Pairwise course analysis

BB&N 5K Coursevs.Brooks School 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Brooks School 5K runs slower

+7.41%

Roughly 1:29 slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

123

Deep evidence

Median difference

+6.70%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+7.41%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+5.87%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Brooks School 5K fasterEvenBrooks School 5K slower

Confidence interval

+5.45% to +8.06%

Scale shown

-10% to +10%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonBB&N 5K CourseBrooks School 5KDifference
Samson Nwobi202327:09.001 race22:26.003 races-17.37%
Taylor Armstead202147:29.001 race40:06.001 race-15.55%
Tanay Kommareddi201924:20.001 race21:15.002 races-12.67%
Ava Marinaro202331:54.001 race28:36.002 races-10.34%
Armaun Dehpanah202323:12.001 race22:11.002 races-4.38%
David Jiang202125:43.001 race24:46.001 race-3.69%
Leo Charlamb202328:46.001 race27:46.002 races-3.48%
Gray Simanson202230:02.001 race29:32.001 race-1.66%
Cameron Gonzalez202217:54.001 race17:52.001 race-0.19%
Drake Tarlow202320:49.001 race20:55.002 races+0.48%
Luke Peabody202218:39.001 race18:50.001 race+0.98%
Adyson Duval202323:53.001 race24:09.002 races+1.12%
Alex Tobias201918:15.001 race18:32.002 races+1.55%
Samuel Hinman202217:36.001 race17:53.001 race+1.61%
Adyson Duval202127:06.001 race27:37.002 races+1.91%
Katalin (Kata) Clark202120:55.001 race21:19.002 races+1.91%
Lauren Puglia202122:12.001 race22:42.002 races+2.25%
Edo Spadaccini201924:21.001 race24:56.002 races+2.40%
Alex Tobias202117:19.001 race17:45.002 races+2.50%
Arden Sartori202324:29.001 race25:06.002 races+2.52%
Cheng Zhuang202321:39.001 race22:13.002 races+2.62%
James Lyman201920:13.001 race20:45.001 race+2.64%
Gabriel Yu201921:47.001 race22:25.001 race+2.91%
Lauren Puglia202323:17.001 race23:58.002 races+2.93%
Zoe Wilmerding202125:17.001 race26:02.002 races+2.97%
Kamran Bradley202322:00.001 race22:40.002 races+3.03%
Zebediah Stewart202118:36.001 race19:15.003 races+3.49%
John Joyce202217:10.001 race17:46.001 race+3.50%
Alder Hurley202335:14.001 race36:33.002 races+3.74%
Benjamin Kuo202217:30.001 race18:10.001 race+3.81%
Edo Spadaccini202123:59.001 race24:54.001 race+3.82%
Evan Wirth202119:37.001 race20:22.001 race+3.82%
Nicolas Huaco202217:14.001 race17:55.001 race+3.97%
James Lyman202120:58.001 race21:48.003 races+3.97%
Thomas Devlin202220:06.001 race20:54.001 race+3.98%
Forrester Clark202317:21.001 race18:03.001 race+4.03%
Charles Jackivicz202218:07.001 race18:53.001 race+4.23%
Tori Duckworth202123:09.001 race24:11.002 races+4.46%
Eliza Barker202124:53.001 race26:01.002 races+4.55%
Evan Salhanick202120:15.001 race21:16.002 races+5.02%
Jack Connors202216:42.001 race17:33.001 race+5.09%
Fitz Courtney202416:40.001 race17:31.001 race+5.10%
Eita Fuse202416:41.001 race17:34.001 race+5.29%
Grace Pilkington202327:15.001 race28:43.001 race+5.38%
Jack Torrisi202522:42.001 race23:56.192 races+5.45%
Benjamin Hebbel202217:03.001 race17:59.001 race+5.47%
Nate Wirth201918:52.001 race19:54.001 race+5.48%
Vincent Mezzanotte202419:45.001 race20:50.001 race+5.49%
Sienna Steeves202328:53.001 race30:32.002 races+5.71%
Morgan Pfeil202523:04.001 race24:25.002 races+5.85%
Thomas Valderrama202220:06.001 race21:17.001 race+5.89%
Tatum Glynn202324:08.001 race25:34.002 races+5.94%
Chris Thompson202218:34.001 race19:42.001 race+6.10%
Maksim Roman202417:47.001 race18:53.001 race+6.19%
Cali Bernier202125:05.001 race26:40.001 race+6.31%
Eli Norden202422:21.001 race23:46.001 race+6.34%
Juan José Torres Lara202218:26.001 race19:37.001 race+6.42%
Sam Benson202520:26.001 race21:44.812 races+6.43%
Jack Good202418:15.001 race19:26.001 race+6.48%
Davis Woolbert202416:50.001 race17:56.001 race+6.53%
Sam Leviton202416:42.001 race17:48.001 race+6.59%
Bradley Weldon202218:40.001 race19:55.001 race+6.70%
Daniel Reyes202122:57.001 race24:32.001 race+6.90%
Tyler Smith202418:50.001 race20:10.001 race+7.08%
Eben Dooling202321:03.001 race22:33.002 races+7.13%
Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo202419:08.001 race20:30.001 race+7.14%
Phoebe Cogan202320:15.001 race21:43.002 races+7.24%
Kevin Xie202527:30.001 race29:30.122 races+7.28%
Babikir Saeed202417:59.001 race19:18.001 race+7.32%
William Achtmeyer202418:51.001 race20:16.001 race+7.52%
Sam Poulin202219:00.001 race20:26.001 race+7.54%
Alex Chen202420:10.001 race21:42.001 race+7.60%
Andrew Gilmore202420:48.001 race22:23.001 race+7.61%
Tori Duckworth201922:04.001 race23:45.002 races+7.63%
Evi Robb202223:21.001 race25:08.001 race+7.64%
Riley Marth202418:01.001 race19:25.001 race+7.77%
Angelina Liberman202126:26.001 race28:30.001 race+7.82%
Molly Madigan201922:08.001 race23:54.001 race+7.98%
Ryan Chang-Wu202421:26.001 race23:09.001 race+8.01%
Bryn Feeney202221:11.001 race22:53.001 race+8.03%
Lorenzo Johnson202519:50.001 race21:25.672 races+8.04%
Pablo Paxtor202219:15.001 race20:48.001 race+8.05%
Cheng Zhuang202121:27.001 race23:13.002 races+8.24%
Ashley Sink202221:25.001 race23:12.001 race+8.33%
Ava Marinaro202525:51.001 race28:01.002 races+8.38%
Hugh Park202120:44.001 race22:29.003 races+8.44%
James Carroll202520:46.001 race22:31.812 races+8.49%
Lizzie Cochran202223:04.001 race25:08.001 race+8.96%
Jack Kastner202420:00.001 race21:50.001 race+9.17%
Pilar Bell202525:23.001 race27:43.002 races+9.19%
Brandon Spector-Townsend202120:31.001 race22:26.003 races+9.34%
William Trautz202415:19.001 race16:50.001 race+9.90%
Vanessa Shipley201921:30.001 race23:38.002 races+9.92%
Johannes Eikeboom202419:56.001 race21:58.001 race+10.20%
Nashr El Auliya201919:13.001 race21:11.001 race+10.23%
Brendan Kilpatrick202421:46.001 race24:00.001 race+10.26%
Gianna Carroll202524:30.001 race27:01.001 race+10.27%
Sebastian Colberg202418:51.001 race20:48.001 race+10.34%
Sebastian Culleton202217:15.001 race19:03.001 race+10.43%
Gabriel Yu202125:30.001 race28:14.001 race+10.72%
Eleanor Mayer201924:07.001 race26:45.002 races+10.92%
Phoebe Cogan202520:50.001 race23:08.002 races+11.04%
Samson Oblak202520:58.001 race23:17.042 races+11.05%
Timothy Snail202417:20.001 race19:17.001 race+11.25%
Ethan Xie202420:24.001 race22:42.001 race+11.27%
Lilly Maki202226:05.001 race29:02.001 race+11.31%
Brin Ferrone202523:59.001 race26:43.332 races+11.42%
Alder Hurley202530:47.001 race34:19.002 races+11.48%
Luke Ferrone202523:55.001 race26:39.892 races+11.49%
John Pena202419:39.001 race21:59.001 race+11.87%
Luke Desmaison201919:38.001 race22:10.001 race+12.90%
Katalin (Kata) Clark202318:28.001 race20:55.001 race+13.27%
Ashley Picard201923:19.001 race26:32.002 races+13.80%
Andy Seals202118:30.001 race21:10.003 races+14.41%
William Hansen202219:01.001 race21:52.001 race+14.99%
Clara Choi201932:50.001 race38:24.001 race+16.95%
Dhruva Tailam202321:23.001 race25:06.002 races+17.38%
Andy Li202523:58.001 race28:46.802 races+20.08%
Rumi Kaye202526:35.001 race31:57.001 race+20.19%
Adam Jac201920:37.001 race24:57.002 races+21.02%
Gabriel Barreto-D'Silva201921:18.001 race25:53.001 race+21.52%
Henry Zhu202524:45.001 race34:21.492 races+38.82%
Bella Choi202522:50.001 race33:32.002 races+46.86%