Pairwise course analysis
Canterbury School 5Kvs.Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K runs slower
+1.54%
Roughly 18.5 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
9
Limited evidence
Median difference
-2.09%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+1.54%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+8.74%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-5.43% to +2.92%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Canterbury School 5K | Rock Meadow Short Loop 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Gu | 2022 | 24:14.001 race | 21:37.001 race | -10.80% |
| Grant Vensel | 2022 | 21:49.001 race | 20:20.001 race | -6.80% |
| James McCarron III | 2022 | 17:04.001 race | 16:21.001 race | -4.20% |
| Ryan Growney | 2022 | 19:47.001 race | 18:58.001 race | -4.13% |
| Jonathan Cajamarca | 2022 | 19:55.001 race | 19:30.001 race | -2.09% |
| Riley Eyman | 2022 | 22:32.001 race | 22:16.001 race | -1.18% |
| Winston Yeung | 2022 | 25:35.001 race | 26:39.001 race | +4.17% |
| Austin Boardo | 2022 | 23:41.001 race | 24:44.001 race | +4.43% |
| Henry Liu | 2022 | 32:38.001 race | 35:57.001 race | +10.16% |