Pairwise course analysis

Highland Park Championship Coursevs.Brooks School 5K

Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.

Model verdict

Brooks School 5K runs slower

+5.47%

Roughly 1:06 slower for a 20:00 runner

Paired observations

30

Developing evidence

Median difference

+5.36%

Middle runner-season comparison

Overall estimate

+5.47%

Network-adjusted course estimate

Middle 50% range

+3.90%

Observed variation (IQR)

Direction and magnitude

Relative course speed

Brooks School 5K fasterEvenBrooks School 5K slower

Confidence interval

+4.23% to +8.34%

Scale shown

-10% to +10%

Underlying runner comparisons

Same-season evidence

Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.

RunnerSeasonHighland Park Championship CourseBrooks School 5KDifference
Jack Li202528:16.041 race26:45.061 race-5.36%
Rohan Ghatge202522:24.041 race22:31.101 race+0.53%
Patrick Fennell202521:22.011 race21:30.461 race+0.66%
Jack Halloran202518:04.621 race18:18.271 race+1.26%
Phoebe Cogan202522:29.211 race23:08.002 races+2.88%
James Carroll202521:50.781 race22:31.812 races+3.13%
Jack Torrisi202523:11.701 race23:56.192 races+3.20%
Kevin Xie202528:27.801 race29:30.122 races+3.65%
Samson Oblak202522:27.531 race23:17.042 races+3.67%
Brin Ferrone202525:42.681 race26:43.332 races+3.93%
Joseph Koh202518:39.101 race19:28.081 race+4.38%
Lorenzo Johnson202520:28.331 race21:25.672 races+4.67%
Sam Benson202520:45.451 race21:44.812 races+4.77%
Sebastian Culleton202518:03.601 race19:00.491 race+5.25%
John Joyce202516:32.061 race17:24.171 race+5.25%
Cormac Anderson202521:07.771 race22:17.131 race+5.47%
Bobby Ferguson202521:56.271 race23:09.991 race+5.60%
Pilar Bell202526:13.391 race27:43.002 races+5.70%
Gianna Carroll202525:24.371 race27:01.001 race+6.34%
Morgan Pfeil202522:48.721 race24:25.002 races+7.03%
Nate Bloomenthal202519:06.861 race20:28.361 race+7.11%
Richie Joyce202522:09.011 race23:45.781 race+7.28%
Joseph Ryan202522:27.011 race24:12.591 race+7.84%
Henry Bowman202520:26.231 race22:08.121 race+8.31%
Ryan Connolly202520:23.871 race22:07.191 race+8.44%
Andy Li202526:30.181 race28:46.802 races+8.59%
Luke Ferrone202524:30.351 race26:39.892 races+8.81%
Kaden Almaraz202522:18.361 race26:34.612 races+19.15%
Bella Choi202528:05.621 race33:32.002 races+19.36%
Henry Zhu202527:19.971 race34:21.492 races+25.70%