Pairwise course analysis
Milton Standard 5Kvs.Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K runs slower
+2.02%
Roughly 24.2 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
3
Limited evidence
Median difference
-0.27%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+2.02%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.76%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-4.02% to +2.23%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Milton Standard 5K | Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Wilson | 2019 | 20:47.001 race | 19:58.001 race | -3.93% |
| Patrick McDonald | 2019 | 18:41.001 race | 18:38.001 race | -0.27% |
| Joseph Pandit | 2019 | 19:38.001 race | 19:55.001 race | +1.44% |