Pairwise course analysis
Noble and Greenough School 5Kvs.Rock Meadow 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow 5K runs faster
-2.68%
Roughly 32.2 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
33
Developing evidence
Median difference
-2.47%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.68%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.39%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-2.87% to -1.38%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Noble and Greenough School 5K | Rock Meadow 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2022 | 24:01.002 races | 22:17.001 race | -7.22% |
| Max Daniello | 2022 | 21:25.002 races | 20:13.001 race | -5.60% |
| Ben Guenther | 2022 | 18:57.002 races | 17:55.001 race | -5.45% |
| Om Paithankar | 2022 | 23:40.002 races | 22:29.001 race | -5.00% |
| Carter Bartel | 2022 | 18:53.002 races | 18:04.001 race | -4.32% |
| Ethan Train | 2022 | 21:04.002 races | 20:18.001 race | -3.64% |
| Emilio Manz | 2022 | 20:55.002 races | 20:12.001 race | -3.43% |
| Alex Cheng | 2022 | 18:55.002 races | 18:17.001 race | -3.35% |
| Will Grimes | 2022 | 20:35.002 races | 19:55.001 race | -3.24% |
| Devin Gray | 2022 | 21:16.002 races | 20:35.001 race | -3.21% |
| Will McLane | 2022 | 18:15.002 races | 17:44.001 race | -2.83% |
| Chris Tillen | 2022 | 21:38.002 races | 21:02.001 race | -2.77% |
| Charlie Hall | 2022 | 18:56.002 races | 18:27.001 race | -2.55% |
| Tim Churchill | 2022 | 18:21.002 races | 17:53.001 race | -2.54% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2022 | 21:08.002 races | 20:36.001 race | -2.52% |
| Maxwell Huang | 2022 | 19:18.002 races | 18:49.001 race | -2.50% |
| Arnav Harve | 2022 | 19:35.002 races | 19:06.001 race | -2.47% |
| Luke Hotra | 2022 | 21:32.002 races | 21:06.001 race | -2.01% |
| David Hermanson | 2022 | 19:24.002 races | 19:03.001 race | -1.80% |
| Oliver Burstein | 2022 | 21:15.002 races | 20:55.001 race | -1.57% |
| Justin Lee | 2022 | 21:07.002 races | 20:48.001 race | -1.50% |
| Jerry Qin | 2022 | 20:19.002 races | 20:02.001 race | -1.39% |
| Noah Douglas | 2022 | 17:54.002 races | 17:40.001 race | -1.30% |
| Matthew Loose | 2022 | 20:47.001 race | 20:33.001 race | -1.12% |
| Ethan Burack | 2022 | 23:18.001 race | 23:05.001 race | -0.93% |
| Willy Connors | 2022 | 24:24.002 races | 24:12.001 race | -0.82% |
| Colin Anderson | 2022 | 20:18.002 races | 20:09.001 race | -0.74% |
| Patrick Albers | 2022 | 18:30.002 races | 18:23.001 race | -0.63% |
| Noah Peters | 2022 | 23:49.002 races | 23:41.001 race | -0.56% |
| Abdirizak Abdulle | 2022 | 23:22.002 races | 23:27.001 race | +0.36% |
| Josh Levine | 2022 | 23:41.002 races | 24:05.001 race | +1.69% |
| Thomas Xue | 2022 | 22:14.002 races | 22:51.001 race | +2.77% |
| Jeffrey Liu | 2022 | 24:51.002 races | 25:33.001 race | +2.82% |