NEPrepXC
Back to RL 5K CourseAll courses

Pairwise course analysis

RL 5K Coursevs.St. Sebastian's 5K Course

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

St. Sebastian's 5K Course runs faster

-0.31%

Roughly 3.8 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

46

Strong evidence

Median difference

-1.75%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

-0.31%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+6.62%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

St. Sebastian's 5K Course fasterEvenSt. Sebastian's 5K Course slower

Confidence interval

-5.52% to -2.16%

Scale shown

-6% to +6%

Course context

The two courses

Baseline course

RL 5K Course

5,000 meters

Compared course

St. Sebastian's 5K Course

5,000 meters

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonRL 5K CourseSt. Sebastian's 5K CourseDifference
Matthew Choumenkovitch201929:33.001 race23:37.001 race-20.08%
Ryan Albertson201927:15.001 race22:37.001 race-17.00%
Daniel Ko201930:59.001 race26:01.001 race-16.03%
Bobby Ferguson202525:20.001 race22:14.001 race-12.24%
Joseph Pandit201921:19.001 race19:03.001 race-10.63%
Joseph Koh202522:10.001 race19:49.001 race-10.60%
Michael Kalinichenko201932:17.001 race29:00.001 race-10.17%
Joseph Ryan202526:46.001 race24:11.001 race-9.65%
Patrick McDonald201919:34.001 race18:01.001 race-7.92%
Thomas Flatley201920:27.001 race18:52.001 race-7.74%
Samuel Hinman201920:28.001 race18:53.001 race-7.74%
Richie Joyce202524:36.001 race23:02.001 race-6.37%
Rohan Ghatge202524:11.001 race22:39.001 race-6.34%
Nate Bloomenthal202521:15.001 race19:57.001 race-6.12%
William Hansen201923:09.001 race21:51.001 race-5.62%
Patrick Fennell202522:37.001 race21:21.001 race-5.60%
Anthony Marcucci202524:46.001 race23:25.001 race-5.45%
Cormac Anderson202523:00.001 race22:01.001 race-4.28%
Sebastian Culleton202519:07.001 race18:28.001 race-3.40%
Akshay Kumar202220:57.003 races20:21.001 race-2.86%
Levi Harrison202219:03.003 races18:37.001 race-2.27%
Henry Bowman202522:06.001 race21:36.001 race-2.26%
Darian Estrada202227:02.002 races26:30.001 race-1.97%
Jack Halloran202518:36.001 race18:19.001 race-1.52%
Quinn Thomson202223:42.003 races23:21.001 race-1.48%
Alexander Wasynczuk202321:17.001 race21:00.001 race-1.33%
Sebastian Culleton202318:21.001 race18:12.001 race-0.82%
Joseph Koh202320:43.001 race20:34.001 race-0.72%
John Joyce202517:01.001 race16:54.001 race-0.69%
Eric Diop202218:31.002 races18:24.001 race-0.63%
Eric Zhu202220:00.002 races19:55.001 race-0.42%
Ezra Klauber202219:39.004 races19:35.001 race-0.34%
Kofi Fordjour202217:29.003 races17:26.001 race-0.29%
Chris Thompson202320:00.001 race19:58.001 race-0.17%
Taylor Holmes202320:32.001 race20:30.001 race-0.16%
John Joyce202317:39.001 race17:38.001 race-0.09%
Thomas Savage202222:22.002 races22:22.001 race0.00%
Zach Heaton202220:12.003 races20:19.001 race+0.58%
Michael Thomas202218:55.002 races19:04.001 race+0.79%
Jack Connors202317:43.001 race17:55.001 race+1.13%
Akhilsai Damera202220:30.002 races20:50.001 race+1.63%
Mathias Why202220:28.003 races20:50.001 race+1.79%
Michael Allen202222:33.002 races23:04.001 race+2.29%
Calvin Reid202222:22.003 races23:07.001 race+3.35%
John (Jack) Tompros202222:07.003 races23:05.001 race+4.37%
John (Jake) Popeo202219:43.003 races20:47.001 race+5.41%