Pairwise course analysis
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5Kvs.Brooks School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Brooks School 5K runs slower
+1.01%
Roughly 12.2 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
45
Strong evidence
Median difference
+1.51%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+1.01%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.35%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+0.15% to +2.20%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K | Brooks School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Wang | 2019 | 23:50.001 race | 21:58.001 race | -7.83% |
| Alessandro Barbiellini | 2019 | 24:28.001 race | 22:51.001 race | -6.61% |
| Riley Eyman | 2022 | 22:16.001 race | 21:14.001 race | -4.64% |
| Luca Mezzanotte | 2022 | 21:08.001 race | 20:19.001 race | -3.86% |
| Reuben Siegel | 2022 | 24:19.001 race | 23:31.001 race | -3.29% |
| Luis Sosa Espinal | 2024 | 21:34.001 race | 21:06.001 race | -2.16% |
| Henry Gennari | 2019 | 22:52.001 race | 22:28.001 race | -1.75% |
| John Joyce | 2024 | 17:09.001 race | 16:51.001 race | -1.75% |
| Michael Bobo | 2022 | 21:21.001 race | 21:00.001 race | -1.64% |
| Patrick McDonald | 2019 | 18:38.001 race | 18:22.001 race | -1.43% |
| Derek Chang | 2019 | 19:15.001 race | 19:01.001 race | -1.21% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2022 | 18:18.001 race | 18:06.001 race | -1.09% |
| William Hansen | 2019 | 21:29.001 race | 21:15.001 race | -1.09% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2022 | 18:27.001 race | 18:16.001 race | -0.99% |
| Lawrence Li | 2019 | 21:10.001 race | 21:01.001 race | -0.71% |
| Powers Trigg | 2019 | 19:44.001 race | 19:39.001 race | -0.42% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2022 | 17:48.001 race | 17:51.001 race | +0.28% |
| Aaron Stanger | 2022 | 17:56.001 race | 18:04.001 race | +0.74% |
| Vivan Das | 2019 | 21:03.001 race | 21:17.001 race | +1.11% |
| Jack Kastner | 2022 | 21:27.001 race | 21:44.001 race | +1.32% |
| Henry Ramanathan | 2022 | 19:51.001 race | 20:07.001 race | +1.34% |
| Ryder Cavanagh | 2019 | 19:42.001 race | 19:58.001 race | +1.35% |
| Joseph Koh | 2024 | 18:46.001 race | 19:03.001 race | +1.51% |
| Ian Bayliss | 2019 | 19:20.001 race | 19:39.001 race | +1.64% |
| Jeremy Eaton | 2022 | 19:58.001 race | 20:20.001 race | +1.84% |
| Gabriel Simmons | 2022 | 20:36.001 race | 21:02.001 race | +2.10% |
| Andrew Mazza | 2019 | 19:31.001 race | 19:58.001 race | +2.31% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2022 | 17:49.001 race | 18:14.001 race | +2.34% |
| Ian Schmidek | 2022 | 27:47.001 race | 28:29.001 race | +2.52% |
| Antonio Martinez | 2024 | 20:09.001 race | 20:41.001 race | +2.65% |
| Carver Porter | 2022 | 19:50.001 race | 20:22.001 race | +2.69% |
| Ryan Growney | 2022 | 18:58.001 race | 19:40.001 race | +3.69% |
| Alexander Wasynczuk | 2024 | 20:30.001 race | 21:16.001 race | +3.74% |
| Maksim Roman | 2022 | 19:03.001 race | 19:51.001 race | +4.20% |
| Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo | 2022 | 20:51.001 race | 21:44.001 race | +4.24% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2022 | 21:28.001 race | 22:23.001 race | +4.27% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2022 | 19:30.001 race | 20:20.001 race | +4.27% |
| Mark Wilson | 2019 | 19:58.001 race | 20:50.001 race | +4.34% |
| Noah Bay | 2019 | 20:33.001 race | 21:31.001 race | +4.70% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2022 | 18:39.001 race | 19:36.001 race | +5.09% |
| Cormac Anderson | 2024 | 22:25.001 race | 23:34.001 race | +5.13% |
| James McCarron III | 2022 | 16:21.001 race | 17:12.001 race | +5.20% |
| Alexander Behn | 2022 | 18:43.001 race | 19:46.001 race | +5.61% |
| Leo Gu | 2022 | 21:37.001 race | 22:54.001 race | +5.94% |
| Grant Vensel | 2022 | 20:20.001 race | 22:17.001 race | +9.59% |