Pairwise course analysis
Bouchard Park 5Kvs.Canterbury School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Canterbury School 5K runs slower
+1.64%
Roughly 19.7 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
49
Strong evidence
Median difference
+3.07%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+1.64%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.84%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+0.77% to +4.01%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Bouchard Park 5K | Canterbury School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lin | 2024 | 26:45.001 race | 22:53.001 race | -14.45% |
| Wes Shaller | 2024 | 20:08.001 race | 19:07.001 race | -5.05% |
| Jake Rosenfeld | 2024 | 21:25.001 race | 20:24.001 race | -4.75% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2024 | 25:02.001 race | 23:55.001 race | -4.46% |
| Madi Pugatch | 2024 | 26:20.001 race | 25:19.001 race | -3.86% |
| Aly Correia | 2024 | 25:47.001 race | 24:50.001 race | -3.68% |
| Alex Young | 2024 | 18:12.001 race | 17:49.001 race | -2.11% |
| Talia Frieze | 2024 | 23:55.001 race | 23:29.001 race | -1.81% |
| Alex Kovtunenko | 2024 | 20:45.001 race | 20:24.001 race | -1.69% |
| Isaiah Kiamba | 2022 | 29:04.001 race | 28:36.001 race | -1.61% |
| Justin Jang | 2024 | 18:01.001 race | 17:44.001 race | -1.57% |
| Emme Salyer | 2024 | 21:34.001 race | 21:14.001 race | -1.55% |
| Alex Spindt | 2024 | 21:55.001 race | 21:36.001 race | -1.44% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2024 | 21:59.001 race | 21:51.001 race | -0.61% |
| Lukas Leibisch | 2024 | 20:22.001 race | 20:16.001 race | -0.49% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2024 | 25:21.001 race | 25:26.001 race | +0.33% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2024 | 16:36.001 race | 16:40.001 race | +0.40% |
| Pepper Taylor | 2024 | 25:45.001 race | 26:01.001 race | +1.04% |
| Isla Scott | 2024 | 22:01.001 race | 22:15.001 race | +1.06% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:00.001 race | 23:15.001 race | +1.09% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 20:14.001 race | +1.59% |
| Nathalie Frem | 2022 | 23:24.001 race | 23:48.001 race | +1.71% |
| Heng Leong | 2022 | 20:35.001 race | 21:05.001 race | +2.43% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 22:43.001 race | 23:18.001 race | +2.57% |
| Richard Federico | 2022 | 17:55.001 race | 18:28.001 race | +3.07% |
| Nicholas Contos | 2022 | 20:30.001 race | 21:09.001 race | +3.17% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 19:29.001 race | 20:08.001 race | +3.34% |
| Olivia Standish | 2024 | 22:08.001 race | 22:54.001 race | +3.46% |
| George Rand | 2022 | 16:44.001 race | 17:26.001 race | +4.18% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 18:28.001 race | 19:16.001 race | +4.33% |
| Sam Blank | 2022 | 19:32.001 race | 20:24.001 race | +4.44% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 16:52.001 race | 17:37.001 race | +4.45% |
| Anne Moser | 2022 | 21:22.001 race | 22:25.001 race | +4.91% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 19:38.001 race | 20:37.001 race | +5.01% |
| Frances Tucker | 2022 | 21:38.001 race | 22:45.001 race | +5.16% |
| Lulu Dematteo | 2022 | 23:57.001 race | 25:13.001 race | +5.29% |
| Eli Helzberg | 2022 | 20:09.001 race | 21:13.001 race | +5.29% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 18:26.001 race | 19:25.001 race | +5.33% |
| Liana Flood | 2022 | 22:59.001 race | 24:14.001 race | +5.44% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 17:27.001 race | 18:24.001 race | +5.44% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 21:12.001 race | 22:23.001 race | +5.58% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 17:49.001 race | 18:54.001 race | +6.08% |
| Taylor Hauff | 2024 | 22:27.001 race | 23:54.001 race | +6.46% |
| Elizabeth Lapides | 2022 | 23:25.001 race | 24:58.001 race | +6.62% |
| Luke Walsh | 2022 | 16:46.001 race | 17:56.001 race | +6.96% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 21:23.001 race | 23:11.001 race | +8.42% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 23:48.001 race | 25:54.001 race | +8.82% |
| Charlotte Deveikas | 2022 | 23:58.001 race | 26:35.001 race | +10.92% |
| Amelia Sousa | 2022 | 22:44.001 race | 29:22.001 race | +29.18% |