Pairwise course analysis
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5Kvs.Noble and Greenough School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Noble and Greenough School 5K runs slower
+3.09%
Roughly 37.0 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
59
Strong evidence
Median difference
+3.71%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+3.09%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.25%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Noble and Greenough School 5K fasterEvenNoble and Greenough School 5K slower
Confidence interval
+1.69% to +4.07%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K | Noble and Greenough School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Chen | 2019 | 27:32.001 race | 24:54.003 races | -9.56% |
| Chris Athanasia | 2019 | 25:36.001 race | 23:17.003 races | -9.05% |
| Vikrum Singh | 2019 | 26:22.001 race | 24:00.003 races | -8.98% |
| Charles Wang | 2019 | 25:25.001 race | 23:21.002 races | -8.13% |
| Nick Rodriguez | 2019 | 22:25.001 race | 21:20.002 races | -4.83% |
| Om Paithankar | 2019 | 23:36.001 race | 23:11.004 races | -1.77% |
| Luke Hotra | 2019 | 25:47.001 race | 25:24.004 races | -1.49% |
| Niki Apostolicas | 2019 | 21:59.001 race | 21:41.003 races | -1.36% |
| Arnav Harve | 2019 | 23:37.001 race | 23:18.004 races | -1.34% |
| Nathan Pappas | 2021 | 23:04.001 race | 22:55.001 race | -0.65% |
| Rishi Khanna | 2019 | 21:24.001 race | 21:17.001 race | -0.55% |
| Ethan Anderson | 2019 | 20:34.001 race | 20:34.003 races | 0.00% |
| Jacob Casper | 2019 | 26:16.001 race | 26:30.004 races | +0.89% |
| Thomas Romney | 2021 | 19:13.001 race | 19:27.001 race | +1.21% |
| Wyatt Ellison | 2019 | 23:07.001 race | 23:33.004 races | +1.87% |
| Chris Millay | 2019 | 20:13.001 race | 20:37.004 races | +1.98% |
| Andrew Kasparyan | 2019 | 20:23.001 race | 20:48.004 races | +2.04% |
| William Trautz | 2021 | 18:29.001 race | 18:52.001 race | +2.07% |
| Aaron Stanger | 2021 | 19:07.001 race | 19:31.001 race | +2.09% |
| Carter Bartel | 2019 | 21:27.001 race | 21:59.004 races | +2.49% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2021 | 17:47.001 race | 18:14.001 race | +2.53% |
| Luca Mezzanotte | 2021 | 22:18.001 race | 22:52.001 race | +2.54% |
| Ryan Swords | 2019 | 21:20.001 race | 21:55.003 races | +2.73% |
| Duncan Kilbride | 2021 | 20:26.001 race | 21:03.001 race | +3.02% |
| Liam Nawara | 2019 | 23:45.001 race | 24:32.004 races | +3.30% |
| Khalid Abdulle | 2019 | 21:53.001 race | 22:37.003 races | +3.35% |
| Michael Bobo | 2021 | 21:55.001 race | 22:40.001 race | +3.42% |
| Ezra Lee | 2021 | 19:44.001 race | 20:26.001 race | +3.55% |
| Max Hall | 2019 | 20:00.001 race | 20:44.004 races | +3.67% |
| Harrison Theriault | 2019 | 24:17.001 race | 25:11.003 races | +3.71% |
| Justin Power | 2019 | 23:15.001 race | 24:07.004 races | +3.73% |
| Paris Liston | 2021 | 20:12.001 race | 20:59.001 race | +3.88% |
| Arec Keomurjian | 2021 | 19:20.001 race | 20:05.001 race | +3.88% |
| Sam Millay | 2019 | 23:59.001 race | 24:57.003 races | +4.03% |
| Eliot Saad | 2025 | 18:57.001 race | 19:45.001 race | +4.22% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2021 | 20:04.001 race | 20:57.001 race | +4.40% |
| Alex Berk | 2025 | 21:34.001 race | 22:31.001 race | +4.40% |
| Joshua Resnick | 2025 | 19:13.001 race | 20:05.001 race | +4.51% |
| Alexander Cederbaum | 2025 | 22:05.001 race | 23:07.001 race | +4.68% |
| James Donahue | 2021 | 16:06.001 race | 16:52.001 race | +4.76% |
| Justin Qin | 2019 | 18:47.001 race | 19:42.004 races | +4.88% |
| Jeremy Eaton | 2021 | 21:02.001 race | 22:07.001 race | +5.15% |
| Noah Avram | 2025 | 22:12.001 race | 23:21.001 race | +5.18% |
| Peilin Li | 2025 | 20:11.001 race | 21:14.001 race | +5.20% |
| Carver Porter | 2021 | 21:29.001 race | 22:37.001 race | +5.28% |
| Shawn Wu | 2019 | 21:38.001 race | 22:47.004 races | +5.32% |
| Patrick Denning | 2019 | 21:11.001 race | 22:20.004 races | +5.43% |
| Sammy Guerrero | 2019 | 22:40.001 race | 23:56.004 races | +5.59% |
| Daniel Xie | 2021 | 22:24.001 race | 23:43.001 race | +5.88% |
| David Hermanson | 2019 | 21:28.001 race | 22:46.002 races | +6.06% |
| Matthew Ding | 2025 | 22:21.001 race | 23:47.001 race | +6.41% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2021 | 19:21.001 race | 20:39.001 race | +6.72% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2021 | 19:24.001 race | 20:44.001 race | +6.87% |
| Xavier Welch | 2019 | 28:10.001 race | 30:15.004 races | +7.40% |
| Henry Pojasek | 2025 | 22:06.001 race | 24:02.001 race | +8.75% |
| Charlie Guerra | 2019 | 21:35.001 race | 23:31.004 races | +8.96% |
| Xuton Tang | 2025 | 18:30.001 race | 20:17.001 race | +9.64% |
| David Xiong | 2025 | 18:08.001 race | 19:55.001 race | +9.83% |
| Sam Jankey | 2019 | 23:04.001 race | 26:43.004 races | +15.82% |