Pairwise course analysis
Governor's 5K Coursevs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-3.21%
Roughly 38.5 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
245
Deep evidence
Median difference
-3.73%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-3.21%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.60%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Milton Standard 5K fasterEvenMilton Standard 5K slower
Confidence interval
-4.37% to -3.02%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Governor's 5K Course | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meg Tarling | 2025 | 37:24.003 races | 22:20.001 race | -40.29% |
| Bella Choi | 2025 | 30:52.001 race | 24:23.001 race | -21.00% |
| Henry Zhu | 2025 | 31:17.001 race | 24:50.001 race | -20.62% |
| Aila McEnroe | 2019 | 33:04.001 race | 27:29.001 race | -16.89% |
| Heloise Langlais | 2025 | 34:39.003 races | 29:08.001 race | -15.92% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2023 | 24:13.001 race | 20:34.001 race | -15.07% |
| Katalin (Kata) Clark | 2021 | 22:21.001 race | 19:12.001 race | -14.09% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2023 | 20:35.001 race | 17:56.001 race | -12.87% |
| Olivia Pasquale | 2021 | 29:36.001 race | 26:26.001 race | -10.70% |
| Martin Beaumont-Mill | 2024 | 22:51.003 races | 20:27.001 race | -10.50% |
| Peter Gnazzo | 2024 | 26:17.001 race | 23:36.001 race | -10.21% |
| Jack Kastner | 2023 | 22:29.001 race | 20:13.001 race | -10.08% |
| Masan Porter | 2024 | 23:32.001 race | 21:15.002 races | -9.70% |
| Ellie Gable | 2019 | 27:49.001 race | 25:14.001 race | -9.29% |
| Maria Anderson | 2024 | 29:41.001 race | 26:56.002 races | -9.26% |
| Erin Green | 2023 | 28:32.001 race | 25:54.001 race | -9.23% |
| Adrian Tan | 2023 | 28:37.001 race | 26:08.001 race | -8.68% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 24:21.001 race | 22:15.001 race | -8.62% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 24:30.001 race | 22:29.001 race | -8.23% |
| Timothy Snail | 2023 | 20:17.001 race | 18:38.001 race | -8.13% |
| Mark Price | 2023 | 25:12.001 race | 23:12.001 race | -7.94% |
| Kevin Yao | 2021 | 26:50.004 races | 24:43.001 race | -7.89% |
| Tabi Kelly | 2025 | 24:26.003 races | 22:31.001 race | -7.84% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2022 | 28:04.001 race | 25:52.001 race | -7.84% |
| Evan Salhanick | 2022 | 20:45.001 race | 19:08.001 race | -7.79% |
| Eli Berk | 2024 | 23:22.001 race | 21:33.002 races | -7.77% |
| Tyler Almaraz | 2025 | 29:26.001 race | 27:09.001 race | -7.76% |
| Andy Li | 2025 | 28:27.001 race | 26:15.001 race | -7.73% |
| Nicole Fallon | 2024 | 28:04.001 race | 26:00.001 race | -7.36% |
| Zidan Graham | 2024 | 24:40.001 race | 22:52.001 race | -7.30% |
| Jace LiVigni | 2024 | 19:26.001 race | 18:01.002 races | -7.29% |
| Duncan Kilbride | 2023 | 22:27.001 race | 20:49.001 race | -7.28% |
| Rhett Curtis | 2023 | 23:29.001 race | 21:47.001 race | -7.24% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2021 | 24:00.001 race | 22:16.001 race | -7.22% |
| Jerry Sang | 2019 | 27:16.001 race | 25:19.001 race | -7.15% |
| Chris Thompson | 2023 | 20:48.001 race | 19:23.001 race | -6.81% |
| Marina Joseph | 2022 | 30:00.001 race | 27:58.001 race | -6.78% |
| Jason Fan | 2025 | 28:13.002 races | 26:19.001 race | -6.73% |
| Jake Devries | 2023 | 22:08.001 race | 20:39.001 race | -6.70% |
| Mike Gao | 2024 | 25:56.001 race | 24:14.001 race | -6.56% |
| Rumi Kaye | 2025 | 29:50.001 race | 27:53.001 race | -6.54% |
| Jaden Smith | 2023 | 19:59.001 race | 18:41.001 race | -6.51% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2022 | 25:53.001 race | 24:13.001 race | -6.44% |
| George Carroll | 2023 | 20:59.001 race | 19:38.001 race | -6.43% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2023 | 24:40.001 race | 23:05.001 race | -6.42% |
| Ian Schmidek | 2023 | 25:59.001 race | 24:19.001 race | -6.41% |
| Emlyn Joseph | 2024 | 20:27.001 race | 19:09.002 races | -6.36% |
| Lindsey Bennett | 2023 | 23:53.001 race | 22:22.001 race | -6.35% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2023 | 18:45.001 race | 17:34.001 race | -6.31% |
| Lexi Hinck | 2024 | 28:45.001 race | 26:57.001 race | -6.26% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2021 | 24:44.001 race | 23:13.001 race | -6.13% |
| Izzy Cheney | 2019 | 23:57.001 race | 22:29.001 race | -6.12% |
| Gratian Ting | 2024 | 21:50.001 race | 20:30.002 races | -6.11% |
| Jack Connors | 2023 | 18:02.001 race | 16:56.001 race | -6.10% |
| Ching Hei (Andre) Leung | 2024 | 24:07.001 race | 22:40.002 races | -6.01% |
| W. Taft | 2025 | 23:19.001 race | 21:56.001 race | -5.93% |
| Kayla Clifford | 2019 | 26:44.001 race | 25:09.001 race | -5.92% |
| Abner Machuca Diaz | 2023 | 21:28.001 race | 20:12.001 race | -5.90% |
| Lily Manley | 2019 | 26:41.001 race | 25:07.001 race | -5.87% |
| Pilar Bell | 2025 | 27:38.001 race | 26:01.001 race | -5.85% |
| Morgan Pfeil | 2025 | 25:32.001 race | 24:03.001 race | -5.81% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2023 | 18:47.001 race | 17:42.001 race | -5.77% |
| Eliza Barker | 2021 | 26:38.001 race | 25:06.001 race | -5.76% |
| Gabriel Yu | 2021 | 24:47.001 race | 23:23.001 race | -5.65% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2023 | 20:41.001 race | 19:31.001 race | -5.64% |
| Joe Jia | 2024 | 21:57.001 race | 20:43.002 races | -5.62% |
| Caleb Stokes | 2024 | 26:29.001 race | 25:01.001 race | -5.54% |
| Emmett Burghardt | 2024 | 22:10.001 race | 20:57.002 races | -5.49% |
| Eita Fuse | 2023 | 18:32.001 race | 17:31.001 race | -5.49% |
| Chloe Catalano | 2023 | 28:34.001 race | 27:00.001 race | -5.48% |
| Dion Cheung | 2024 | 27:32.001 race | 26:02.002 races | -5.45% |
| Ernesto Ortiz | 2024 | 22:39.001 race | 21:25.002 races | -5.45% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2021 | 26:39.001 race | 25:12.001 race | -5.44% |
| Evan Schneider | 2023 | 23:06.001 race | 21:51.001 race | -5.41% |
| Zifu Song | 2024 | 22:11.001 race | 20:59.002 races | -5.41% |
| Megan Corry | 2023 | 26:42.001 race | 25:17.001 race | -5.31% |
| Lousia Corbett | 2024 | 26:10.001 race | 24:47.002 races | -5.29% |
| Jessie Shi | 2024 | 26:39.001 race | 25:15.002 races | -5.25% |
| Katherine Hardy | 2024 | 36:11.001 race | 34:18.001 race | -5.20% |
| Calvin Pagan | 2023 | 23:25.001 race | 22:13.001 race | -5.12% |
| Kenzie Murphy | 2023 | 22:51.001 race | 21:41.001 race | -5.11% |
| Margot Murphy-Hara | 2024 | 25:53.001 race | 24:34.002 races | -5.09% |
| Jennifer Li | 2024 | 24:40.001 race | 23:25.001 race | -5.07% |
| Alexandre White | 2023 | 22:26.001 race | 21:19.001 race | -4.98% |
| Mira Anmeng Lu | 2024 | 26:06.001 race | 24:49.002 races | -4.92% |
| Jack Torrisi | 2025 | 27:13.001 race | 25:54.001 race | -4.84% |
| J. Anderson-Song | 2024 | 20:08.002 races | 19:10.001 race | -4.80% |
| Sebastian Keleher | 2023 | 24:02.001 race | 22:53.001 race | -4.79% |
| Peyton Dahmen | 2022 | 22:46.001 race | 21:41.001 race | -4.76% |
| Alexander Behn | 2023 | 20:20.001 race | 19:22.001 race | -4.75% |
| Will Frazier | 2024 | 21:01.001 race | 20:02.002 races | -4.68% |
| Kevin Weldon | 2023 | 23:14.001 race | 22:09.001 race | -4.66% |
| Theodore Choe | 2024 | 18:27.001 race | 17:36.002 races | -4.61% |
| Noah Qiu | 2024 | 25:00.003 races | 23:51.001 race | -4.60% |
| James Carroll | 2025 | 23:22.001 race | 22:18.001 race | -4.56% |
| Cate Devaney | 2023 | 24:53.001 race | 23:45.001 race | -4.55% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 19:01.001 race | -4.52% |
| Lucy McCormick | 2025 | 22:53.003 races | 21:51.001 race | -4.52% |
| Kailin Shi | 2024 | 25:49.001 race | 24:40.002 races | -4.45% |
| Tony Guo | 2019 | 21:23.001 race | 20:26.001 race | -4.44% |
| Mairin Anderson | 2022 | 27:02.001 race | 25:50.001 race | -4.44% |
| Katalin (Kata) Clark | 2022 | 21:28.001 race | 20:31.001 race | -4.43% |
| Jonathan Demosthene | 2023 | 21:09.001 race | 20:13.001 race | -4.41% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2021 | 19:00.001 race | 18:10.001 race | -4.39% |
| Adyson Duval | 2021 | 28:14.001 race | 27:00.001 race | -4.37% |
| Alexander Colangelo | 2024 | 18:23.001 race | 17:35.001 race | -4.35% |
| Colleen Leary | 2023 | 25:07.001 race | 24:02.001 race | -4.31% |
| John Joyce | 2023 | 17:26.001 race | 16:41.001 race | -4.30% |
| Mahiro Yamikawa | 2019 | 18:20.001 race | 17:33.001 race | -4.27% |
| Sebastian Culleton | 2023 | 18:00.001 race | 17:14.001 race | -4.26% |
| Alexa Meekins | 2023 | 27:48.001 race | 26:37.001 race | -4.26% |
| Tom Pan | 2025 | 26:49.001 race | 25:41.001 race | -4.23% |
| Kate Tarr | 2024 | 22:49.001 race | 21:52.001 race | -4.16% |
| Quinn McCaffrey | 2024 | 22:07.001 race | 21:12.001 race | -4.14% |
| Zach Rogers | 2019 | 19:53.001 race | 19:04.001 race | -4.11% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2022 | 26:12.001 race | 25:08.001 race | -4.07% |
| Kailyn Love | 2024 | 23:48.001 race | 22:50.002 races | -4.06% |
| Carver Porter | 2023 | 20:22.001 race | 19:34.001 race | -3.93% |
| Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo | 2023 | 21:41.001 race | 20:51.001 race | -3.84% |
| Samson Oblak | 2025 | 23:01.001 race | 22:08.001 race | -3.84% |
| Yamin Ibrahim | 2023 | 19:37.001 race | 18:53.001 race | -3.74% |
| Emilia Raviola | 2024 | 24:07.001 race | 23:13.002 races | -3.73% |
| Calvin Cochran | 2019 | 20:34.001 race | 19:48.001 race | -3.73% |
| Brendan Brosnan | 2023 | 19:43.001 race | 18:59.001 race | -3.72% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2023 | 18:24.001 race | 17:43.001 race | -3.71% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 25:18.001 race | 24:22.001 race | -3.69% |
| Samuel Hinman | 2019 | 20:09.001 race | 19:25.001 race | -3.64% |
| Austin Corbere | 2025 | 19:18.001 race | 18:36.001 race | -3.63% |
| Kevin Xie | 2025 | 32:09.001 race | 31:00.001 race | -3.58% |
| Jason Louie | 2024 | 18:50.001 race | 18:10.002 races | -3.54% |
| Eliza Barker | 2022 | 25:54.001 race | 24:59.001 race | -3.54% |
| Molly Sheehan | 2024 | 24:12.001 race | 23:21.002 races | -3.51% |
| Mei-Ling Bielagus | 2024 | 21:33.002 races | 20:49.001 race | -3.40% |
| Felix Stuart | 2024 | 21:02.001 race | 20:20.002 races | -3.33% |
| Evan Salhanick | 2021 | 21:00.001 race | 20:20.001 race | -3.17% |
| Ella McDonald | 2025 | 22:48.003 races | 22:05.001 race | -3.14% |
| Joseph Koh | 2023 | 20:18.001 race | 19:41.001 race | -3.04% |
| William Achtmeyer | 2023 | 21:27.001 race | 20:48.001 race | -3.03% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2024 | 19:59.002 races | 19:23.001 race | -3.00% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 2025 | 23:24.002 races | 22:42.001 race | -2.99% |
| Elena Gordon | 2024 | 25:22.003 races | 24:38.001 race | -2.89% |
| Cheng Zhuang | 2021 | 22:56.001 race | 22:17.001 race | -2.83% |
| Esme Campbell | 2024 | 20:26.001 race | 19:52.002 races | -2.77% |
| Alexander Wasynczuk | 2023 | 20:38.001 race | 20:04.001 race | -2.75% |
| Suma Bogelli | 2025 | 27:31.003 races | 26:46.001 race | -2.73% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2021 | 22:40.001 race | 22:03.001 race | -2.72% |
| Ella McDonald | 2024 | 22:45.003 races | 22:08.001 race | -2.71% |
| Haotong Xue | 2024 | 19:07.001 race | 18:36.002 races | -2.70% |
| Sam Poulin | 2019 | 20:01.001 race | 19:29.001 race | -2.66% |
| Breanna Kunkel | 2023 | 23:44.001 race | 23:07.001 race | -2.60% |
| Josh Taylor | 2025 | 23:45.002 races | 23:08.001 race | -2.60% |
| Alex Tobias | 2021 | 17:42.001 race | 17:15.001 race | -2.54% |
| Gianna Carroll | 2025 | 26:26.001 race | 25:46.001 race | -2.52% |
| Andrew Mottur | 2019 | 17:55.001 race | 17:28.001 race | -2.51% |
| Cassidy Kamil | 2024 | 26:39.002 races | 25:59.001 race | -2.50% |
| Matthew Smith | 2024 | 21:17.001 race | 20:46.001 race | -2.43% |
| Monica Mukherjee | 2021 | 22:41.001 race | 22:08.001 race | -2.42% |
| Nathan Anderson | 2019 | 18:46.001 race | 18:19.001 race | -2.40% |
| Natalie Kloman | 2022 | 28:41.001 race | 28:00.001 race | -2.38% |
| Camille Destefano | 2022 | 28:42.001 race | 28:01.001 race | -2.38% |
| Myles McCusker | 2024 | 22:30.001 race | 21:58.001 race | -2.37% |
| Alder Hurley | 2025 | 31:43.001 race | 30:58.001 race | -2.36% |
| Angus Harrison | 2023 | 20:00.001 race | 19:32.001 race | -2.33% |
| Quinn Anderson-Song | 2025 | 20:16.003 races | 19:48.001 race | -2.30% |
| Armand Matijasevic | 2024 | 20:16.001 race | 19:48.002 races | -2.30% |
| Brady Preneta | 2025 | 20:18.003 races | 19:50.001 race | -2.30% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2021 | 23:33.001 race | 23:01.001 race | -2.26% |
| Lucas Miller | 2024 | 19:27.001 race | 19:02.001 race | -2.14% |
| Maggie Xu | 2019 | 30:51.001 race | 30:12.001 race | -2.11% |
| Austin Corbett | 2024 | 18:14.003 races | 17:51.001 race | -2.10% |
| Phoebe Cogan | 2025 | 22:40.001 race | 22:12.001 race | -2.06% |
| Amina Cifric | 2024 | 22:35.002 races | 22:09.001 race | -1.92% |
| Luke Ferrone | 2025 | 27:09.001 race | 26:38.001 race | -1.90% |
| Jack Hutchison | 2019 | 18:30.001 race | 18:09.001 race | -1.89% |
| Abdel Barakat | 2019 | 19:42.001 race | 19:20.001 race | -1.86% |
| Maksim Roman | 2023 | 19:24.001 race | 19:03.001 race | -1.80% |
| Peter Abenante | 2024 | 20:23.003 races | 20:02.001 race | -1.72% |
| William Trautz | 2023 | 17:50.001 race | 17:32.001 race | -1.68% |
| Luke Driscoll | 2023 | 20:13.001 race | 19:53.001 race | -1.65% |
| Dung Pham | 2019 | 24:17.001 race | 23:53.001 race | -1.65% |
| Alex Sherman | 2024 | 20:20.001 race | 20:01.002 races | -1.56% |
| Ethan Sweeney | 2019 | 19:30.001 race | 19:12.001 race | -1.54% |
| Alyssa McGuirl | 2023 | 29:15.001 race | 28:49.001 race | -1.48% |
| Bear Brooks | 2021 | 17:25.002 races | 17:10.001 race | -1.44% |
| Jason Li | 2024 | 23:50.003 races | 23:30.001 race | -1.40% |
| Benzo Zhou | 2021 | 20:28.002 races | 20:11.001 race | -1.38% |
| Evan Wirth | 2021 | 19:31.001 race | 19:15.001 race | -1.37% |
| Umar Fayzullaev | 2025 | 27:18.003 races | 26:57.001 race | -1.28% |
| Sam Benson | 2025 | 22:20.001 race | 22:03.001 race | -1.27% |
| Brian Zheng | 2021 | 23:12.002 races | 22:55.001 race | -1.22% |
| Torey Mathews | 2024 | 25:59.001 race | 25:40.001 race | -1.22% |
| Alex Szynal | 2019 | 28:16.001 race | 27:56.001 race | -1.18% |
| James Lyman | 2021 | 20:54.001 race | 20:41.001 race | -1.04% |
| Margot Beaumont-Mill | 2025 | 27:20.003 races | 27:08.001 race | -0.73% |
| Lauren Torres-Rivera | 2019 | 33:32.001 race | 33:19.001 race | -0.65% |
| DK Rhee | 2024 | 27:36.003 races | 27:27.001 race | -0.54% |
| Nate Hagerty | 2024 | 20:49.001 race | 20:45.001 race | -0.32% |
| Adyson Duval | 2022 | 25:59.001 race | 25:55.001 race | -0.26% |
| Cassidy Kamil | 2025 | 26:16.003 races | 26:12.001 race | -0.25% |
| Cian McCarthy | 2025 | 28:12.002 races | 28:08.001 race | -0.24% |
| Bruin Brayshaw | 2021 | 23:36.001 race | 23:33.001 race | -0.21% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2022 | 32:47.001 race | 32:45.001 race | -0.10% |
| Jillian Bergeron | 2024 | 19:30.003 races | 19:30.001 race | 0.00% |
| Lucy McCormick | 2024 | 22:26.003 races | 22:26.001 race | 0.00% |
| Wes Gray | 2024 | 24:48.003 races | 24:51.001 race | +0.20% |
| Kamran Bradley | 2022 | 24:13.001 race | 24:16.001 race | +0.21% |
| Juliet Banzi | 2025 | 22:26.002 races | 22:30.001 race | +0.30% |
| Luis Sosa Espinal | 2023 | 22:24.001 race | 22:32.001 race | +0.60% |
| Arav Kochhar | 2024 | 22:12.003 races | 22:20.001 race | +0.60% |
| Grace Martin | 2019 | 24:22.001 race | 24:31.001 race | +0.62% |
| Q. Plante | 2025 | 28:37.001 race | 28:52.001 race | +0.87% |
| Erin Crisafi | 2021 | 24:38.002 races | 24:54.001 race | +1.08% |
| Josh Taylor | 2024 | 20:55.003 races | 21:09.001 race | +1.12% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2022 | 24:25.001 race | 24:43.001 race | +1.23% |
| Cora Knoell | 2021 | 25:10.002 races | 25:29.001 race | +1.26% |
| Chris Peng | 2024 | 25:32.001 race | 25:52.002 races | +1.31% |
| Harper Weng | 2019 | 32:06.001 race | 32:32.001 race | +1.35% |
| Willow Dixon | 2025 | 27:38.002 races | 28:01.001 race | +1.39% |
| F. Zhu | 2025 | 24:27.001 race | 24:48.001 race | +1.43% |
| Eddie Zhang | 2023 | 21:54.001 race | 22:14.001 race | +1.52% |
| Aleah Ghiasuddin | 2021 | 22:30.002 races | 22:52.001 race | +1.63% |
| Aditya Shrivastava | 2024 | 21:17.003 races | 21:39.001 race | +1.72% |
| Peter Abenante | 2021 | 24:29.002 races | 24:56.001 race | +1.84% |
| Max Rochford | 2024 | 21:51.003 races | 22:19.001 race | +2.14% |
| Wes Gray | 2025 | 25:30.001 race | 26:03.001 race | +2.16% |
| Patrick McDonald | 2019 | 18:16.001 race | 18:41.001 race | +2.28% |
| Thomas Flatley | 2019 | 18:45.001 race | 19:14.001 race | +2.58% |
| Daniyal Mian | 2024 | 25:28.001 race | 26:11.001 race | +2.81% |
| Katelyn Pereira | 2024 | 24:40.003 races | 25:23.001 race | +2.91% |
| Andy Seals | 2021 | 19:57.001 race | 20:35.001 race | +3.17% |
| Emily Geist | 2025 | 29:42.001 race | 30:39.001 race | +3.20% |
| Kai On (Jason) Yu | 2024 | 21:05.001 race | 21:46.002 races | +3.24% |
| Aditya Shrivastava | 2025 | 21:34.002 races | 22:21.001 race | +3.63% |
| Ross Stewart | 2019 | 18:27.001 race | 19:12.001 race | +4.07% |
| Aiden English | 2021 | 21:54.002 races | 22:50.001 race | +4.26% |
| Katelyn Pereira | 2025 | 27:37.003 races | 28:57.001 race | +4.83% |
| Max Rochford | 2025 | 24:05.002 races | 25:18.001 race | +5.05% |
| Brady Preneta | 2024 | 21:13.003 races | 22:31.001 race | +6.13% |
| John Wallace | 2021 | 23:13.001 race | 24:40.001 race | +6.25% |
| Armaun Dehpanah | 2022 | 22:29.001 race | 24:13.001 race | +7.71% |
| John Brice | 2023 | 21:07.001 race | 22:47.001 race | +7.89% |
| Daniel McGowan | 2024 | 22:59.001 race | 24:53.001 race | +8.27% |
| Valentina Joseph | 2022 | 29:29.001 race | 32:48.001 race | +11.25% |
| Eben Dooling | 2022 | 22:43.001 race | 25:42.001 race | +13.13% |
| Thomas Ireland | 2024 | 20:35.003 races | 23:22.001 race | +13.52% |