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Pairwise course analysis

Rock Meadow 5Kvs.RL 5K Course

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

RL 5K Course runs slower

+2.68%

Roughly 32.2 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

56

Strong evidence

Median difference

+1.86%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+2.68%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+3.94%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

RL 5K Course fasterEvenRL 5K Course slower

Confidence interval

+1.54% to +3.21%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Course context

The two courses

Baseline course

Rock Meadow 5K

5,000 meters

Compared course

RL 5K Course

5,000 meters

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonRock Meadow 5KRL 5K CourseDifference
Abdirizak Abdulle202223:27.001 race21:51.001 race-6.82%
Ethan Train202220:18.001 race19:47.001 race-2.55%
Wesley Lindstrom-Chalpin202226:00.001 race25:37.001 race-1.47%
Noah Peters202223:41.001 race23:22.001 race-1.34%
Patrick Albers202218:23.001 race18:14.001 race-0.82%
Ezra Lee202220:52.001 race20:42.001 race-0.80%
Ethan Burack202223:05.001 race22:54.001 race-0.79%
Matthew Loose202220:33.001 race20:28.001 race-0.41%
Thomas Xue202222:51.001 race22:47.001 race-0.29%
Josh Levine202224:05.001 race24:01.001 race-0.28%
Chris Tillen202221:02.001 race20:59.001 race-0.24%
Willy Connors202224:12.001 race24:12.001 race0.00%
Om Paithankar202222:29.001 race22:30.001 race+0.07%
Justin Lee202220:48.001 race20:51.001 race+0.24%
Henry Ramanathan202220:56.001 race21:01.001 race+0.40%
Ben Owusu-Amo202222:17.001 race22:23.001 race+0.45%
Tim Churchill202217:53.001 race18:00.001 race+0.65%
Jonas Wilderman202220:36.001 race20:45.001 race+0.73%
Jerry Qin202220:02.001 race20:12.001 race+0.83%
Jeremy Eaton202221:24.001 race21:35.001 race+0.86%
Charlie Hall202218:27.001 race18:37.001 race+0.90%
Andrew Bittner202221:04.001 race21:16.001 race+0.95%
Alex Cheng202218:17.001 race18:31.001 race+1.28%
Jeffrey Liu202225:33.001 race25:53.001 race+1.30%
Noah Douglas202217:40.001 race17:55.001 race+1.42%
Jonathan Tillen202220:23.001 race20:43.001 race+1.64%
David Hermanson202219:03.001 race19:22.001 race+1.66%
Colin Anderson202220:09.001 race20:30.001 race+1.74%
Max Daniello202220:13.001 race20:37.001 race+1.98%
Arnav Harve202219:06.001 race19:30.001 race+2.09%
Carter Bartel202218:04.001 race18:27.001 race+2.12%
Ben Guenther202217:55.001 race18:18.001 race+2.14%
Luke Hotra202221:06.001 race21:37.001 race+2.45%
Will Grimes202219:55.001 race20:27.001 race+2.68%
Maksim Roman202219:47.001 race20:20.001 race+2.78%
William Trautz202217:42.001 race18:12.001 race+2.82%
Will McLane202217:44.001 race18:21.001 race+3.48%
Davis Woolbert202218:10.001 race18:51.001 race+3.76%
Oliver Burstein202220:55.001 race21:43.001 race+3.82%
Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo202221:47.001 race22:37.001 race+3.83%
Emilio Manz202220:12.001 race21:01.001 race+4.04%
Fitz Courtney202217:58.001 race18:44.001 race+4.27%
Daniel Xie202222:52.001 race23:53.001 race+4.45%
Adrian Tan202224:00.001 race25:05.001 race+4.51%
Carver Porter202220:06.001 race21:06.001 race+4.98%
Gabriel Simmons202220:46.001 race21:48.001 race+4.98%
Nathaniel Voss202218:15.001 race19:13.001 race+5.30%
Aaron Stanger202218:12.001 race19:14.001 race+5.68%
Luca Mezzanotte202219:56.001 race21:07.001 race+5.94%
Davin Roy202223:58.001 race25:33.001 race+6.61%
Reuben Siegel202223:26.001 race25:03.001 race+6.90%
Miles Sandoski202217:19.001 race18:43.001 race+8.08%
Alexander Behn202219:33.001 race21:10.001 race+8.27%
Tobias Jonas202222:24.001 race24:18.001 race+8.48%
Jackson Pagan202219:07.001 race20:51.001 race+9.07%
Zach Green202221:30.001 race23:50.001 race+10.85%