Pairwise course analysis
Hotchkiss School 5Kvs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-0.36%
Roughly 4.4 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
27
Developing evidence
Median difference
-0.09%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-0.36%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.10%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-0.91% to +1.20%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Hotchkiss School 5K | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gratian Ting | 2024 | 21:17.001 race | 19:56.002 races | -6.34% |
| Dion Cheung | 2024 | 25:38.001 race | 24:39.002 races | -3.84% |
| Emlyn Joseph | 2024 | 20:03.001 race | 19:28.002 races | -2.91% |
| Esme Campbell | 2024 | 20:01.001 race | 19:32.002 races | -2.41% |
| Ching Hei (Andre) Leung | 2024 | 21:42.001 race | 21:18.002 races | -1.84% |
| Kailin Shi | 2024 | 24:46.001 race | 24:24.002 races | -1.48% |
| Joe Jia | 2024 | 20:57.001 race | 20:41.002 races | -1.27% |
| Hudson Li | 2024 | 20:58.001 race | 20:43.002 races | -1.19% |
| Jace LiVigni | 2024 | 18:24.001 race | 18:11.002 races | -1.18% |
| Mira Anmeng Lu | 2024 | 24:52.001 race | 24:37.002 races | -1.01% |
| Jason Louie | 2024 | 18:24.001 race | 18:14.002 races | -0.91% |
| Alex Sherman | 2024 | 19:39.001 race | 19:32.002 races | -0.59% |
| Theodore Choe | 2024 | 17:33.001 race | 17:32.002 races | -0.09% |
| Armand Matijasevic | 2024 | 19:36.001 race | 19:35.002 races | -0.09% |
| Felix Stuart | 2024 | 20:17.001 race | 20:18.002 races | +0.08% |
| Will Frazier | 2024 | 19:39.001 race | 19:40.002 races | +0.08% |
| Elizabeth De Ramel | 2024 | 22:10.001 race | 22:12.002 races | +0.15% |
| Zifu Song | 2024 | 21:21.001 race | 21:24.002 races | +0.23% |
| Haotong Xue | 2024 | 17:56.001 race | 18:06.002 races | +0.93% |
| Torey Mathews | 2024 | 25:22.001 race | 25:40.001 race | +1.18% |
| Isaac Wu | 2024 | 20:54.001 race | 21:25.002 races | +2.47% |
| Emilia Raviola | 2024 | 22:56.001 race | 23:34.002 races | +2.76% |
| Kailyn Love | 2024 | 22:15.001 race | 22:57.002 races | +3.15% |
| Emmett Burghardt | 2024 | 19:49.001 race | 20:31.002 races | +3.53% |
| Jessie Shi | 2024 | 23:39.001 race | 24:34.002 races | +3.88% |
| Margot Murphy-Hara | 2024 | 23:36.001 race | 24:35.002 races | +4.17% |
| Molly Sheehan | 2024 | 22:16.001 race | 23:53.002 races | +7.26% |