Pairwise course analysis

St. Mark's School Championship Coursevs.Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K runs slower

+0.29%

Roughly 3.5 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

91

Strong evidence

Median difference

+1.06%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+0.29%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+4.46%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K fasterEvenRock Meadow Short Loop 5K slower

Confidence interval

-0.11% to +2.14%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonSt. Mark's School Championship CourseRock Meadow Short Loop 5KDifference
Will Ryckman202124:06.002 races20:34.001 race-14.66%
Ryan Hung202122:42.001 race20:09.001 race-11.23%
Teddy Shortsleeve202522:32.001 race20:48.001 race-7.69%
Suhas Kaniyar202525:33.002 races24:10.001 race-5.41%
Charles Stevenson201927:45.002 races26:17.001 race-5.29%
Liam Childs202123:18.002 races22:07.001 race-5.08%
Sebastian Rome202121:43.002 races20:39.001 race-4.91%
John Pena202523:38.002 races22:39.001 race-4.16%
Nicholas Hebard201924:00.002 races23:01.001 race-4.10%
Xutin Tang202519:14.001 race18:32.001 race-3.64%
Andrew Gilmore202523:32.002 races22:41.001 race-3.61%
Miles Keller202518:56.002 races18:19.001 race-3.26%
Gabriel Klug201923:31.002 races22:47.001 race-3.12%
Yamin Ibrahim202517:56.002 races17:24.001 race-2.97%
Ethan Xie202521:54.002 races21:21.001 race-2.51%
John Weldon201920:21.002 races19:51.001 race-2.46%
Shea McDonnell202522:11.002 races21:40.001 race-2.33%
Eric Zhang202123:29.002 races22:57.001 race-2.27%
AJ Gorman202118:23.003 races18:01.001 race-1.99%
Dylan Zaterka202120:36.002 races20:12.001 race-1.94%
Tyler Smith202520:53.002 races20:31.001 race-1.76%
Maksim Roman202419:05.001 race18:49.001 race-1.40%
Thomas Egan202521:47.002 races21:29.001 race-1.38%
William Achtmeyer202520:58.002 races20:41.001 race-1.35%
Cooper Schuldt202518:45.002 races18:31.001 race-1.24%
Davis Woolbert202417:28.001 race17:16.001 race-1.15%
Alex Chen202521:56.002 races21:41.001 race-1.14%
Charles Wells201927:43.002 races27:26.001 race-1.02%
Howard Huang201922:17.002 races22:08.001 race-0.67%
Fitz Courtney202517:17.002 races17:11.001 race-0.58%
Colin Grierson202518:44.002 races18:38.001 race-0.53%
Griffin Calhoun202519:22.001 race19:17.001 race-0.43%
Patrick Snail202520:34.001 race20:29.001 race-0.41%
Timothy Snail202518:29.001 race18:25.001 race-0.36%
Xuton Tang202518:32.001 race18:30.001 race-0.18%
Alexander Guo202522:24.002 races22:27.001 race+0.22%
Ethan Xie202421:23.001 race21:28.001 race+0.39%
Charles Donahue201918:52.002 races18:58.001 race+0.53%
Arthur Gao202126:47.001 race26:56.001 race+0.56%
David Xiong202518:01.001 race18:08.001 race+0.65%
Declan Woolbert202517:51.002 races17:59.001 race+0.75%
Aidan McGaugh201919:01.002 races19:10.001 race+0.79%
Luke Hogan201921:29.002 races21:40.001 race+0.85%
Alex Berk202521:23.001 race21:34.001 race+0.86%
Sreetej Digumarthi201921:57.002 races22:09.001 race+0.91%
Babikir Saeed202418:55.001 race19:07.001 race+1.06%
James Palumbo202522:10.002 races22:25.001 race+1.13%
Riley Marth202519:29.002 races19:43.001 race+1.20%
Eita Fuse202517:41.002 races17:54.001 race+1.23%
Eita Fuse202417:44.001 race17:58.001 race+1.32%
Pierce Courtney202519:40.002 races19:56.001 race+1.36%
Tyler Forg201921:23.002 races21:42.001 race+1.48%
Hayden Gobron202119:05.002 races19:22.001 race+1.48%
Fitz Courtney202417:16.001 race17:33.001 race+1.64%
Jeff Wang202127:55.001 race28:25.001 race+1.79%
Riley Marth202418:47.001 race19:09.001 race+1.95%
Jack Kastner202421:00.001 race21:26.001 race+2.06%
William Achtmeyer202419:40.001 race20:05.001 race+2.12%
B Kwan202122:42.002 races23:11.001 race+2.13%
Jack Good202518:43.002 races19:08.001 race+2.23%
Peilin Li202519:44.001 race20:11.001 race+2.28%
Yamin Ibrahim202419:01.001 race19:28.001 race+2.37%
Finley Long202519:35.001 race20:04.001 race+2.47%
David Xie202125:32.002 races26:12.001 race+2.61%
James Nichols-Worley202119:11.003 races19:43.001 race+2.78%
Adrian Chen202524:22.002 races25:03.001 race+2.80%
Tyler Smith202419:14.001 race19:47.001 race+2.86%
Christiaan Eikeboom201919:29.002 races20:04.001 race+2.99%
Brendan Kilpatrick202422:16.001 race22:57.001 race+3.07%
George Carroll202419:31.001 race20:10.001 race+3.33%
Sebastian Colberg202419:28.001 race20:08.001 race+3.42%
Daniel Bittner201922:07.002 races22:55.001 race+3.62%
Johannes Eikeboom202419:36.001 race20:19.001 race+3.66%
Timothy Snail202417:38.001 race18:17.001 race+3.69%
Joshua Resnick202518:29.001 race19:13.001 race+3.97%
Martin Li202122:39.002 races23:33.001 race+3.97%
James Keefe202424:14.001 race25:14.001 race+4.13%
Ryan Chang-Wu202422:58.001 race23:57.001 race+4.28%
Alex Chen202420:49.001 race21:46.001 race+4.56%
William Trautz202416:07.001 race16:52.001 race+4.65%
Condy Bao202121:19.002 races22:19.001 race+4.69%
Ryan Cannistraro201926:30.002 races27:47.001 race+4.84%
William Trautz202515:51.002 races16:40.001 race+5.15%
Jack Good202418:43.001 race19:41.001 race+5.16%
Alexandre White202420:16.001 race21:21.001 race+5.35%
Henry Pojasek202520:55.001 race22:06.001 race+5.66%
Martin Ma202125:12.001 race26:48.001 race+6.35%
Matthew Ding202521:00.001 race22:21.001 race+6.43%
Henry Wang202123:11.002 races25:02.001 race+7.98%
Jacob Cifuentes202125:27.002 races33:00.001 race+29.67%
Ian Choe202127:01.001 race35:47.001 race+32.45%