Pairwise course analysis
Brooks School 5Kvs.Nobles NEPSTA Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Nobles NEPSTA Course runs faster
-3.40%
Roughly 40.8 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
23
Developing evidence
Median difference
-5.10%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-3.40%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+3.00%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-6.91% to -4.40%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Brooks School 5K | Nobles NEPSTA Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Tucker | 2019 | 27:51.001 race | 24:20.001 race | -12.63% |
| Kylie Bogar | 2019 | 29:00.001 race | 25:39.001 race | -11.55% |
| Grace Stanton | 2019 | 28:17.001 race | 25:20.001 race | -10.43% |
| Katie Wipf | 2019 | 22:50.001 race | 20:41.001 race | -9.42% |
| Hadley Stanton | 2019 | 25:19.001 race | 23:23.001 race | -7.64% |
| Virginia Thompson | 2019 | 26:27.001 race | 24:46.001 race | -6.36% |
| Garner Thompson | 2019 | 19:33.001 race | 18:20.001 race | -6.22% |
| Meghan Webb | 2019 | 23:04.001 race | 21:40.001 race | -6.07% |
| Maddie Stearns | 2019 | 23:12.001 race | 21:49.001 race | -5.96% |
| Cameron Walker | 2019 | 26:34.001 race | 25:02.001 race | -5.77% |
| Alena Mulhern | 2019 | 25:13.001 race | 23:52.001 race | -5.35% |
| Gabby Guerrero | 2019 | 19:56.001 race | 18:55.001 race | -5.10% |
| Meg Dugan | 2019 | 20:45.001 race | 19:43.001 race | -4.98% |
| Sophia Hansen | 2019 | 21:46.001 race | 20:42.001 race | -4.90% |
| Ally Gilbert | 2019 | 27:17.001 race | 26:05.001 race | -4.40% |
| Lilly Bradley | 2019 | 20:06.001 race | 19:18.001 race | -3.98% |
| Tommy Gaffey | 2019 | 17:13.001 race | 16:35.001 race | -3.68% |
| Ryan Chiari | 2019 | 19:44.001 race | 19:05.001 race | -3.29% |
| Eloise Daniello | 2019 | 21:35.001 race | 20:54.001 race | -3.17% |
| Grant Coldren | 2019 | 19:52.001 race | 19:16.001 race | -3.02% |
| Aidan Humphreys | 2019 | 19:54.001 race | 19:21.001 race | -2.76% |
| Gigi Gillard | 2019 | 28:15.001 race | 27:40.001 race | -2.06% |
| Caitlin Fitzgerald | 2019 | 21:29.001 race | 21:23.001 race | -0.47% |