Pairwise course analysis

Brooks School 5Kvs.Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K runs faster

-1.00%

Roughly 12.0 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

45

Strong evidence

Median difference

-1.49%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

-1.00%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+5.35%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K fasterEvenRock Meadow Short Loop 5K slower

Confidence interval

-2.15% to -0.15%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonBrooks School 5KRock Meadow Short Loop 5KDifference
Grant Vensel202222:17.001 race20:20.001 race-8.75%
Leo Gu202222:54.001 race21:37.001 race-5.60%
Alexander Behn202219:46.001 race18:43.001 race-5.31%
James McCarron III202217:12.001 race16:21.001 race-4.94%
Cormac Anderson202423:34.001 race22:25.001 race-4.88%
Jackson Pagan202219:36.001 race18:39.001 race-4.85%
Noah Bay201921:31.001 race20:33.001 race-4.49%
Mark Wilson201920:50.001 race19:58.001 race-4.16%
Jonathan Cajamarca202220:20.001 race19:30.001 race-4.10%
Tobias Jonas202222:23.001 race21:28.001 race-4.10%
Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo202221:44.001 race20:51.001 race-4.06%
Maksim Roman202219:51.001 race19:03.001 race-4.03%
Alexander Wasynczuk202421:16.001 race20:30.001 race-3.61%
Ryan Growney202219:40.001 race18:58.001 race-3.56%
Carver Porter202220:22.001 race19:50.001 race-2.62%
Antonio Martinez202420:41.001 race20:09.001 race-2.58%
Ian Schmidek202228:29.001 race27:47.001 race-2.46%
Fitz Courtney202218:14.001 race17:49.001 race-2.29%
Andrew Mazza201919:58.001 race19:31.001 race-2.25%
Gabriel Simmons202221:02.001 race20:36.001 race-2.06%
Jeremy Eaton202220:20.001 race19:58.001 race-1.80%
Ian Bayliss201919:39.001 race19:20.001 race-1.61%
Joseph Koh202419:03.001 race18:46.001 race-1.49%
Ryder Cavanagh201919:58.001 race19:42.001 race-1.34%
Henry Ramanathan202220:07.001 race19:51.001 race-1.33%
Jack Kastner202221:44.001 race21:27.001 race-1.30%
Vivan Das201921:17.001 race21:03.001 race-1.10%
Aaron Stanger202218:04.001 race17:56.001 race-0.74%
Miles Sandoski202217:51.001 race17:48.001 race-0.28%
Powers Trigg201919:39.001 race19:44.001 race+0.42%
Lawrence Li201921:01.001 race21:10.001 race+0.71%
Nathaniel Voss202218:16.001 race18:27.001 race+1.00%
William Hansen201921:15.001 race21:29.001 race+1.10%
Davis Woolbert202218:06.001 race18:18.001 race+1.10%
Derek Chang201919:01.001 race19:15.001 race+1.23%
Patrick McDonald201918:22.001 race18:38.001 race+1.45%
Michael Bobo202221:00.001 race21:21.001 race+1.67%
John Joyce202416:51.001 race17:09.001 race+1.78%
Henry Gennari201922:28.001 race22:52.001 race+1.78%
Luis Sosa Espinal202421:06.001 race21:34.001 race+2.21%
Reuben Siegel202223:31.001 race24:19.001 race+3.40%
Luca Mezzanotte202220:19.001 race21:08.001 race+4.02%
Riley Eyman202221:14.001 race22:16.001 race+4.87%
Alessandro Barbiellini201922:51.001 race24:28.001 race+7.08%
Jack Wang201921:58.001 race23:50.001 race+8.50%