Pairwise course analysis

BB&N 5K Coursevs.Governor's 5K Course

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Governor's 5K Course runs slower

+7.69%

Roughly 1:32 slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

143

Deep evidence

Median difference

+7.78%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+7.69%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+5.65%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Governor's 5K Course fasterEvenGovernor's 5K Course slower

Confidence interval

+7.24% to +8.94%

Scale shown

-10% to +10%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonBB&N 5K CourseGovernor's 5K CourseDifference
Tanay Kommareddi201924:20.001 race23:35.001 race-3.08%
Aiden English201923:30.001 race22:47.002 races-3.05%
Gabriel Yu202125:30.001 race24:47.001 race-2.81%
Ryan King201926:04.001 race25:44.003 races-1.28%
Grigory Menshikov201926:08.001 race25:52.003 races-1.02%
Evan Wirth202119:37.001 race19:31.001 race-0.51%
James Lyman202120:58.001 race20:54.001 race-0.32%
Hugh Park202120:44.001 race20:45.001 race+0.08%
Monica Mukherjee202122:31.001 race22:41.001 race+0.74%
Nicholas Reimer202222:40.001 race23:03.003 races+1.69%
Tori Duckworth202123:09.001 race23:33.001 race+1.73%
Jessica Choe201929:31.001 race30:05.003 races+1.92%
Jillian Bergeron202419:50.001 race20:14.003 races+2.02%
Lauren Puglia202122:12.001 race22:40.001 race+2.10%
Zebediah Stewart202118:36.001 race19:00.001 race+2.15%
Alex Tobias202117:19.001 race17:42.001 race+2.21%
Max Kesselheim202320:04.001 race20:35.001 race+2.57%
Brady Preneta202420:36.001 race21:09.003 races+2.67%
Katie Riley201927:25.001 race28:11.001 race+2.80%
Dylan Uttam202221:50.001 race22:27.003 races+2.82%
Eric Zhu202318:56.001 race19:31.001 race+3.08%
Edo Spadaccini202123:59.001 race24:44.001 race+3.13%
Katelyn Pereira202424:19.001 race25:07.003 races+3.29%
Thomas Ireland202419:23.001 race20:05.003 races+3.61%
Evan Salhanick202120:15.001 race21:00.001 race+3.70%
DK Rhee202429:24.001 race30:33.003 races+3.91%
Alex Hass201919:59.001 race20:47.002 races+4.00%
Adyson Duval202127:06.001 race28:14.001 race+4.18%
Cameron Estrada201921:37.001 race22:32.001 race+4.24%
Josh Taylor202222:05.001 race23:05.001 race+4.53%
Daniel Reyes202122:57.001 race24:00.001 race+4.58%
Josh Taylor202421:19.001 race22:19.003 races+4.69%
Will Cote201916:56.001 race17:44.001 race+4.72%
Martin Beaumont-Mill202420:23.001 race21:21.003 races+4.74%
Elena Gordon202424:00.001 race25:09.003 races+4.79%
Eric Archerman202319:05.001 race20:01.001 race+4.89%
Peter Abenante202221:18.001 race22:21.003 races+4.93%
Leo Lin201922:16.001 race23:23.003 races+5.01%
Mark Henshon201917:05.001 race17:57.001 race+5.07%
Peter Abenante202420:00.001 race21:02.003 races+5.17%
Ryan Sullivan202419:14.001 race20:14.002 races+5.20%
Hollen Knoell201924:58.001 race26:17.003 races+5.27%
Eric Diop202317:23.001 race18:19.001 race+5.37%
Zoe Wilmerding202125:17.001 race26:39.001 race+5.41%
Quinn Anderson-Song201919:02.001 race20:04.003 races+5.43%
George Madison201917:01.001 race17:59.001 race+5.68%
Max Rochford202422:49.001 race24:07.003 races+5.70%
Dylan Uttam202419:54.001 race21:03.003 races+5.78%
Javi Werner201917:38.001 race18:40.001 race+5.86%
Eric Lin201928:08.001 race29:49.002 races+5.98%
John (Jake) Popeo202318:32.001 race19:39.001 race+6.03%
Talia Jachimowicz201924:56.001 race26:28.003 races+6.15%
Brendan Reichard202320:07.001 race21:22.001 race+6.21%
Cassidy Kamil202425:38.001 race27:16.002 races+6.37%
Arav Kochhar202422:57.001 race24:25.003 races+6.39%
Kevin Yao202220:06.001 race21:25.002 races+6.55%
Lucy McCormick202422:09.001 race23:38.003 races+6.70%
Olivia Crisafi201927:07.001 race28:56.003 races+6.70%
Edo Spadaccini201924:21.001 race25:59.001 race+6.71%
Michael Thomas201918:48.001 race20:04.001 race+6.74%
Katalin (Kata) Clark202120:55.001 race22:21.001 race+6.85%
Colin Bradley202319:07.001 race20:26.001 race+6.89%
Cheng Zhuang202121:27.001 race22:56.001 race+6.92%
Eliza Barker202124:53.001 race26:38.001 race+7.03%
Aditya Shrivastava202222:41.001 race24:18.002 races+7.13%
Quinn Donovan201917:06.001 race18:21.001 race+7.31%
Aleah Ghiasuddin201927:30.001 race29:31.002 races+7.33%
Grayson Lee202320:04.001 race21:33.001 race+7.39%
Isabelle Stewart201926:13.001 race28:11.003 races+7.50%
Liam Walsh202316:54.001 race18:11.001 race+7.59%
Jason Li202423:45.001 race25:35.003 races+7.72%
Theo Teng201921:12.001 race22:51.001 race+7.78%
Andy Seals202118:30.001 race19:57.001 race+7.84%
David (Hershie) Liebowitz201924:24.001 race26:19.001 race+7.86%
Alex Yin201921:27.001 race23:09.001 race+7.93%
James Kerr202316:16.001 race17:36.001 race+8.20%
Wes Gray202423:12.001 race25:08.003 races+8.33%
Ezra Klauber202316:22.001 race17:44.001 race+8.35%
Richard Federico202317:02.001 race18:28.001 race+8.41%
Max Rochford202223:21.001 race25:19.003 races+8.42%
Armando Walters201920:33.001 race22:18.001 race+8.52%
Benzo Zhou202219:19.001 race20:58.003 races+8.54%
Eric Berard201917:55.001 race19:27.003 races+8.56%
Zach Lonberg201924:19.001 race26:24.003 races+8.57%
Austin Reid202320:58.001 race22:46.001 race+8.59%
Mason Peng202222:28.001 race24:27.002 races+8.83%
Amelia Barlow202222:55.001 race24:57.003 races+8.87%
Nolan McKenna201918:11.001 race19:48.001 race+8.89%
Lucy Rainer201926:14.001 race28:35.002 races+8.96%
Ella McDonald202421:44.001 race23:41.003 races+8.97%
Lissy Portorreal202230:45.001 race33:34.001 race+9.16%
Alex Schoenwald202425:25.001 race27:45.003 races+9.18%
Willow Dixon202422:59.001 race25:09.001 race+9.43%
Akhilsai Damera202318:58.001 race20:46.001 race+9.49%
Alex Hallstrom201920:34.001 race22:33.003 races+9.64%
Alex Tobias201918:15.001 race20:03.001 race+9.86%
Matthew Mariani202218:42.001 race20:33.003 races+9.89%
Mei-Ling Bielagus202420:01.001 race22:00.002 races+9.91%
Lincoln Hyatt202317:55.001 race19:42.001 race+9.95%
Mei-Ling Bielagus202219:32.001 race21:29.003 races+9.98%
Cara (c Nugent201922:57.001 race25:15.001 race+10.02%
Jana Choe201931:56.001 race35:09.003 races+10.07%
Ben Nissenbaum202222:13.001 race24:30.004 races+10.28%
Austin Corbett202417:50.001 race19:40.003 races+10.28%
Grace Maloney202223:23.001 race25:48.003 races+10.33%
Sophia Mikelinich202220:49.001 race23:00.003 races+10.49%
Skylar Bedard202219:54.001 race22:00.003 races+10.55%
Jude Anderson-Song202418:52.001 race20:58.001 race+11.13%
Fin Reichard202319:17.001 race21:26.001 race+11.15%
Katelyn Korzon202427:36.001 race30:44.001 race+11.35%
Brian Zheng202219:05.001 race21:17.003 races+11.53%
Joe Zhao201922:23.001 race24:59.001 race+11.62%
Calvin Reid202319:08.001 race21:24.001 race+11.85%
Levi Harrison202317:43.001 race19:49.001 race+11.85%
John Harrington201918:54.001 race21:09.001 race+11.90%
Lakshmi Bogelli201931:47.001 race35:36.002 races+12.01%
Cora Knoell202221:47.001 race24:31.003 races+12.55%
Lucie Abenante201927:31.001 race31:01.002 races+12.72%
Sophia Matherly202223:40.001 race26:46.003 races+13.10%
Bear Brooks202216:17.001 race18:25.003 races+13.10%
Liam O'Connor201918:37.001 race21:04.001 race+13.16%
Amina Cifric202223:18.001 race26:22.003 races+13.16%
Zach Heaton202317:47.001 race20:12.001 race+13.59%
Nashr El Auliya201919:13.001 race21:50.001 race+13.62%
Jack Gilbert201920:54.001 race23:46.003 races+13.72%
Molly Madigan201922:08.001 race25:13.001 race+13.93%
Cole Bourgeois201919:14.001 race21:59.002 races+14.30%
Katelyn Pereira202222:11.001 race25:34.003 races+15.25%
Alex Chen202225:45.001 race29:42.002 races+15.34%
Gabriel Barreto-D'Silva201921:18.001 race24:35.001 race+15.41%
Tori Duckworth201922:04.001 race25:33.001 race+15.79%
Lila Graves202226:49.001 race31:12.003 races+16.35%
Oliver Kim201925:01.001 race29:07.001 race+16.39%
Bruin Brayshaw202222:07.001 race25:47.003 races+16.58%
James Lyman201920:13.001 race23:35.001 race+16.65%
Adam Jin201925:24.001 race29:42.001 race+16.93%
Ian Richardson201921:25.001 race25:21.001 race+18.37%
Oliver Colbert202321:15.001 race25:15.001 race+18.82%
Sam Kim201924:09.001 race28:48.001 race+19.25%
Eleanor Mayer201924:07.001 race29:27.001 race+22.11%
Clara Choi201932:50.001 race40:14.001 race+22.54%
Daniel Reyes201923:18.001 race28:52.001 race+23.89%
Vanessa Shipley201921:30.001 race26:46.001 race+24.50%