Pairwise course analysis
Governor's 5K Coursevs.Bouchard Park 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Bouchard Park 5K runs faster
-4.33%
Roughly 51.9 seconds faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
87
Strong evidence
Median difference
-5.07%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-4.33%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.48%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Bouchard Park 5K fasterEvenBouchard Park 5K slower
Confidence interval
-6.51% to -5.16%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Governor's 5K Course | Bouchard Park 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Gary | 2019 | 28:06.001 race | 23:31.201 race | -16.30% |
| Andrew Young | 2019 | 29:28.001 race | 24:54.801 race | -15.45% |
| Tyler Cornetta | 2019 | 24:29.001 race | 21:05.501 race | -13.85% |
| Isla Scott | 2025 | 24:59.001 race | 21:59.101 race | -12.00% |
| Walt Reagan-Loomis | 2019 | 24:04.001 race | 21:15.801 race | -11.65% |
| Addy Vettel | 2019 | 21:29.001 race | 19:11.701 race | -10.65% |
| Alex Young | 2021 | 22:00.002 races | 19:41.501 race | -10.49% |
| Calvin Smith | 2019 | 20:02.001 race | 18:00.701 race | -10.09% |
| Sawyer Helzberg | 2019 | 23:01.001 race | 20:44.501 race | -9.88% |
| Max Meyerhardt | 2019 | 20:43.001 race | 18:45.701 race | -9.44% |
| Eli Helzberg | 2019 | 23:04.001 race | 20:54.901 race | -9.33% |
| Michael Wu | 2019 | 24:49.001 race | 22:30.401 race | -9.31% |
| Grant Reagan-Loomis | 2019 | 22:45.001 race | 20:39.201 race | -9.22% |
| Anna Clark | 2025 | 25:14.001 race | 22:55.001 race | -9.18% |
| Andy Chefetz | 2019 | 27:01.001 race | 24:33.101 race | -9.12% |
| Andrew Correia | 2019 | 23:09.001 race | 21:06.501 race | -8.82% |
| Talia Frieze | 2025 | 28:30.001 race | 26:01.701 race | -8.67% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2025 | 27:06.001 race | 24:46.101 race | -8.60% |
| Joshua Rocha | 2019 | 21:54.001 race | 20:09.601 race | -7.95% |
| Noah Naddaff-Slocum | 2019 | 21:17.001 race | 19:40.601 race | -7.55% |
| Adam Ewing | 2019 | 22:30.001 race | 20:48.601 race | -7.51% |
| Caleb Gartner | 2019 | 17:52.001 race | 16:31.601 race | -7.50% |
| Maya Kapasi | 2025 | 27:54.001 race | 25:48.901 race | -7.47% |
| Oliver Carswell | 2019 | 23:09.001 race | 21:25.201 race | -7.47% |
| Myda Gilani | 2025 | 28:38.001 race | 26:30.801 race | -7.40% |
| Wes Shaller | 2025 | 22:20.001 race | 20:43.701 race | -7.19% |
| Ty Wilschut | 2019 | 26:45.001 race | 24:52.001 race | -7.04% |
| Cam Dailey | 2019 | 22:43.001 race | 21:11.201 race | -6.74% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 20:12.001 race | 18:50.701 race | -6.71% |
| Xander Starobin | 2019 | 26:37.001 race | 24:53.101 race | -6.51% |
| Natalie Kloman | 2021 | 31:43.001 race | 29:39.501 race | -6.49% |
| Cooper Austen | 2019 | 17:52.001 race | 16:42.801 race | -6.46% |
| Grace Hu | 2019 | 22:29.001 race | 21:04.301 race | -6.28% |
| Cole Zaleski | 2019 | 21:41.001 race | 20:20.101 race | -6.22% |
| Julian Dai | 2019 | 24:36.001 race | 23:11.201 race | -5.75% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2019 | 20:55.001 race | 19:43.501 race | -5.70% |
| Zan Danoff | 2019 | 19:39.001 race | 18:35.801 race | -5.36% |
| Samuel Lyons | 2019 | 20:51.001 race | 19:44.101 race | -5.35% |
| Henry Horvath | 2019 | 21:37.001 race | 20:27.901 race | -5.33% |
| Leah Jin | 2021 | 27:03.001 race | 25:37.101 race | -5.29% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 18:45.001 race | 17:45.701 race | -5.27% |
| Annabelle Rogers | 2019 | 22:33.001 race | 21:21.901 race | -5.25% |
| Mark Ryan | 2019 | 18:01.001 race | 17:05.001 race | -5.18% |
| Stone Shen | 2019 | 20:48.001 race | 19:44.701 race | -5.07% |
| Ben Luo | 2019 | 22:55.001 race | 21:45.401 race | -5.06% |
| Michael Cheng | 2019 | 23:00.001 race | 21:50.601 race | -5.03% |
| Josie Silk | 2019 | 23:10.001 race | 22:00.501 race | -5.00% |
| Eli Helzberg | 2021 | 22:45.001 race | 21:38.201 race | -4.89% |
| Ethan Chang | 2019 | 26:23.001 race | 25:06.601 race | -4.83% |
| Justine Lam | 2019 | 28:57.001 race | 27:34.301 race | -4.76% |
| Mia Peng | 2019 | 28:51.001 race | 27:29.401 race | -4.71% |
| Maya Sidhu | 2019 | 25:10.001 race | 23:59.601 race | -4.66% |
| Richard (Ricky) Li | 2019 | 22:56.001 race | 21:52.801 race | -4.59% |
| Walt Reagan-Loomis | 2021 | 21:05.001 race | 20:08.501 race | -4.47% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 18:49.001 race | 18:00.201 race | -4.32% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 22:07.001 race | 21:09.701 race | -4.32% |
| Vedant Deokar | 2019 | 22:23.001 race | 21:27.501 race | -4.13% |
| Alex Kovtenenko | 2025 | 20:05.001 race | 19:15.401 race | -4.12% |
| Raymond Li | 2019 | 23:11.001 race | 22:14.101 race | -4.09% |
| Angelina Ha | 2025 | 22:01.001 race | 21:07.301 race | -4.07% |
| Justin Jang | 2021 | 20:58.001 race | 20:08.001 race | -3.97% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 16:36.001 race | 15:56.601 race | -3.96% |
| Elizabeth Gatto | 2019 | 26:59.001 race | 25:58.301 race | -3.75% |
| Matt Wing | 2019 | 18:28.001 race | 17:49.201 race | -3.50% |
| Grace Luettgen | 2019 | 25:33.001 race | 24:40.401 race | -3.43% |
| Alene Fernandes | 2019 | 22:26.001 race | 21:42.201 race | -3.25% |
| Gabby Walsh | 2019 | 21:31.001 race | 20:49.001 race | -3.25% |
| Amanda Gary | 2021 | 24:06.001 race | 23:20.401 race | -3.15% |
| Griffin Jones | 2021 | 19:21.001 race | 18:45.401 race | -3.07% |
| Caleb Krueger | 2019 | 19:19.001 race | 18:43.801 race | -3.04% |
| Peter Favero | 2019 | 19:17.001 race | 18:43.201 race | -2.92% |
| Jillian Robertson | 2019 | 22:35.001 race | 21:59.601 race | -2.61% |
| Ruby Massengale | 2019 | 29:00.001 race | 28:14.601 race | -2.61% |
| Phoebe Lu | 2019 | 26:33.001 race | 25:52.301 race | -2.55% |
| Connor Cross | 2019 | 18:38.001 race | 18:10.001 race | -2.50% |
| Maanasi Chintamani | 2019 | 26:34.001 race | 25:54.301 race | -2.49% |
| Mac Hadden | 2019 | 17:58.001 race | 17:31.601 race | -2.45% |
| Rosie Qin | 2019 | 26:42.001 race | 26:04.801 race | -2.32% |
| Meena Menon | 2019 | 22:29.001 race | 21:58.101 race | -2.29% |
| Megan Ding | 2019 | 25:22.001 race | 24:47.201 race | -2.29% |
| Amelia Stevens | 2019 | 24:50.001 race | 24:16.001 race | -2.28% |
| Mariam Craig | 2019 | 23:24.001 race | 22:52.101 race | -2.27% |
| Shreya Jain | 2019 | 29:03.001 race | 28:25.901 race | -2.13% |
| Henry Buckley-Jones | 2021 | 18:13.001 race | 17:54.801 race | -1.67% |
| Andrew Correia | 2021 | 19:53.001 race | 19:34.901 race | -1.52% |
| Tim Cassidy | 2019 | 24:54.001 race | 24:31.501 race | -1.51% |
| Oliver Carswell | 2021 | 21:05.001 race | 20:47.201 race | -1.41% |