Pairwise course analysis
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5Kvs.Rock Meadow 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow 5K runs slower
+0.32%
Roughly 3.9 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
20
Developing evidence
Median difference
+2.28%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+0.32%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.93%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+0.33% to +3.25%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K | Rock Meadow 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Mezzanotte | 2022 | 21:08.001 race | 19:56.001 race | -5.68% |
| Reuben Siegel | 2022 | 24:19.001 race | 23:26.001 race | -3.63% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2022 | 17:48.001 race | 17:19.001 race | -2.72% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2022 | 18:27.001 race | 18:15.001 race | -1.08% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2022 | 18:18.001 race | 18:10.001 race | -0.73% |
| Gabriel Simmons | 2022 | 20:36.001 race | 20:46.001 race | +0.81% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2022 | 17:49.001 race | 17:58.001 race | +0.84% |
| Carver Porter | 2022 | 19:50.001 race | 20:06.001 race | +1.34% |
| Aaron Stanger | 2022 | 17:56.001 race | 18:12.001 race | +1.49% |
| Adrian Tan | 2022 | 23:31.001 race | 24:00.001 race | +2.06% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2022 | 18:39.001 race | 19:07.001 race | +2.50% |
| Angus Harrison | 2022 | 18:29.001 race | 19:00.001 race | +2.80% |
| Maksim Roman | 2022 | 19:03.001 race | 19:47.001 race | +3.85% |
| Jack Kastner | 2022 | 21:27.001 race | 22:18.001 race | +3.96% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2022 | 21:28.001 race | 22:24.001 race | +4.35% |
| Alexander Behn | 2022 | 18:43.001 race | 19:33.001 race | +4.45% |
| Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo | 2022 | 20:51.001 race | 21:47.001 race | +4.48% |
| Daniel Xie | 2022 | 21:48.001 race | 22:52.001 race | +4.89% |
| Henry Ramanathan | 2022 | 19:51.001 race | 20:56.001 race | +5.46% |
| Jeremy Eaton | 2022 | 19:58.001 race | 21:24.001 race | +7.18% |