Pairwise course analysis
Governor's 5K Coursevs.DeMeritt Hill Farm
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
DeMeritt Hill Farm runs slower
+0.34%
Roughly 4.1 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
9
Limited evidence
Median difference
+0.34%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+0.34%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+16.78%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-8.12% to +2.20%
Scale shown
-10% to +10%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Governor's 5K Course | DeMeritt Hill Farm | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snail | 2026 | 23:43.001 race | 20:15.601 race | -14.57% |
| Teddy Shortsleeve | 2026 | 23:44.001 race | 20:50.901 race | -12.16% |
| Shea McDonnell | 2026 | 23:52.001 race | 21:00.201 race | -12.00% |
| Yamin Ibrahim | 2026 | 18:34.001 race | 18:36.601 race | +0.23% |
| Declan Woolbert | 2026 | 17:53.001 race | 17:56.701 race | +0.34% |
| Miles Keller | 2026 | 18:35.001 race | 19:04.801 race | +2.67% |
| Eli Fiori | 2026 | 18:16.001 race | 18:46.401 race | +2.77% |
| Colin Grierson | 2026 | 19:09.001 race | 19:44.601 race | +3.10% |
| Pierce Courtney | 2026 | 18:18.001 race | 19:04.601 race | +4.24% |