Pairwise course analysis
Governor's 5K Coursevs.LA 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
LA 5K Course runs slower
+0.46%
Roughly 5.5 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
109
Deep evidence
Median difference
-0.07%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+0.46%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+6.77%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
LA 5K Course fasterEvenLA 5K Course slower
Confidence interval
-0.98% to +1.32%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Governor's 5K Course | LA 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Jin | 2019 | 29:42.001 race | 26:21.001 race | -11.28% |
| Daniel Reyes | 2019 | 28:52.001 race | 25:42.001 race | -10.97% |
| Vanessa Shipley | 2019 | 26:46.001 race | 24:06.001 race | -9.96% |
| Gavin Shan | 2019 | 24:16.001 race | 22:00.002 races | -9.34% |
| Isla Scott | 2025 | 24:59.001 race | 22:43.001 race | -9.07% |
| James Lyman | 2019 | 23:35.001 race | 21:46.001 race | -7.70% |
| Katelyn Pereira | 2022 | 25:25.003 races | 23:28.001 race | -7.67% |
| Grace Maloney | 2022 | 27:15.003 races | 25:15.001 race | -7.34% |
| Anna Clark | 2025 | 25:14.001 race | 23:24.001 race | -7.27% |
| Sam Kim | 2019 | 28:48.001 race | 26:44.001 race | -7.18% |
| Bobby Liu | 2022 | 30:55.002 races | 28:52.001 race | -6.63% |
| Cora Knoell | 2022 | 24:55.003 races | 23:17.001 race | -6.56% |
| Eleanor Mayer | 2019 | 29:27.001 race | 27:34.001 race | -6.40% |
| Bear Brooks | 2022 | 18:25.003 races | 17:15.001 race | -6.33% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2025 | 27:06.001 race | 25:26.001 race | -6.15% |
| Alex Tobias | 2019 | 20:03.001 race | 18:50.001 race | -6.07% |
| Bruin Brayshaw | 2022 | 24:47.003 races | 23:18.001 race | -5.99% |
| Samuel Hinman | 2019 | 20:09.001 race | 18:58.001 race | -5.87% |
| Peter Abenante | 2022 | 22:11.003 races | 20:54.001 race | -5.79% |
| Theodore (Theo) Andersen | 2022 | 31:18.003 races | 29:31.001 race | -5.70% |
| Dylan Uttam | 2022 | 22:43.003 races | 21:34.001 race | -5.06% |
| Henry Gennari | 2019 | 23:59.001 race | 22:54.001 race | -4.52% |
| Talia Frieze | 2025 | 28:30.001 race | 27:17.001 race | -4.27% |
| Aditya Shrivastava | 2022 | 24:18.002 races | 23:19.001 race | -4.05% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 20:12.001 race | 19:23.001 race | -4.04% |
| Sina Graf | 2019 | 29:37.001 race | 28:32.001 race | -3.66% |
| Molly Madigan | 2019 | 25:13.001 race | 24:18.001 race | -3.64% |
| Tori Duckworth | 2019 | 25:33.001 race | 24:40.001 race | -3.46% |
| Sebastian Sepulveda | 2019 | 23:15.001 race | 22:28.002 races | -3.37% |
| Myda Gilani | 2025 | 28:38.001 race | 27:42.001 race | -3.26% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 18:45.001 race | 18:11.001 race | -3.02% |
| Gardner Brown | 2019 | 23:36.001 race | 22:56.001 race | -2.82% |
| Alex Kovtenenko | 2025 | 20:05.001 race | 19:31.001 race | -2.82% |
| Amelia Barlow | 2022 | 23:57.003 races | 23:18.001 race | -2.71% |
| Sophia Matherly | 2022 | 26:20.003 races | 25:39.001 race | -2.59% |
| Jack Carolan | 2019 | 29:05.001 race | 28:21.002 races | -2.52% |
| Matthew Choumenkovitch | 2019 | 24:49.001 race | 24:16.001 race | -2.22% |
| Amina Cifric | 2022 | 25:19.003 races | 24:46.001 race | -2.17% |
| Chris Davis | 2019 | 19:15.001 race | 18:51.002 races | -2.08% |
| Kiet Nguyen | 2019 | 25:14.001 race | 24:48.002 races | -1.72% |
| Arjun Girish | 2019 | 21:23.001 race | 21:03.002 races | -1.56% |
| William Hansen | 2019 | 21:38.001 race | 21:20.001 race | -1.39% |
| Enock Musyoka | 2019 | 17:22.001 race | 17:08.002 races | -1.34% |
| Maya Kapasi | 2025 | 27:54.001 race | 27:32.001 race | -1.31% |
| Thomas Flatley | 2019 | 18:45.001 race | 18:31.001 race | -1.24% |
| Minho Eune | 2019 | 22:37.001 race | 22:21.001 race | -1.18% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 22:07.001 race | 21:53.001 race | -1.06% |
| Oliver Kim | 2019 | 29:07.001 race | 28:49.001 race | -1.03% |
| Crystal Xia | 2019 | 29:34.001 race | 29:19.402 races | -0.82% |
| Willow Dixon | 2022 | 25:31.003 races | 25:22.001 race | -0.59% |
| Nashr El Auliya | 2019 | 21:50.001 race | 21:43.001 race | -0.53% |
| Adrian Chen | 2022 | 27:26.003 races | 27:19.001 race | -0.43% |
| Brian Zheng | 2022 | 21:33.003 races | 21:29.001 race | -0.31% |
| Daichi Seki | 2019 | 21:07.001 race | 21:04.002 races | -0.24% |
| Arhant Ghanta | 2019 | 24:07.001 race | 24:06.002 races | -0.07% |
| Sophia Mikelinich | 2022 | 22:01.003 races | 22:02.001 race | +0.08% |
| Mei-Ling Bielagus | 2022 | 20:59.003 races | 21:02.001 race | +0.24% |
| Lila Graves | 2022 | 29:25.003 races | 29:32.001 race | +0.40% |
| Mason Peng | 2022 | 24:27.002 races | 24:33.001 race | +0.41% |
| Ethan Paek | 2019 | 19:25.001 race | 19:30.002 races | +0.43% |
| Angelina Ha | 2025 | 22:01.001 race | 22:07.001 race | +0.45% |
| Evan Salhanick | 2019 | 21:38.001 race | 21:44.001 race | +0.46% |
| Michael Bobo | 2021 | 21:22.001 race | 21:28.001 race | +0.47% |
| Nicholas Reimer | 2022 | 21:03.003 races | 21:11.001 race | +0.63% |
| Patrick McDonald | 2019 | 18:16.001 race | 18:23.001 race | +0.64% |
| Edo Spadaccini | 2019 | 25:59.001 race | 26:11.001 race | +0.77% |
| Sophia Lando | 2019 | 25:21.001 race | 25:34.001 race | +0.85% |
| Kevin Yao | 2022 | 20:58.002 races | 21:09.001 race | +0.87% |
| Carver Porter | 2021 | 21:40.001 race | 21:56.001 race | +1.23% |
| Jeremy Eaton | 2021 | 21:20.001 race | 21:36.001 race | +1.25% |
| Alessandro Barbiellini | 2019 | 22:57.001 race | 23:15.001 race | +1.31% |
| Matthew Mariani | 2022 | 20:48.003 races | 21:06.001 race | +1.44% |
| Paris Liston | 2021 | 20:39.001 race | 20:57.001 race | +1.45% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 18:49.001 race | 19:08.001 race | +1.68% |
| Brandon Christ | 2019 | 19:24.001 race | 19:44.002 races | +1.72% |
| Reuben Siegel | 2021 | 23:37.001 race | 24:07.001 race | +2.12% |
| Duncan Kilbride | 2021 | 20:38.001 race | 21:09.001 race | +2.50% |
| Patrick Riley | 2019 | 24:18.001 race | 24:57.002 races | +2.67% |
| Joe Zhao | 2019 | 24:59.001 race | 25:40.001 race | +2.74% |
| Benzo Zhou | 2022 | 21:31.003 races | 22:07.001 race | +2.79% |
| Nathan Pappas | 2021 | 22:29.001 race | 23:09.001 race | +2.97% |
| Jess Fatzinger | 2019 | 27:04.001 race | 27:54.002 races | +3.08% |
| Josh Taylor | 2022 | 23:05.001 race | 23:52.001 race | +3.39% |
| Jason Zhu | 2022 | 25:22.002 races | 26:16.001 race | +3.55% |
| Wes Shaller | 2025 | 22:20.001 race | 23:10.001 race | +3.73% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2021 | 19:37.001 race | 20:21.001 race | +3.74% |
| Kendra Snell | 2025 | 21:15.001 race | 22:03.001 race | +3.76% |
| Arec Keomurjian | 2021 | 19:28.001 race | 20:15.001 race | +4.02% |
| Aaron Stanger | 2021 | 19:09.001 race | 19:59.001 race | +4.35% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2021 | 22:00.001 race | 23:01.001 race | +4.62% |
| Forrest Feist | 2019 | 30:13.001 race | 31:37.002 races | +4.63% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2021 | 20:00.001 race | 21:03.001 race | +5.25% |
| Aidan Berger | 2021 | 20:00.001 race | 21:09.002 races | +5.75% |
| Tegan Young | 2019 | 26:04.001 race | 27:35.002 races | +5.82% |
| Thomas Romney | 2021 | 19:07.001 race | 20:16.001 race | +6.02% |
| James Donahue | 2021 | 15:54.001 race | 16:53.001 race | +6.18% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 16:36.001 race | 17:41.001 race | +6.53% |
| William Trautz | 2021 | 18:14.001 race | 19:30.001 race | +6.95% |
| Skylar Bedard | 2022 | 21:43.003 races | 23:17.001 race | +7.21% |
| Braeden Moitoso | 2021 | 20:09.001 race | 21:38.002 races | +7.36% |
| Matthew Smith | 2021 | 20:35.001 race | 22:20.002 races | +8.50% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2021 | 17:57.001 race | 19:29.001 race | +8.54% |
| Kinh Kieu | 2021 | 34:10.001 race | 38:29.001 race | +12.63% |
| Brandon Christ | 2021 | 18:37.001 race | 21:01.002 races | +12.89% |
| Matt Simon | 2021 | 21:32.001 race | 24:37.001 race | +14.32% |
| Anthony Coston | 2021 | 24:45.001 race | 28:36.001 race | +15.56% |
| Alexander Kirby | 2021 | 21:21.001 race | 25:04.001 race | +17.41% |
| Owen Wang | 2019 | 21:42.001 race | 25:45.001 race | +18.66% |
| Joshua White | 2021 | 22:51.001 race | 29:18.002 races | +28.23% |