Pairwise course analysis
Bouchard Park 5Kvs.BB&N 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
BB&N 5K Course runs faster
-2.94%
Roughly 35.3 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
124
Deep evidence
Median difference
-3.61%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.94%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.78%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
BB&N 5K Course fasterEvenBB&N 5K Course slower
Confidence interval
-4.93% to -2.96%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Bouchard Park 5K | BB&N 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreu Beltran | 2022 | 33:37.001 race | 21:39.001 race | -35.60% |
| Dhruv Padmanabhan | 2019 | 29:24.701 race | 23:14.003 races | -21.01% |
| Phoebe Triant | 2023 | 28:10.001 race | 22:17.001 race | -20.89% |
| Kate Wei | 2023 | 26:05.001 race | 22:48.001 race | -12.59% |
| Tyler Case | 2023 | 25:20.001 race | 22:20.001 race | -11.84% |
| Maya Vernazza | 2023 | 23:34.001 race | 21:07.001 race | -10.40% |
| Oscar Caprano | 2019 | 24:47.201 race | 22:20.002 races | -9.90% |
| Blakeny Johnston | 2023 | 24:18.001 race | 21:59.001 race | -9.53% |
| Julia Maimones | 2019 | 23:49.501 race | 21:44.002 races | -8.78% |
| Priya Devavaeam | 2019 | 26:46.701 race | 24:33.002 races | -8.32% |
| Christina Hall | 2023 | 27:23.001 race | 25:07.001 race | -8.28% |
| Emery Nordahl | 2023 | 23:37.001 race | 21:43.001 race | -8.05% |
| Yiling Ding | 2023 | 24:44.001 race | 22:45.001 race | -8.02% |
| Zane Davis | 2019 | 23:43.301 race | 21:51.003 races | -7.89% |
| Nicholas Tao | 2019 | 20:27.901 race | 18:58.003 races | -7.32% |
| Nnamdi Achebe | 2023 | 23:51.001 race | 22:10.001 race | -7.06% |
| Caroline Jennings | 2023 | 27:06.001 race | 25:12.001 race | -7.01% |
| Hillary Galle | 2019 | 29:22.901 race | 27:20.002 races | -6.97% |
| Emma Finkelstein | 2023 | 24:42.001 race | 22:59.001 race | -6.95% |
| Angie Feng | 2023 | 25:08.001 race | 23:26.001 race | -6.76% |
| Matthew Loose | 2023 | 18:44.001 race | 17:29.001 race | -6.67% |
| Jake Elkins | 2019 | 19:31.301 race | 18:14.003 races | -6.60% |
| Arden Conine | 2019 | 24:28.701 race | 22:52.003 races | -6.58% |
| Jayden Leung | 2023 | 21:17.001 race | 19:54.001 race | -6.50% |
| Abigail Rabieh | 2019 | 23:53.801 race | 22:23.001 race | -6.33% |
| Andrew Monsalve | 2019 | 21:30.601 race | 20:09.003 races | -6.32% |
| Brenna Thomas | 2023 | 26:57.001 race | 25:15.001 race | -6.31% |
| Jerry Qin | 2023 | 20:37.001 race | 19:20.001 race | -6.22% |
| Ben Owusu-Amo | 2023 | 22:19.001 race | 20:56.001 race | -6.20% |
| Flynn Coyne | 2019 | 25:02.401 race | 23:32.003 races | -6.02% |
| Mathew Hong | 2019 | 19:24.801 race | 18:17.003 races | -5.82% |
| Jonathan Tillen | 2023 | 19:09.001 race | 18:03.001 race | -5.74% |
| Aydin Alsan | 2023 | 19:50.001 race | 18:43.001 race | -5.63% |
| Ben Guenther | 2023 | 17:33.001 race | 16:35.001 race | -5.51% |
| Riley Gordon | 2023 | 26:57.001 race | 25:28.001 race | -5.50% |
| Ellie Berman | 2019 | 24:20.701 race | 23:01.002 races | -5.46% |
| Sunehri Verma | 2023 | 29:41.001 race | 28:06.001 race | -5.33% |
| Alexa Zhou | 2023 | 25:38.001 race | 24:16.001 race | -5.33% |
| Devin Gray | 2023 | 19:12.001 race | 18:11.001 race | -5.30% |
| Jeffrey Liu | 2023 | 24:07.001 race | 22:52.001 race | -5.18% |
| Tess Holland | 2019 | 24:13.501 race | 22:59.003 races | -5.13% |
| Owen Harrington | 2023 | 23:31.001 race | 22:20.001 race | -5.03% |
| Carlos Panayiotopoulos | 2019 | 22:56.601 race | 21:48.003 races | -4.98% |
| Michael Timmins | 2023 | 19:52.001 race | 18:53.001 race | -4.95% |
| Tim Churchill | 2023 | 16:52.001 race | 16:02.001 race | -4.94% |
| Noah Douglas | 2023 | 17:04.001 race | 16:15.001 race | -4.79% |
| Henry McLane | 2023 | 17:15.001 race | 16:27.001 race | -4.64% |
| Will Grace | 2023 | 19:17.001 race | 18:26.001 race | -4.41% |
| Raquel Frankel | 2023 | 27:33.001 race | 26:21.001 race | -4.36% |
| Max Daniello | 2023 | 19:53.001 race | 19:02.001 race | -4.27% |
| Ella Berger | 2023 | 24:09.001 race | 23:08.001 race | -4.21% |
| Quinn Desimone | 2022 | 21:01.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -4.20% |
| Jonas Wilderman | 2023 | 19:16.001 race | 18:28.001 race | -4.15% |
| Allison Park | 2023 | 24:44.001 race | 23:43.001 race | -4.11% |
| Anray Sheng | 2023 | 22:43.001 race | 21:47.001 race | -4.11% |
| Charlie Hall | 2023 | 19:30.001 race | 18:42.001 race | -4.10% |
| Joshua Curhan | 2022 | 19:17.001 race | 18:30.002 races | -4.06% |
| George Scanlon | 2022 | 21:29.001 race | 20:38.001 race | -3.96% |
| Maxwell Huang | 2023 | 18:01.001 race | 17:19.001 race | -3.89% |
| Catherine Curran | 2023 | 27:52.001 race | 26:48.001 race | -3.83% |
| Ford Legg | 2019 | 21:02.601 race | 20:15.002 races | -3.77% |
| Danielle Brennan | 2019 | 22:08.401 race | 21:20.003 races | -3.64% |
| Flynn Coyne | 2022 | 22:24.001 race | 21:36.002 races | -3.57% |
| Ines Levy | 2019 | 22:23.401 race | 21:36.001 race | -3.53% |
| Tim Guan | 2019 | 25:52.101 race | 24:58.002 races | -3.49% |
| Alex Wu | 2019 | 18:39.801 race | 18:01.003 races | -3.46% |
| Annie Lopez | 2023 | 24:43.001 race | 23:52.001 race | -3.44% |
| Emilie Andrews | 2023 | 24:35.001 race | 23:47.001 race | -3.25% |
| Theo Goldman | 2019 | 21:15.501 race | 20:35.003 races | -3.18% |
| Ryan Loughran | 2019 | 18:34.601 race | 18:00.003 races | -3.10% |
| Alex Cheng | 2023 | 17:44.001 race | 17:12.001 race | -3.01% |
| Nathalie Frem | 2022 | 23:24.001 race | 22:42.001 race | -2.99% |
| Richard Federico | 2022 | 17:55.001 race | 17:23.001 race | -2.98% |
| Justin Lee | 2023 | 19:40.001 race | 19:05.001 race | -2.97% |
| Nate Madden | 2023 | 20:37.001 race | 20:03.001 race | -2.75% |
| Beckett Dubovik | 2022 | 21:02.001 race | 20:28.001 race | -2.69% |
| Konstantin Lukin-Yelin | 2019 | 19:11.701 race | 18:41.003 races | -2.67% |
| Jonathan Andreoli | 2022 | 23:48.001 race | 23:11.001 race | -2.59% |
| Patrick Albers | 2023 | 18:51.001 race | 18:22.001 race | -2.56% |
| Sam Modur | 2019 | 23:30.301 race | 22:55.002 races | -2.50% |
| Charlie Young | 2023 | 21:27.001 race | 20:55.001 race | -2.49% |
| Douglas Zhang | 2022 | 21:21.001 race | 20:52.001 race | -2.26% |
| Gabe Cooper | 2022 | 19:01.001 race | 18:36.002 races | -2.19% |
| Owen Dowden | 2019 | 25:34.501 race | 25:02.003 races | -2.12% |
| Sofia Branco | 2023 | 28:49.001 race | 28:15.001 race | -1.97% |
| James Fair | 2023 | 19:48.001 race | 19:26.001 race | -1.85% |
| Sam Modur | 2022 | 20:36.001 race | 20:14.001 race | -1.78% |
| Alana Kramer-Gomez | 2022 | 21:50.001 race | 21:27.001 race | -1.76% |
| Sam Rabieh | 2019 | 17:36.301 race | 17:18.002 races | -1.73% |
| Nicholas Contos | 2022 | 20:30.001 race | 20:09.001 race | -1.71% |
| Emmett Chen | 2023 | 20:43.001 race | 20:24.001 race | -1.53% |
| Gabrielle Martin | 2022 | 23:27.001 race | 23:09.001 race | -1.28% |
| Sebastian Southworth | 2022 | 22:20.001 race | 22:03.001 race | -1.27% |
| Parker Lewis-Pierce | 2022 | 22:52.001 race | 22:35.001 race | -1.24% |
| Ben Kaplan | 2022 | 23:53.001 race | 23:36.001 race | -1.19% |
| Ford Legg | 2022 | 19:40.001 race | 19:27.002 races | -1.10% |
| Gabrielle Martin | 2019 | 26:45.301 race | 26:29.003 races | -1.02% |
| Amelia Sousa | 2022 | 22:44.001 race | 22:32.001 race | -0.88% |
| Alex Avram | 2019 | 25:23.201 race | 25:12.003 races | -0.74% |
| Naomi Hammerschlag | 2022 | 21:16.001 race | 21:07.002 races | -0.71% |
| Christian Hernandez | 2022 | 22:37.001 race | 22:28.001 race | -0.66% |
| Finley Long | 2022 | 19:25.001 race | 19:18.002 races | -0.60% |
| Diego Abadie | 2022 | 19:42.001 race | 19:35.002 races | -0.59% |
| Lulu Dematteo | 2022 | 23:57.001 race | 23:49.001 race | -0.56% |
| Anne Moser | 2022 | 21:22.001 race | 21:17.001 race | -0.39% |
| Liana Flood | 2022 | 22:59.001 race | 22:56.001 race | -0.22% |
| George Rand | 2022 | 16:44.001 race | 16:43.001 race | -0.10% |
| Riya Jain | 2023 | 28:13.001 race | 28:12.001 race | -0.06% |
| Sylvia Brennan | 2022 | 21:14.001 race | 21:14.002 races | 0.00% |
| David Xiong | 2022 | 19:06.001 race | 19:09.002 races | +0.26% |
| Julian Li | 2019 | 18:50.901 race | 18:55.003 races | +0.36% |
| Kathryn Martin | 2022 | 23:51.001 race | 23:57.001 race | +0.42% |
| Luke Walsh | 2022 | 16:46.001 race | 17:00.001 race | +1.39% |
| Asher Parker-Sartori | 2019 | 24:46.701 race | 25:09.003 races | +1.50% |
| Caroline Kovacs | 2022 | 20:18.001 race | 20:38.001 race | +1.64% |
| Chloe Jeppson | 2023 | 29:42.001 race | 30:28.001 race | +2.58% |
| Audra Soni | 2022 | 22:32.001 race | 23:13.002 races | +3.03% |
| Walker Cox | 2022 | 21:38.001 race | 22:22.001 race | +3.39% |
| Charlie Zhang | 2022 | 22:06.001 race | 23:15.001 race | +5.20% |
| Charles Chen | 2019 | 22:31.101 race | 23:54.003 races | +6.14% |
| Duke Garvin | 2022 | 17:18.001 race | 18:23.001 race | +6.26% |
| Alexander Cohen | 2022 | 23:24.001 race | 25:10.001 race | +7.55% |
| Asher Parker-Sartori | 2022 | 19:54.001 race | 21:28.001 race | +7.87% |
| Kaia Eckton | 2019 | 28:27.501 race | 30:45.002 races | +8.05% |