Pairwise course analysis
BB&N 5K Coursevs.Rock Meadow 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow 5K runs slower
+6.68%
Roughly 1:20 slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
33
Developing evidence
Median difference
+6.04%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+6.68%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.06%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+4.89% to +6.80%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | BB&N 5K Course | Rock Meadow 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Tillen | 2022 | 21:08.001 race | 21:02.001 race | -0.47% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2022 | 21:54.001 race | 22:17.001 race | +1.75% |
| Emilio Manz | 2022 | 19:51.001 race | 20:12.001 race | +1.76% |
| Carter Bartel | 2022 | 17:44.001 race | 18:04.001 race | +1.88% |
| Ben Guenther | 2022 | 17:26.001 race | 17:55.001 race | +2.77% |
| Max Daniello | 2022 | 19:36.001 race | 20:13.001 race | +3.15% |
| Arnav Harve | 2022 | 18:22.001 race | 19:06.001 race | +3.99% |
| Justin Lee | 2022 | 19:57.001 race | 20:48.001 race | +4.26% |
| Ethan Train | 2022 | 19:28.001 race | 20:18.001 race | +4.28% |
| Will McLane | 2022 | 17:00.001 race | 17:44.001 race | +4.31% |
| Maxwell Huang | 2022 | 17:57.001 race | 18:49.001 race | +4.83% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2022 | 19:37.001 race | 20:36.001 race | +5.01% |
| Charlie Hall | 2022 | 17:33.001 race | 18:27.001 race | +5.13% |
| Alex Cheng | 2022 | 17:23.001 race | 18:17.001 race | +5.18% |
| Patrick Albers | 2022 | 17:28.001 race | 18:23.001 race | +5.25% |
| David Hermanson | 2022 | 17:59.001 race | 19:03.001 race | +5.93% |
| Noah Peters | 2022 | 22:20.001 race | 23:41.001 race | +6.04% |
| Jonathan Tillen | 2022 | 19:11.001 race | 20:23.001 race | +6.26% |
| Will Grimes | 2022 | 18:44.001 race | 19:55.001 race | +6.32% |
| Zach Green | 2022 | 20:13.001 race | 21:30.001 race | +6.35% |
| Devin Gray | 2022 | 19:20.001 race | 20:35.001 race | +6.47% |
| Josh Levine | 2022 | 22:37.001 race | 24:05.001 race | +6.48% |
| Colin Anderson | 2022 | 18:47.001 race | 20:09.001 race | +7.28% |
| Noah Douglas | 2022 | 16:28.001 race | 17:40.001 race | +7.29% |
| Luke Hotra | 2022 | 19:38.001 race | 21:06.001 race | +7.47% |
| Oliver Burstein | 2022 | 19:24.001 race | 20:55.001 race | +7.82% |
| Om Paithankar | 2022 | 20:51.001 race | 22:29.001 race | +7.83% |
| Tim Churchill | 2022 | 16:30.001 race | 17:53.001 race | +8.38% |
| Jerry Qin | 2022 | 18:29.001 race | 20:02.001 race | +8.39% |
| Matthew Loose | 2022 | 18:56.001 race | 20:33.001 race | +8.54% |
| Ethan Burack | 2022 | 21:04.001 race | 23:05.001 race | +9.57% |
| Thomas Xue | 2022 | 20:22.001 race | 22:51.001 race | +12.19% |
| Jeffrey Liu | 2022 | 22:45.001 race | 25:33.001 race | +12.31% |