Pairwise course analysis
Taft School 5Kvs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs faster
-3.40%
Roughly 40.8 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
26
Developing evidence
Median difference
-4.20%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-3.40%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+2.74%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-5.24% to -3.20%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Taft School 5K | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhia Patel | 2025 | 27:56.001 race | 25:09.002 races | -9.96% |
| Will Frazier | 2025 | 20:11.001 race | 18:17.003 races | -9.41% |
| Emilia Raviola | 2025 | 25:02.001 race | 22:43.003 races | -9.25% |
| Isabella Chen | 2025 | 25:12.001 race | 23:24.003 races | -7.14% |
| Grant Wheelan | 2025 | 19:04.001 race | 17:59.003 races | -5.68% |
| Hudson Tulman | 2025 | 21:31.001 race | 20:22.003 races | -5.34% |
| Hunter Caggiano | 2025 | 21:06.001 race | 20:01.002 races | -5.13% |
| Emmett Burghardt | 2025 | 19:04.001 race | 18:06.003 races | -5.07% |
| Taylor Krepps | 2025 | 27:07.001 race | 25:46.003 races | -4.98% |
| Armand Matijasevic | 2025 | 19:55.001 race | 18:58.003 races | -4.77% |
| Emlyn Joseph | 2025 | 19:09.001 race | 18:16.003 races | -4.61% |
| Hudson Li | 2025 | 20:26.001 race | 19:32.003 races | -4.40% |
| Jace LiVigni | 2025 | 18:34.001 race | 17:47.002 races | -4.22% |
| Ella Cocchi | 2025 | 28:21.001 race | 27:10.003 races | -4.17% |
| William Nass | 2025 | 21:23.001 race | 20:39.002 races | -3.43% |
| Alex Signorovitch | 2025 | 17:50.001 race | 17:18.003 races | -2.99% |
| Owen Chrisensen | 2025 | 21:28.001 race | 20:50.003 races | -2.95% |
| Alyssa Liu | 2025 | 26:16.001 race | 25:32.003 races | -2.79% |
| Margot Murphy-Hara | 2025 | 23:55.001 race | 23:18.003 races | -2.58% |
| Griffin Kelleher | 2025 | 17:58.001 race | 17:31.002 races | -2.50% |
| Amelia Simoneau | 2025 | 26:06.001 race | 25:31.003 races | -2.23% |
| Felix Stuart | 2025 | 21:29.001 race | 21:03.002 races | -2.02% |
| Theo Edgar | 2025 | 20:10.001 race | 19:46.003 races | -1.98% |
| Phoebe Quinn | 2025 | 22:13.001 race | 21:48.003 races | -1.88% |
| Alex Sherman | 2025 | 19:01.001 race | 18:54.003 races | -0.61% |
| Zifu Song | 2025 | 21:15.001 race | 21:31.003 races | +1.25% |