Pairwise course analysis
Brooks School 5Kvs.Canterbury School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Canterbury School 5K runs faster
-2.51%
Roughly 30.1 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
34
Developing evidence
Median difference
-1.10%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-2.51%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.99%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-3.14% to +0.15%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Brooks School 5K | Canterbury School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Destefano | 2022 | 29:33.001 race | 26:16.001 race | -11.11% |
| Philip Choi | 2022 | 22:39.002 races | 20:19.001 race | -10.30% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 22:23.001 race | 20:37.001 race | -7.89% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2022 | 32:57.001 race | 30:31.001 race | -7.38% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 24:56.001 race | 23:18.001 race | -6.55% |
| Armaun Dehpanah | 2022 | 23:17.004 races | 21:46.001 race | -6.51% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 21:38.001 race | 20:14.001 race | -6.47% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2022 | 26:38.001 race | 25:13.001 race | -5.32% |
| Kamran Bradley | 2022 | 23:13.003 races | 22:00.001 race | -5.24% |
| Eben Dooling | 2022 | 23:28.004 races | 22:32.001 race | -3.98% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 20:10.001 race | 19:25.001 race | -3.72% |
| Lorenzo Johnson | 2022 | 19:55.004 races | 19:15.001 race | -3.35% |
| Marina Joseph | 2022 | 28:21.001 race | 27:30.001 race | -3.00% |
| Quinn Mullaney | 2022 | 25:53.003 races | 25:15.001 race | -2.45% |
| Anya Carroll | 2022 | 26:38.001 race | 26:02.001 race | -2.25% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 20:24.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -1.31% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 19:07.001 race | 18:54.001 race | -1.13% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 23:26.001 race | 23:11.001 race | -1.07% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 22:34.001 race | 22:23.001 race | -0.81% |
| Adyson Duval | 2022 | 25:25.004 races | 25:16.001 race | -0.59% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:23.001 race | 23:15.001 race | -0.57% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 19:13.001 race | 19:16.001 race | +0.26% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 17:31.001 race | 17:37.001 race | +0.57% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2022 | 26:00.004 races | 26:09.001 race | +0.58% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 25:40.001 race | 25:54.001 race | +0.91% |
| Brandon Spector-Townsend | 2022 | 20:09.004 races | 20:33.001 race | +1.99% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 18:02.001 race | 18:24.001 race | +2.03% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2022 | 22:54.004 races | 23:27.001 race | +2.40% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2022 | 19:28.003 races | 20:01.001 race | +2.83% |
| Mairin Anderson | 2022 | 25:50.001 race | 26:42.001 race | +3.35% |
| Joel Effah-Boadi | 2022 | 26:53.001 race | 28:01.001 race | +4.22% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2022 | 20:27.003 races | 21:37.001 race | +5.70% |
| Eliza Barker | 2022 | 25:27.004 races | 27:26.001 race | +7.79% |
| David Jiang | 2022 | 24:12.003 races | 26:54.001 race | +11.16% |