Pairwise course analysis
Williston Northampton School 5Kvs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-2.76%
Roughly 33.2 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
19
Developing evidence
Median difference
-2.09%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.76%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.28%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-3.52% to -0.80%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Williston Northampton School 5K | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Berk | 2025 | 22:09.001 race | 20:21.001 race | -8.13% |
| Diego Abadie | 2025 | 18:26.001 race | 17:16.001 race | -6.33% |
| Olivian Baker | 2025 | 22:23.001 race | 21:15.001 race | -5.06% |
| Phiris Clark-Tolouni | 2025 | 23:44.001 race | 22:39.001 race | -4.56% |
| Leila Blake | 2025 | 23:23.001 race | 22:21.001 race | -4.42% |
| Peilin Li | 2025 | 20:25.001 race | 19:36.001 race | -4.00% |
| Matias Egan | 2025 | 20:09.001 race | 19:26.001 race | -3.56% |
| Nikolas Konstantopoulos | 2025 | 21:26.001 race | 20:46.001 race | -3.11% |
| Cody Monahan | 2025 | 23:04.001 race | 22:33.001 race | -2.24% |
| Matthew Ding | 2025 | 21:33.001 race | 21:06.001 race | -2.09% |
| Gabe Cooper | 2025 | 20:55.001 race | 20:29.001 race | -2.07% |
| David Xiong | 2025 | 18:10.001 race | 17:54.001 race | -1.47% |
| Amory Forman | 2025 | 20:24.001 race | 20:10.001 race | -1.14% |
| Amelia Blake | 2025 | 21:58.001 race | 21:52.001 race | -0.46% |
| David Moon | 2025 | 21:02.001 race | 21:05.001 race | +0.24% |
| Viola Shepard | 2025 | 25:08.001 race | 25:15.001 race | +0.46% |
| Violet Zhang | 2025 | 25:51.001 race | 26:06.001 race | +0.97% |
| Zoe Pincus | 2025 | 24:51.001 race | 25:39.001 race | +3.22% |
| Noah Avram | 2025 | 21:01.001 race | 21:43.001 race | +3.33% |