Pairwise course analysis
LA 5K Coursevs.Highland Park Championship Course
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Highland Park Championship Course runs faster
-5.86%
Roughly 1:10 faster for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
34
Developing evidence
Median difference
-1.18%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
-5.86%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.60%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Confidence interval
-3.31% to -0.35%
Scale shown
-6% to +6%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | LA 5K Course | Highland Park Championship Course | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinto Nakazawa | 2025 | 26:18.001 race | 22:33.471 race | -14.23% |
| Jason Minicozzi | 2025 | 17:41.001 race | 16:06.151 race | -8.94% |
| Alan Wang | 2025 | 24:57.001 race | 23:06.391 race | -7.39% |
| Sam Blank | 2025 | 19:08.001 race | 17:47.911 race | -6.98% |
| Rhaya Nestor | 2025 | 24:53.001 race | 23:30.851 race | -5.50% |
| Quinn McCaffrey | 2025 | 23:19.001 race | 22:09.061 race | -5.00% |
| Kendra Snell | 2025 | 22:03.001 race | 20:58.861 race | -4.85% |
| Talia Frieze | 2025 | 27:17.001 race | 25:59.491 race | -4.73% |
| Caleb Stokes | 2025 | 23:27.001 race | 22:28.921 race | -4.13% |
| Charles Broderick | 2025 | 21:45.001 race | 20:52.731 race | -4.01% |
| Myda Gilani | 2025 | 27:42.001 race | 26:47.881 race | -3.26% |
| Violet Safari | 2025 | 23:56.001 race | 23:11.991 race | -3.06% |
| Kate Tarr | 2025 | 21:16.001 race | 20:44.171 race | -2.49% |
| Justin Lin | 2025 | 21:53.001 race | 21:23.071 race | -2.28% |
| Olivia Standish | 2025 | 23:15.001 race | 22:47.051 race | -2.00% |
| Dash Claflin | 2025 | 18:11.001 race | 17:51.201 race | -1.81% |
| Maya Kapasi | 2025 | 27:32.001 race | 27:07.661 race | -1.47% |
| Angelina Ha | 2025 | 22:07.001 race | 21:55.281 race | -0.88% |
| Sanjay Ravindran | 2025 | 22:06.001 race | 21:57.861 race | -0.61% |
| Nicole Fallon | 2025 | 22:49.001 race | 22:43.021 race | -0.44% |
| Alana Brownstein | 2025 | 25:34.001 race | 25:29.951 race | -0.26% |
| Quincy Treisman | 2025 | 24:02.001 race | 23:58.211 race | -0.26% |
| Colby Crawford | 2025 | 19:23.001 race | 19:23.181 race | +0.02% |
| Anna Clark | 2025 | 23:24.001 race | 23:24.441 race | +0.03% |
| Isla Scott | 2025 | 22:43.001 race | 22:44.151 race | +0.08% |
| Rachel Bueker | 2025 | 25:26.001 race | 25:31.991 race | +0.39% |
| Anya Shah | 2025 | 25:37.001 race | 25:44.331 race | +0.48% |
| Keira Amick | 2025 | 26:02.001 race | 26:11.491 race | +0.61% |
| Lucas Miller | 2025 | 18:52.001 race | 19:00.161 race | +0.72% |
| Cameron Regonini | 2025 | 21:52.001 race | 22:03.211 race | +0.85% |
| Myles McCusker | 2025 | 20:41.001 race | 21:01.611 race | +1.66% |
| Eloise Finley | 2025 | 24:53.001 race | 25:44.461 race | +3.45% |
| Emmett Kellogg | 2025 | 26:03.001 race | 27:28.451 race | +5.47% |
| George Yerid | 2025 | 23:17.001 race | 25:57.351 race | +11.48% |