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Pairwise course analysis

Bouchard Park 5Kvs.Washington Park 5K Course

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Washington Park 5K Course runs slower

+0.57%

Roughly 6.8 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

56

Strong evidence

Median difference

+3.13%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+0.57%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+4.17%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Washington Park 5K Course fasterEvenWashington Park 5K Course slower

Confidence interval

+1.07% to +3.81%

Scale shown

-5% to +5%

Course context

The two courses

Baseline course

Bouchard Park 5K

5,000 meters

Compared course

Washington Park 5K Course

5,000 meters

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonBouchard Park 5KWashington Park 5K CourseDifference
CJ Briere202522:52.501 race18:43.001 race-18.18%
Anika Ata202426:09.001 race21:48.001 race-16.63%
Peter Duhamel202519:17.001 race18:40.001 race-3.20%
Henry Orraca-Cecil202418:48.001 race18:16.001 race-2.84%
Eleanor Lial202520:08.101 race19:50.001 race-1.50%
Percy Gao202520:44.701 race20:27.001 race-1.42%
Terry Qi202419:10.001 race19:00.001 race-0.87%
Martin Erath202418:50.001 race18:42.001 race-0.71%
Sebastien Aubourg202417:57.001 race17:52.001 race-0.46%
Vincent Gilbert202419:37.001 race19:33.001 race-0.34%
Aggie Dursi202519:55.101 race19:55.001 race-0.01%
Dylan Fu202419:22.001 race19:22.001 race0.00%
Grant Vensel202519:59.601 race20:07.001 race+0.62%
Jessica Wu202426:11.001 race26:22.001 race+0.70%
Theo Martin202423:01.001 race23:14.001 race+0.94%
Logan Hoffman202420:35.001 race20:51.001 race+1.30%
Sue Hayashi202424:51.001 race25:16.001 race+1.68%
Cole Miller202518:25.801 race18:46.001 race+1.83%
Jax Tran202422:52.001 race23:18.001 race+1.90%
Casey Coleman202419:34.001 race19:57.001 race+1.96%
Leighton Glass202420:34.001 race21:00.001 race+2.11%
Matt Palmer202417:58.001 race18:23.001 race+2.32%
Marvelous Ugwu202425:15.001 race25:54.001 race+2.57%
Owen Richer202518:03.401 race18:34.001 race+2.82%
Neo Wang202422:59.001 race23:38.001 race+2.83%
Alexei Liska202420:57.001 race21:33.001 race+2.86%
Somers Estwanik202521:07.101 race21:45.001 race+2.99%
Eva Zhao202429:08.001 race30:02.001 race+3.09%
Jerry Cao202420:30.001 race21:09.001 race+3.17%
Sunny Qian202420:27.001 race21:07.001 race+3.26%
Catherine Maloney202525:43.101 race26:34.001 race+3.30%
Pipsa Palatsi202421:50.001 race22:37.001 race+3.59%
Charlotte Friedmann202426:08.001 race27:13.001 race+4.15%
Neela Soni202526:18.801 race27:25.001 race+4.19%
Steve Ma202421:20.001 race22:14.001 race+4.22%
Quinn Mason202521:21.601 race22:16.001 race+4.24%
Robert Sou202420:00.001 race20:54.001 race+4.50%
Andy Chen202521:25.701 race22:25.001 race+4.61%
Katie Tantillo202421:42.001 race22:43.001 race+4.69%
Branford Chen202521:09.301 race22:11.001 race+4.86%
Maggie Cabot202421:39.001 race22:44.001 race+5.00%
Gillian Griffin202523:48.101 race25:00.001 race+5.03%
Claire Hackel202521:33.101 race22:41.001 race+5.25%
Anthony Billings202421:14.001 race22:22.001 race+5.34%
Lucy Walker202520:47.701 race21:55.001 race+5.39%
Julian Barber202421:04.001 race22:13.001 race+5.46%
Maia Soni202524:20.501 race25:42.001 race+5.58%
Stealla Curwin-Amfitheatrof202419:38.001 race20:47.001 race+5.86%
Max Liang202421:19.001 race22:36.001 race+6.02%
Cassidy Bruno202420:07.001 race21:20.001 race+6.05%
Angela Huffer202421:28.001 race22:48.001 race+6.21%
Allison Luo202422:21.001 race24:00.001 race+7.38%
Alex DeChiara202420:22.001 race22:05.001 race+8.43%
Ella Cuccia202522:51.401 race24:57.001 race+9.16%
Allan Lu202423:28.001 race25:46.001 race+9.80%
Brady Gomez202427:56.001 race31:18.001 race+12.05%