Pairwise course analysis
Canterbury School 5Kvs.Brooks School 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Brooks School 5K runs slower
+2.57%
Roughly 30.9 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
34
Developing evidence
Median difference
+1.11%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+2.57%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.99%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-0.15% to +3.24%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Canterbury School 5K | Brooks School 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Jiang | 2022 | 26:54.001 race | 24:12.003 races | -10.04% |
| Eliza Barker | 2022 | 27:26.001 race | 25:27.004 races | -7.23% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2022 | 21:37.001 race | 20:27.003 races | -5.40% |
| Joel Effah-Boadi | 2022 | 28:01.001 race | 26:53.001 race | -4.05% |
| Mairin Anderson | 2022 | 26:42.001 race | 25:50.001 race | -3.25% |
| Zebediah Stewart | 2022 | 20:01.001 race | 19:28.003 races | -2.75% |
| Zoe Wilmerding | 2022 | 23:27.001 race | 22:54.004 races | -2.35% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2022 | 18:24.001 race | 18:02.001 race | -1.99% |
| Brandon Spector-Townsend | 2022 | 20:33.001 race | 20:09.004 races | -1.95% |
| Reagan Whitaker | 2022 | 25:54.001 race | 25:40.001 race | -0.90% |
| Lauren Puglia | 2022 | 26:09.001 race | 26:00.004 races | -0.57% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2022 | 17:37.001 race | 17:31.001 race | -0.57% |
| Justin Jang | 2022 | 19:16.001 race | 19:13.001 race | -0.26% |
| Michael Wu | 2022 | 23:15.001 race | 23:23.001 race | +0.57% |
| Adyson Duval | 2022 | 25:16.001 race | 25:25.004 races | +0.59% |
| Maggie Crowley | 2022 | 22:23.001 race | 22:34.001 race | +0.82% |
| Ava Palazzolo | 2022 | 23:11.001 race | 23:26.001 race | +1.08% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2022 | 18:54.001 race | 19:07.001 race | +1.15% |
| Andrew Young | 2022 | 20:08.001 race | 20:24.001 race | +1.32% |
| Anya Carroll | 2022 | 26:02.001 race | 26:38.001 race | +2.30% |
| Quinn Mullaney | 2022 | 25:15.001 race | 25:53.003 races | +2.51% |
| Marina Joseph | 2022 | 27:30.001 race | 28:21.001 race | +3.09% |
| Lorenzo Johnson | 2022 | 19:15.001 race | 19:55.004 races | +3.46% |
| Alex Young | 2022 | 19:25.001 race | 20:10.001 race | +3.86% |
| Eben Dooling | 2022 | 22:32.001 race | 23:28.004 races | +4.14% |
| Kamran Bradley | 2022 | 22:00.001 race | 23:13.003 races | +5.53% |
| Juliana Lynch | 2022 | 25:13.001 race | 26:38.001 race | +5.62% |
| Andrew Correia | 2022 | 20:14.001 race | 21:38.001 race | +6.92% |
| Armaun Dehpanah | 2022 | 21:46.001 race | 23:17.004 races | +6.97% |
| Angelina Hammerschlag | 2022 | 23:18.001 race | 24:56.001 race | +7.01% |
| Taylor Ehler | 2022 | 30:31.001 race | 32:57.001 race | +7.97% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2022 | 20:37.001 race | 22:23.001 race | +8.57% |
| Philip Choi | 2022 | 20:19.001 race | 22:39.002 races | +11.48% |
| Camille Destefano | 2022 | 26:16.001 race | 29:33.001 race | +12.50% |