Pairwise course analysis
BB&N 5K Coursevs.Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K runs slower
+6.33%
Roughly 1:16 slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
62
Strong evidence
Median difference
+8.05%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+6.33%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.63%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K fasterEvenRock Meadow Short Loop 5K slower
Confidence interval
+7.99% to +10.32%
Scale shown
-12% to +12%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | BB&N 5K Course | Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Weldon | 2019 | 19:39.001 race | 19:51.001 race | +1.02% |
| Johannes Eikeboom | 2024 | 19:56.001 race | 20:19.001 race | +1.92% |
| Charles Donahue | 2019 | 18:32.001 race | 18:58.001 race | +2.34% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2024 | 16:50.001 race | 17:16.001 race | +2.57% |
| Liam Nawara | 2019 | 23:06.001 race | 23:45.001 race | +2.81% |
| Ryan Swords | 2019 | 20:34.001 race | 21:20.001 race | +3.73% |
| Christiaan Eikeboom | 2019 | 19:13.001 race | 20:04.001 race | +4.42% |
| Tyler Smith | 2024 | 18:50.001 race | 19:47.001 race | +5.04% |
| Sammy Guerrero | 2019 | 21:33.001 race | 22:40.001 race | +5.18% |
| Ethan Xie | 2024 | 20:24.001 race | 21:28.001 race | +5.23% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2024 | 16:40.001 race | 17:33.001 race | +5.30% |
| Brendan Kilpatrick | 2024 | 21:46.001 race | 22:57.001 race | +5.44% |
| Timothy Snail | 2024 | 17:20.001 race | 18:17.001 race | +5.48% |
| John Pena | 2024 | 19:39.001 race | 20:44.001 race | +5.51% |
| Sreetej Digumarthi | 2019 | 20:58.001 race | 22:09.001 race | +5.64% |
| Maksim Roman | 2024 | 17:47.001 race | 18:49.001 race | +5.81% |
| Luke Hogan | 2019 | 20:28.001 race | 21:40.001 race | +5.86% |
| Riley Marth | 2024 | 18:01.001 race | 19:09.001 race | +6.29% |
| Babikir Saeed | 2024 | 17:59.001 race | 19:07.001 race | +6.30% |
| Charles Stevenson | 2019 | 24:43.001 race | 26:17.001 race | +6.34% |
| Aidan McGaugh | 2019 | 18:00.001 race | 19:10.001 race | +6.48% |
| William Achtmeyer | 2024 | 18:51.001 race | 20:05.001 race | +6.54% |
| Jake Pappo | 2019 | 20:04.001 race | 21:23.001 race | +6.56% |
| Sebastian Colberg | 2024 | 18:51.001 race | 20:08.001 race | +6.81% |
| Tyler Forg | 2019 | 20:17.001 race | 21:42.001 race | +6.98% |
| Nicholas Hebard | 2019 | 21:29.001 race | 23:01.001 race | +7.14% |
| Jack Kastner | 2024 | 20:00.001 race | 21:26.001 race | +7.17% |
| Eita Fuse | 2024 | 16:41.001 race | 17:58.001 race | +7.69% |
| Jack Good | 2024 | 18:15.001 race | 19:41.001 race | +7.85% |
| Vincent Mezzanotte | 2024 | 19:45.001 race | 21:19.001 race | +7.93% |
| Alex Chen | 2024 | 20:10.001 race | 21:46.001 race | +7.93% |
| Justin Qin | 2019 | 17:22.001 race | 18:47.001 race | +8.16% |
| Howard Huang | 2019 | 20:27.001 race | 22:08.001 race | +8.23% |
| Ryan Cannistraro | 2019 | 25:34.001 race | 27:47.001 race | +8.67% |
| Charlie Guerra | 2019 | 19:51.001 race | 21:35.001 race | +8.73% |
| Gabriel Klug | 2019 | 20:50.001 race | 22:47.001 race | +9.36% |
| Max Hall | 2019 | 18:16.001 race | 20:00.001 race | +9.49% |
| William Trautz | 2024 | 15:19.001 race | 16:52.001 race | +10.12% |
| Carter Bartel | 2019 | 19:26.001 race | 21:27.001 race | +10.38% |
| Yamin Ibrahim | 2024 | 17:38.001 race | 19:28.001 race | +10.40% |
| Daniel Bittner | 2019 | 20:39.001 race | 22:55.001 race | +10.98% |
| Rishi Khanna | 2019 | 19:17.001 race | 21:24.001 race | +10.98% |
| Ethan Anderson | 2019 | 18:28.001 race | 20:34.001 race | +11.37% |
| Shawn Wu | 2019 | 19:25.001 race | 21:38.001 race | +11.42% |
| Niki Apostolicas | 2019 | 19:43.001 race | 21:59.001 race | +11.50% |
| Ryan Chang-Wu | 2024 | 21:26.001 race | 23:57.001 race | +11.74% |
| Chris Millay | 2019 | 18:05.001 race | 20:13.001 race | +11.80% |
| Khalid Abdulle | 2019 | 19:28.001 race | 21:53.001 race | +12.41% |
| David Hermanson | 2019 | 19:02.001 race | 21:28.001 race | +12.78% |
| Sam Jankey | 2019 | 20:27.001 race | 23:04.001 race | +12.80% |
| Justin Power | 2019 | 20:36.001 race | 23:15.001 race | +12.86% |
| Charles Wells | 2019 | 24:11.001 race | 27:26.001 race | +13.44% |
| Sam Millay | 2019 | 21:07.001 race | 23:59.001 race | +13.58% |
| Wyatt Ellison | 2019 | 20:17.001 race | 23:07.001 race | +13.97% |
| Charles Wang | 2019 | 22:04.001 race | 25:25.001 race | +15.18% |
| Xavier Welch | 2019 | 24:11.001 race | 28:10.001 race | +16.47% |
| Luke Hotra | 2019 | 22:07.001 race | 25:47.001 race | +16.58% |
| Patrick Denning | 2019 | 17:52.001 race | 21:11.001 race | +18.56% |
| Jacob Casper | 2019 | 22:06.001 race | 26:16.001 race | +18.85% |
| Om Paithankar | 2019 | 19:41.001 race | 23:36.001 race | +19.90% |
| Arnav Harve | 2019 | 19:35.001 race | 23:37.001 race | +20.60% |
| Chris Athanasia | 2019 | 21:10.001 race | 25:36.001 race | +20.94% |