Pairwise course analysis
Highland Park Championship Coursevs.LA 5K Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
LA 5K Course runs slower
+6.22%
Roughly 1:15 slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
34
Developing evidence
Median difference
+1.19%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+6.22%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.60%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
+0.35% to +3.42%
Scale shown
-8% to +8%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Highland Park Championship Course | LA 5K Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Yerid | 2025 | 25:57.351 race | 23:17.001 race | -10.30% |
| Emmett Kellogg | 2025 | 27:28.451 race | 26:03.001 race | -5.18% |
| Eloise Finley | 2025 | 25:44.461 race | 24:53.001 race | -3.33% |
| Myles McCusker | 2025 | 21:01.611 race | 20:41.001 race | -1.63% |
| Cameron Regonini | 2025 | 22:03.211 race | 21:52.001 race | -0.85% |
| Lucas Miller | 2025 | 19:00.161 race | 18:52.001 race | -0.72% |
| Keira Amick | 2025 | 26:11.491 race | 26:02.001 race | -0.60% |
| Anya Shah | 2025 | 25:44.331 race | 25:37.001 race | -0.47% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2025 | 25:31.991 race | 25:26.001 race | -0.39% |
| Isla Scott | 2025 | 22:44.151 race | 22:43.001 race | -0.08% |
| Anna Clark | 2025 | 23:24.441 race | 23:24.001 race | -0.03% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 19:23.181 race | 19:23.001 race | -0.02% |
| Quincy Treisman | 2025 | 23:58.211 race | 24:02.001 race | +0.26% |
| Alana Brownstein | 2025 | 25:29.951 race | 25:34.001 race | +0.26% |
| Nicole Fallon | 2025 | 22:43.021 race | 22:49.001 race | +0.44% |
| Sanjay Ravindran | 2025 | 21:57.861 race | 22:06.001 race | +0.62% |
| Angelina Ha | 2025 | 21:55.281 race | 22:07.001 race | +0.89% |
| Maya Kapasi | 2025 | 27:07.661 race | 27:32.001 race | +1.50% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 17:51.201 race | 18:11.001 race | +1.85% |
| Olivia Standish | 2025 | 22:47.051 race | 23:15.001 race | +2.04% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 21:23.071 race | 21:53.001 race | +2.33% |
| Kate Tarr | 2025 | 20:44.171 race | 21:16.001 race | +2.56% |
| Violet Safari | 2025 | 23:11.991 race | 23:56.001 race | +3.16% |
| Myda Gilani | 2025 | 26:47.881 race | 27:42.001 race | +3.37% |
| Charles Broderick | 2025 | 20:52.731 race | 21:45.001 race | +4.17% |
| Caleb Stokes | 2025 | 22:28.921 race | 23:27.001 race | +4.31% |
| Talia Frieze | 2025 | 25:59.491 race | 27:17.001 race | +4.97% |
| Kendra Snell | 2025 | 20:58.861 race | 22:03.001 race | +5.10% |
| Quinn McCaffrey | 2025 | 22:09.061 race | 23:19.001 race | +5.26% |
| Rhaya Nestor | 2025 | 23:30.851 race | 24:53.001 race | +5.82% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 17:47.911 race | 19:08.001 race | +7.50% |
| Alan Wang | 2025 | 23:06.391 race | 24:57.001 race | +7.98% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 16:06.151 race | 17:41.001 race | +9.82% |
| Rinto Nakazawa | 2025 | 22:33.471 race | 26:18.001 race | +16.59% |