Pairwise course analysis
Milton Standard 5Kvs.Championship 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Championship 5K runs faster
-7.31%
Roughly 1:28 faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
4
Limited evidence
Median difference
-2.99%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-7.31%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.15%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-6.29% to -0.60%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Milton Standard 5K | Championship 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Kim | 2019 | 25:04.001 race | 23:13.001 race | -7.38% |
| Adam Jin | 2019 | 23:57.001 race | 23:11.001 race | -3.20% |
| Gabriel Yu | 2019 | 23:20.001 race | 22:41.001 race | -2.79% |
| Hugh Park | 2019 | 22:27.001 race | 22:21.001 race | -0.45% |