Pairwise course analysis
Rock Meadow 5Kvs.Noble and Greenough School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Noble and Greenough School 5K runs slower
+2.75%
Roughly 33.0 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
33
Developing evidence
Median difference
+2.53%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+2.75%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.39%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+1.40% to +2.96%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Rock Meadow 5K | Noble and Greenough School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Liu | 2022 | 25:33.001 race | 24:51.002 races | -2.74% |
| Thomas Xue | 2022 | 22:51.001 race | 22:14.002 races | -2.70% |
| Josh Levine | 2022 | 24:05.001 race | 23:41.002 races | -1.66% |
| Abdirizak Abdulle | 2022 | 23:27.001 race | 23:22.002 races | -0.36% |
| Noah Peters | 2022 | 23:41.001 race | 23:49.002 races | +0.56% |
| Patrick Albers | 2022 | 18:23.001 race | 18:30.002 races | +0.63% |
| Colin Anderson | 2022 | 20:09.001 race | 20:18.002 races | +0.74% |
| Willy Connors | 2022 | 24:12.001 race | 24:24.002 races | +0.83% |
| Ethan Burack | 2022 | 23:05.001 race | 23:18.001 race | +0.94% |
| Matthew Loose | 2022 | 20:33.001 race | 20:47.001 race | +1.14% |
| Noah Douglas | 2022 | 17:40.001 race | 17:54.002 races | +1.32% |
| Jerry Qin | 2022 | 20:02.001 race | 20:19.002 races | +1.41% |
| Justin Lee | 2022 | 20:48.001 race | 21:07.002 races | +1.52% |
| Oliver Burstein | 2022 | 20:55.001 race | 21:15.002 races | +1.59% |
| David Hermanson | 2022 | 19:03.001 race | 19:24.002 races | +1.84% |
| Luke Hotra | 2022 | 21:06.001 race | 21:32.002 races | +2.05% |
| Arnav Harve | 2022 | 19:06.001 race | 19:35.002 races | +2.53% |
| Maxwell Huang | 2022 | 18:49.001 race | 19:18.002 races | +2.57% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2022 | 20:36.001 race | 21:08.002 races | +2.59% |
| Tim Churchill | 2022 | 17:53.001 race | 18:21.002 races | +2.61% |
| Charlie Hall | 2022 | 18:27.001 race | 18:56.002 races | +2.62% |
| Chris Tillen | 2022 | 21:02.001 race | 21:38.002 races | +2.85% |
| Will McLane | 2022 | 17:44.001 race | 18:15.002 races | +2.91% |
| Devin Gray | 2022 | 20:35.001 race | 21:16.002 races | +3.32% |
| Will Grimes | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 20:35.002 races | +3.35% |
| Alex Cheng | 2022 | 18:17.001 race | 18:55.002 races | +3.46% |
| Emilio Manz | 2022 | 20:12.001 race | 20:55.002 races | +3.55% |
| Ethan Train | 2022 | 20:18.001 race | 21:04.002 races | +3.78% |
| Carter Bartel | 2022 | 18:04.001 race | 18:53.002 races | +4.52% |
| Om Paithankar | 2022 | 22:29.001 race | 23:40.002 races | +5.26% |
| Ben Guenther | 2022 | 17:55.001 race | 18:57.002 races | +5.77% |
| Max Daniello | 2022 | 20:13.001 race | 21:25.002 races | +5.94% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2022 | 22:17.001 race | 24:01.002 races | +7.78% |