Pairwise course analysis
Hotchkiss School 5Kvs.Noble and Greenough School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Noble and Greenough School 5K runs slower
+4.78%
Roughly 57.4 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
16
Developing evidence
Median difference
+4.04%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+4.78%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.77%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+3.18% to +5.35%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Hotchkiss School 5K | Noble and Greenough School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia O'Hagan | 2024 | 27:13.001 race | 27:32.003 races | +1.16% |
| Lauren Peloquin | 2024 | 27:19.001 race | 27:43.003 races | +1.46% |
| Lexie Hoffmeister | 2024 | 23:43.001 race | 24:08.002 races | +1.76% |
| Clare Struzziery | 2024 | 21:47.001 race | 22:17.003 races | +2.30% |
| Vera Zatlyn-Weiner | 2024 | 20:47.001 race | 21:17.003 races | +2.41% |
| Angela Yuan | 2024 | 26:02.001 race | 26:45.003 races | +2.75% |
| Helena Struzziery | 2024 | 23:15.001 race | 24:01.002 races | +3.30% |
| Olivia Golhar | 2024 | 22:24.001 race | 23:16.002 races | +3.87% |
| Blakeny Johnston | 2024 | 22:08.001 race | 23:04.003 races | +4.22% |
| Allison Park | 2024 | 24:31.001 race | 25:45.003 races | +5.03% |
| Kira Morales | 2024 | 22:25.001 race | 23:43.003 races | +5.80% |
| Clara Trautz | 2024 | 20:56.001 race | 22:14.003 races | +6.21% |
| Annie Lopez | 2024 | 25:48.001 race | 27:26.002 races | +6.33% |
| Phoebe Triant | 2024 | 22:39.001 race | 24:10.003 races | +6.70% |
| Brenna Thomas | 2024 | 23:34.001 race | 25:19.002 races | +7.43% |
| Emilie Andrews | 2024 | 23:54.001 race | 25:45.003 races | +7.74% |