Pairwise course analysis
Rock Meadow 5Kvs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-2.30%
Roughly 27.5 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
49
Strong evidence
Median difference
-2.44%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.30%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.41%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-3.25% to -1.56%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Rock Meadow 5K | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Liu | 2022 | 25:33.001 race | 23:22.001 race | -8.55% |
| Matthew Loose | 2022 | 20:33.001 race | 19:11.001 race | -6.65% |
| Ethan Burack | 2022 | 23:05.001 race | 21:45.001 race | -5.78% |
| William Achtmeyer | 2023 | 21:59.001 race | 20:48.001 race | -5.38% |
| Josh Levine | 2022 | 24:05.001 race | 22:50.001 race | -5.19% |
| Abdirizak Abdulle | 2022 | 23:27.001 race | 22:15.001 race | -5.12% |
| Jack Kastner | 2023 | 21:15.001 race | 20:13.001 race | -4.86% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2022 | 20:36.001 race | 19:37.001 race | -4.77% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2023 | 24:13.001 race | 23:05.001 race | -4.68% |
| Thomas Xue | 2022 | 22:51.001 race | 21:48.001 race | -4.60% |
| Zach Green | 2022 | 21:30.001 race | 20:33.001 race | -4.42% |
| Ethan Train | 2022 | 20:18.001 race | 19:25.001 race | -4.35% |
| John Pena | 2023 | 24:00.001 race | 22:58.001 race | -4.31% |
| Ian Schmidek | 2023 | 25:21.001 race | 24:19.001 race | -4.08% |
| Rhett Curtis | 2023 | 22:41.001 race | 21:47.001 race | -3.97% |
| Emilio Manz | 2022 | 20:12.001 race | 19:27.001 race | -3.71% |
| Mark Price | 2023 | 24:05.001 race | 23:12.001 race | -3.67% |
| Chris Tillen | 2022 | 21:02.001 race | 20:16.001 race | -3.65% |
| Lev Tolkoff | 2023 | 23:05.001 race | 22:18.001 race | -3.39% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2023 | 21:11.001 race | 20:34.001 race | -2.91% |
| Timothy Snail | 2023 | 19:10.001 race | 18:38.001 race | -2.78% |
| Om Paithankar | 2022 | 22:29.001 race | 21:53.001 race | -2.67% |
| Carver Porter | 2023 | 20:06.001 race | 19:34.001 race | -2.65% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2022 | 22:17.001 race | 21:43.001 race | -2.54% |
| Vincent Mezzanotte | 2023 | 20:32.001 race | 20:02.001 race | -2.44% |
| George Carroll | 2023 | 20:07.001 race | 19:38.001 race | -2.40% |
| Calvin Pagan | 2023 | 22:44.001 race | 22:13.001 race | -2.27% |
| Yamin Ibrahim | 2023 | 19:18.001 race | 18:53.001 race | -2.16% |
| William Trautz | 2023 | 17:55.001 race | 17:32.001 race | -2.14% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2023 | 18:06.001 race | 17:43.001 race | -2.12% |
| Colin Anderson | 2022 | 20:09.001 race | 19:44.001 race | -2.07% |
| Eita Fuse | 2023 | 17:53.001 race | 17:31.001 race | -2.05% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2023 | 17:56.001 race | 17:34.001 race | -2.04% |
| Jerry Qin | 2022 | 20:02.001 race | 19:39.001 race | -1.91% |
| Oliver Burstein | 2022 | 20:55.001 race | 20:39.001 race | -1.27% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2023 | 18:09.001 race | 17:56.001 race | -1.19% |
| Justin Lee | 2022 | 20:48.001 race | 20:35.001 race | -1.04% |
| Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo | 2023 | 21:03.001 race | 20:51.001 race | -0.95% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2023 | 17:52.001 race | 17:42.001 race | -0.93% |
| Luke Hotra | 2022 | 21:06.001 race | 20:55.001 race | -0.87% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2023 | 19:38.001 race | 19:31.001 race | -0.59% |
| Alexandre White | 2023 | 21:26.001 race | 21:19.001 race | -0.54% |
| Adrian Tan | 2023 | 26:10.001 race | 26:08.001 race | -0.13% |
| Duncan Kilbride | 2023 | 20:50.001 race | 20:49.001 race | -0.08% |
| Devin Gray | 2022 | 20:35.001 race | 20:41.001 race | +0.49% |
| Arnav Harve | 2022 | 19:06.001 race | 19:19.001 race | +1.13% |
| Angus Harrison | 2023 | 19:15.001 race | 19:32.001 race | +1.47% |
| Maksim Roman | 2023 | 18:45.001 race | 19:03.001 race | +1.60% |
| Jonathan Tillen | 2022 | 20:23.001 race | 23:07.001 race | +13.41% |