Pairwise course analysis
LA 5K Coursevs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-3.65%
Roughly 43.8 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
59
Strong evidence
Median difference
-2.63%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-3.65%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.16%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Milton Standard 5K fasterEvenMilton Standard 5K slower
Confidence interval
-4.64% to -2.51%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | LA 5K Course | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Kim | 2019 | 28:49.001 race | 25:04.001 race | -13.01% |
| Gabriel Yu | 2019 | 26:40.001 race | 23:20.001 race | -12.50% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2019 | 26:11.001 race | 23:05.001 race | -11.84% |
| Gardner Brown | 2019 | 22:56.001 race | 20:18.001 race | -11.48% |
| Luke Desmaison | 2019 | 22:18.001 race | 19:50.001 race | -11.06% |
| Adam Jin | 2019 | 26:21.001 race | 23:57.001 race | -9.11% |
| Christine Ordway | 2025 | 30:43.001 race | 27:56.001 race | -9.06% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2019 | 24:40.001 race | 22:35.001 race | -8.45% |
| Helena Struzziery | 2025 | 27:59.001 race | 25:42.001 race | -8.16% |
| Ashley Picard | 2019 | 26:21.001 race | 24:13.001 race | -8.10% |
| Dylan Kovacs | 2025 | 27:25.001 race | 25:13.001 race | -8.02% |
| Nashr El Auliya | 2019 | 21:43.001 race | 20:00.001 race | -7.90% |
| Minho Eune | 2019 | 22:21.001 race | 20:54.001 race | -6.49% |
| Christina Hall | 2025 | 28:12.001 race | 26:30.001 race | -6.03% |
| Roger Zhou | 2025 | 22:14.001 race | 20:54.001 race | -6.00% |
| James Lyman | 2019 | 21:46.001 race | 20:34.001 race | -5.51% |
| Blakeny Johnston | 2025 | 23:06.001 race | 21:51.001 race | -5.41% |
| Clara Trautz | 2025 | 21:14.001 race | 20:06.001 race | -5.34% |
| Lauren Peloquin | 2025 | 28:32.001 race | 27:01.001 race | -5.32% |
| Alex Tobias | 2019 | 18:50.001 race | 17:51.001 race | -5.22% |
| Finn Zinger | 2025 | 23:21.001 race | 22:25.001 race | -4.00% |
| Vera Zatlyn-Weiner | 2025 | 21:42.001 race | 20:50.001 race | -3.99% |
| Caleigh Feng | 2025 | 25:31.001 race | 24:31.001 race | -3.92% |
| Nicole Lewis | 2025 | 33:42.001 race | 32:25.001 race | -3.81% |
| Jack Santry | 2025 | 24:12.001 race | 23:24.001 race | -3.31% |
| Chiara Pai | 2025 | 23:49.001 race | 23:07.001 race | -2.94% |
| Andy Baeck | 2025 | 21:57.001 race | 21:21.001 race | -2.73% |
| Tomas Hernandez | 2025 | 18:30.001 race | 18:00.001 race | -2.70% |
| Chloe Jeppson | 2025 | 29:36.001 race | 28:49.001 race | -2.65% |
| Vanessa Shipley | 2019 | 24:06.001 race | 23:28.001 race | -2.63% |
| Tycho Bardon | 2025 | 20:57.001 race | 20:24.001 race | -2.63% |
| Gaby Guzman | 2025 | 28:16.001 race | 27:32.001 race | -2.59% |
| Sien Chen | 2025 | 22:25.001 race | 21:51.001 race | -2.53% |
| Ava Tchong | 2025 | 21:51.001 race | 21:20.001 race | -2.36% |
| Derek Yin | 2025 | 27:46.001 race | 27:10.001 race | -2.16% |
| Raphael Klauber | 2025 | 18:07.001 race | 17:44.001 race | -2.12% |
| Molly Madigan | 2019 | 24:18.001 race | 23:49.001 race | -1.99% |
| Anray Sheng | 2025 | 21:56.001 race | 21:35.001 race | -1.60% |
| Peter Grace | 2025 | 21:02.001 race | 20:42.001 race | -1.58% |
| Ollie Smith | 2025 | 19:37.001 race | 19:20.001 race | -1.44% |
| Cecilia Korb | 2025 | 25:16.001 race | 25:00.001 race | -1.06% |
| William Johnson | 2025 | 19:40.001 race | 19:28.001 race | -1.02% |
| Ollie Jacobs | 2025 | 23:22.001 race | 23:08.001 race | -1.00% |
| Natalia Calvillo | 2025 | 26:15.001 race | 26:00.001 race | -0.95% |
| Cecilia Lakwadala | 2025 | 23:57.001 race | 23:45.001 race | -0.84% |
| Blake Dinwoodey | 2025 | 20:47.001 race | 20:38.001 race | -0.72% |
| Nahman Mack | 2025 | 18:06.001 race | 17:59.001 race | -0.64% |
| Roger Gao | 2025 | 23:35.001 race | 23:26.001 race | -0.64% |
| Allen Sheng | 2025 | 23:26.001 race | 23:18.001 race | -0.57% |
| Xavier Clemente | 2025 | 20:40.001 race | 20:37.001 race | -0.24% |
| Tate Corcoran | 2025 | 19:00.001 race | 18:59.001 race | -0.09% |
| Jasper Dabora | 2025 | 24:28.001 race | 24:31.001 race | +0.20% |
| James Fair | 2025 | 18:14.001 race | 18:21.001 race | +0.64% |
| Alex Cai | 2025 | 20:19.001 race | 20:30.001 race | +0.90% |
| Sunehri Verma | 2025 | 28:34.001 race | 28:55.001 race | +1.23% |
| Justin Lee | 2025 | 19:10.001 race | 19:44.001 race | +2.96% |
| Lexie Hoffmeister | 2025 | 25:23.001 race | 26:21.001 race | +3.81% |
| Jayden Leung | 2025 | 18:54.001 race | 19:48.001 race | +4.76% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2025 | 18:46.001 race | 19:42.001 race | +4.97% |