Pairwise course analysis

LA 5K Coursevs.Taft School 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Taft School 5K runs faster

-0.26%

Roughly 3.2 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

26

Developing evidence

Median difference

-1.09%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

-0.26%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+4.16%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Taft School 5K fasterEvenTaft School 5K slower

Confidence interval

-2.78% to +0.15%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonLA 5K CourseTaft School 5KDifference
Helena Struzziery202527:59.001 race24:33.001 race-12.27%
Leah Farb202527:18.001 race25:04.001 race-8.18%
Natalia Calvillo202526:15.001 race24:36.001 race-6.29%
Christina Hall202528:12.001 race26:48.001 race-4.96%
Griffin Calhoun202520:51.001 race20:08.001 race-3.44%
Blakeny Johnston202523:06.001 race22:23.001 race-3.10%
Lexie Hoffmeister202525:23.001 race24:37.001 race-3.02%
Cecilia Korb202525:16.001 race24:34.001 race-2.77%
Riley Marth202520:18.001 race19:55.001 race-1.89%
Clara Trautz202521:14.001 race20:53.001 race-1.65%
William Trautz202516:01.001 race15:49.001 race-1.25%
Vera Zatlyn-Weiner202521:42.001 race21:26.001 race-1.23%
William Achtmeyer202520:55.001 race20:40.001 race-1.20%
Caleigh Feng202525:31.001 race25:16.001 race-0.98%
Jack Good202519:26.001 race19:15.001 race-0.94%
Chiara Pai202523:49.001 race23:51.001 race+0.14%
Pierce Courtney202519:48.001 race19:52.001 race+0.34%
Eita Fuse202518:44.001 race18:50.001 race+0.53%
Fitz Courtney202517:49.001 race17:58.001 race+0.84%
Timothy Snail202518:40.001 race18:53.001 race+1.16%
Thomas Egan202521:06.001 race21:29.001 race+1.82%
Miles Keller202518:53.001 race19:18.001 race+2.21%
Declan Woolbert202518:10.001 race18:35.001 race+2.29%
Yamin Ibrahim202518:04.001 race18:36.001 race+2.95%
James Palumbo202521:12.001 race22:01.001 race+3.85%
Colin Grierson202518:42.001 race19:31.001 race+4.37%