Pairwise course analysis

Brooks School 5Kvs.Rock Meadow 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Rock Meadow 5K runs faster

-0.68%

Roughly 8.2 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

19

Developing evidence

Median difference

-0.09%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

-0.68%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+1.87%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Rock Meadow 5K fasterEvenRock Meadow 5K slower

Confidence interval

-0.88% to +0.99%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonBrooks School 5KRock Meadow 5KDifference
Miles Sandoski202217:51.001 race17:19.001 race-2.99%
Jackson Pagan202219:36.001 race19:07.001 race-2.47%
Luca Mezzanotte202220:19.001 race19:56.001 race-1.89%
Fitz Courtney202218:14.001 race17:58.001 race-1.46%
Carver Porter202220:22.001 race20:06.001 race-1.31%
Gabriel Simmons202221:02.001 race20:46.001 race-1.27%
Alexander Behn202219:46.001 race19:33.001 race-1.10%
Reuben Siegel202223:31.001 race23:26.001 race-0.35%
Maksim Roman202219:51.001 race19:47.001 race-0.34%
William Trautz202217:43.001 race17:42.001 race-0.09%
Nathaniel Voss202218:16.001 race18:15.001 race-0.09%
Tobias Jonas202222:23.001 race22:24.001 race+0.07%
Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo202221:44.001 race21:47.001 race+0.23%
Davis Woolbert202218:06.001 race18:10.001 race+0.37%
Aaron Stanger202218:04.001 race18:12.001 race+0.74%
Andrew Bittner202220:47.001 race21:04.001 race+1.36%
Jack Kastner202221:44.001 race22:18.001 race+2.61%
Henry Ramanathan202220:07.001 race20:56.001 race+4.06%
Jeremy Eaton202220:20.001 race21:24.001 race+5.25%