Pairwise course analysis
Canterbury School 5Kvs.LA 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
LA 5K Course runs slower
+3.31%
Roughly 39.7 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
41
Strong evidence
Median difference
+5.62%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+3.31%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+5.91%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+3.08% to +6.14%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Canterbury School 5K | LA 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amelia Sousa | 2022 | 29:22.001 race | 26:32.001 race | -9.65% |
| Leo Gu | 2022 | 24:14.001 race | 22:18.001 race | -7.98% |
| Grant Vensel | 2022 | 21:49.001 race | 21:15.001 race | -2.60% |
| Luke Walsh | 2022 | 17:56.001 race | 17:44.001 race | -1.12% |
| Matthew Smith | 2022 | 22:02.001 race | 21:56.002 races | -0.45% |
| James McCarron III | 2022 | 17:04.001 race | 17:02.001 race | -0.20% |
| Kinh Kieu | 2022 | 29:19.001 race | 29:21.002 races | +0.11% |
| Charlotte Lokere | 2022 | 26:20.001 race | 26:27.003 races | +0.44% |
| Myles McCusker | 2022 | 22:04.001 race | 22:17.002 races | +0.98% |
| Lila Jette | 2022 | 23:05.001 race | 23:32.001 race | +1.95% |
| Richard Federico | 2022 | 18:28.001 race | 18:52.001 race | +2.17% |
| Anthony Coston | 2022 | 22:59.001 race | 23:31.001 race | +2.32% |
| George Rand | 2022 | 17:26.001 race | 17:51.001 race | +2.39% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 20:34.001 race | +3.26% |
| Lucas Miller | 2022 | 19:35.001 race | 20:18.002 races | +3.66% |
| Lilley Fiedler | 2022 | 29:14.001 race | 30:25.001 race | +4.05% |
| Ryan Growney | 2022 | 19:47.001 race | 20:42.001 race | +4.63% |
| Lauren Phillips | 2022 | 24:58.001 race | 26:11.001 race | +4.87% |
| Nicholas Contos | 2022 | 21:09.001 race | 22:12.001 race | +4.96% |
| Lulu Dematteo | 2022 | 25:13.001 race | 26:32.001 race | +5.22% |
| Riley Eyman | 2022 | 22:32.001 race | 23:48.001 race | +5.62% |
| Kate Pickford | 2022 | 21:30.001 race | 22:43.001 race | +5.66% |
| Amber Banks | 2022 | 23:50.001 race | 25:11.002 races | +5.66% |
| Jasmine Kennedy | 2022 | 21:27.001 race | 22:43.001 race | +5.91% |
| Bennett Walker | 2022 | 23:26.001 race | 24:52.001 race | +6.12% |
| Clara Williams | 2022 | 27:27.001 race | 29:11.001 race | +6.31% |
| Parker Lial | 2022 | 23:18.001 race | 24:49.001 race | +6.51% |
| Pierce McCormac | 2022 | 19:29.001 race | 20:48.001 race | +6.76% |
| Mae Lial | 2022 | 23:55.001 race | 25:35.001 race | +6.97% |
| Katherine Clovis | 2022 | 24:43.001 race | 26:36.001 race | +7.62% |
| Winston Yeung | 2022 | 25:35.001 race | 27:41.001 race | +8.21% |
| Alexander Kirby | 2022 | 20:19.001 race | 22:00.002 races | +8.29% |
| Charlotte Deveikas | 2022 | 26:35.001 race | 28:55.001 race | +8.78% |
| Joshua White | 2022 | 25:55.001 race | 28:17.001 race | +9.13% |
| Isaiah Kiamba | 2022 | 28:36.001 race | 31:21.001 race | +9.62% |
| Alexander Colangelo | 2022 | 17:41.001 race | 19:25.001 race | +9.80% |
| Brianna Boucher | 2022 | 21:56.001 race | 24:17.001 race | +10.71% |
| Anne Moser | 2022 | 22:25.001 race | 24:56.001 race | +11.23% |
| Nathalie Frem | 2022 | 23:48.001 race | 26:32.001 race | +11.48% |
| Austin Boardo | 2022 | 23:41.001 race | 26:28.001 race | +11.75% |
| Jaiden Zhu | 2022 | 23:42.001 race | 26:35.001 race | +12.17% |