 race+10.61%
Robert Peirce202519:42.001 race21:49.171 race+10.76%
Paul Tompros202523:11.001 race25:58.931 race+12.07%