Pairwise course analysis
Washington Park 5K Coursevs.Milton Standard 5K
Based on runners who competed on both courses during the same season. Positive values mean the second course ran slower; negative values mean it ran faster.
Model verdict
Milton Standard 5K runs slower
+0.59%
Roughly 7.1 seconds slower for a 20:00 runner
Paired observations
233
Deep evidence
Median difference
-0.05%
Middle runner-season comparison
Overall estimate
+0.59%
Network-adjusted course estimate
Middle 50% range
+4.78%
Observed variation (IQR)
Direction and magnitude
Relative course speed
Milton Standard 5K fasterEvenMilton Standard 5K slower
Confidence interval
-0.87% to +0.19%
Scale shown
-5% to +5%
Course context
The two courses
Underlying runner comparisons
Same-season evidence
Each row represents one runner-season with valid results on both courses. Median performances reduce the effect of one unusually good or poor race. JV and varsity results are included.
| Runner | Season | Washington Park 5K Course | Milton Standard 5K | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Eldaief | 2022 | 23:57.501 race | 20:48.001 race | -13.18% |
| Brady Gomez | 2025 | 29:02.001 race | 25:51.001 race | -10.96% |
| Linda Wang | 2025 | 32:18.001 race | 29:15.001 race | -9.44% |
| Haewon Kim | 2025 | 34:50.001 race | 31:39.001 race | -9.14% |
| Vincent Mezzanotte | 2023 | 21:58.001 race | 20:02.001 race | -8.80% |
| Jack Kastner | 2023 | 22:09.001 race | 20:13.001 race | -8.73% |
| Aila McEnroe | 2019 | 30:04.002 races | 27:29.001 race | -8.59% |
| Peyton Lubeck | 2023 | 22:21.001 race | 20:29.001 race | -8.35% |
| A Lontoc | 2023 | 24:43.001 race | 22:42.001 race | -8.16% |
| Alexander Zhao | 2025 | 24:03.001 race | 22:22.001 race | -7.00% |
| Adrian Tan | 2023 | 28:03.001 race | 26:08.001 race | -6.83% |
| Allis Seifer | 2025 | 31:58.001 race | 29:51.001 race | -6.62% |
| Daniel Chow | 2025 | 31:22.001 race | 29:18.001 race | -6.59% |
| Davis Woolbert | 2023 | 19:11.001 race | 17:56.001 race | -6.52% |
| Andrew Bittner | 2023 | 21:57.001 race | 20:34.001 race | -6.30% |
| Ethan Gu | 2025 | 21:53.001 race | 20:31.001 race | -6.25% |
| Tobias Jonas | 2023 | 24:36.001 race | 23:05.001 race | -6.17% |
| Mark Price | 2023 | 24:42.001 race | 23:12.001 race | -6.07% |
| Pablo Paxtor | 2023 | 19:56.003 races | 18:44.001 race | -6.02% |
| Nick Noon | 2025 | 27:37.001 race | 26:00.001 race | -5.85% |
| George Carroll | 2023 | 20:51.001 race | 19:38.001 race | -5.84% |
| Jax Tran | 2025 | 22:01.001 race | 20:44.001 race | -5.83% |
| Andy Chen | 2024 | 22:33.001 race | 21:17.001 race | -5.62% |
| Julian Barber | 2025 | 20:51.001 race | 19:46.001 race | -5.20% |
| Fitz Courtney | 2023 | 18:30.001 race | 17:34.001 race | -5.05% |
| Claire Choe | 2021 | 22:48.001 race | 21:40.003 races | -4.97% |
| Annie Husband | 2024 | 25:45.001 race | 24:31.001 race | -4.79% |
| Yamin Ibrahim | 2023 | 19:49.001 race | 18:53.001 race | -4.71% |
| Alexandre White | 2023 | 22:17.001 race | 21:19.001 race | -4.34% |
| Carver Porter | 2023 | 20:26.001 race | 19:34.001 race | -4.24% |
| Evi Robb | 2023 | 25:19.002 races | 24:15.001 race | -4.21% |
| Alexander Behn | 2023 | 20:13.001 race | 19:22.001 race | -4.20% |
| Jennifer Li | 2022 | 29:06.301 race | 27:53.002 races | -4.20% |
| Katie Wipf | 2021 | 22:23.001 race | 21:27.001 race | -4.17% |
| Omar Hamoda | 2021 | 22:33.001 race | 21:37.002 races | -4.14% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 2023 | 17:12.002 races | 16:30.001 race | -4.07% |
| Mia McLean | 2021 | 23:13.001 race | 22:17.001 race | -4.02% |
| Nathaniel Voss | 2023 | 18:26.001 race | 17:43.001 race | -3.89% |
| William Achtmeyer | 2023 | 21:38.001 race | 20:48.001 race | -3.85% |
| Celine Ding | 2025 | 27:29.001 race | 26:26.001 race | -3.82% |
| Casey Coleman | 2025 | 20:59.001 race | 20:11.001 race | -3.81% |
| Somers Estwanik | 2023 | 22:39.001 race | 21:49.001 race | -3.68% |
| Maddie Stearns | 2021 | 23:11.001 race | 22:21.001 race | -3.59% |
| Nick Proudlove | 2023 | 21:15.102 races | 20:30.001 race | -3.54% |
| Angela Huffer | 2025 | 22:43.001 race | 21:55.001 race | -3.52% |
| Chloe Clifford | 2021 | 21:39.001 race | 20:54.001 race | -3.46% |
| Kevin Farmer | 2022 | 20:13.201 race | 19:33.002 races | -3.31% |
| Eloise Daniello | 2021 | 23:41.001 race | 22:54.001 race | -3.31% |
| Kylee Bolding | 2024 | 24:20.001 race | 23:32.001 race | -3.29% |
| Sofia Mraz | 2021 | 25:17.001 race | 24:29.001 race | -3.16% |
| Eita Fuse | 2023 | 18:05.001 race | 17:31.001 race | -3.13% |
| Alyssa Ho | 2023 | 25:51.401 race | 25:05.001 race | -2.99% |
| Cate Corbett | 2025 | 21:44.001 race | 21:05.001 race | -2.99% |
| Julia Torrey | 2022 | 23:10.801 race | 22:30.004 races | -2.93% |
| Gratian Ting | 2022 | 21:36.801 race | 20:59.002 races | -2.91% |
| Rhett Curtis | 2023 | 22:25.001 race | 21:47.001 race | -2.83% |
| Chase Phillips | 2025 | 19:33.001 race | 19:00.001 race | -2.81% |
| Megan Corry | 2021 | 23:19.001 race | 22:40.001 race | -2.79% |
| Alec Hamblet | 2021 | 25:18.001 race | 24:36.002 races | -2.77% |
| Matthew Abati | 2022 | 20:07.501 race | 19:35.002 races | -2.69% |
| Alitza Soiffer | 2021 | 27:30.001 race | 26:48.001 race | -2.55% |
| Claire Choe | 2022 | 21:10.801 race | 20:39.004 races | -2.50% |
| Lawrence Chen | 2025 | 27:53.001 race | 27:15.001 race | -2.27% |
| Brooke Hansen | 2021 | 22:58.001 race | 22:28.001 race | -2.18% |
| Victoria Fawcett | 2021 | 19:38.001 race | 19:13.002 races | -2.12% |
| Robert Sou | 2025 | 20:30.001 race | 20:04.001 race | -2.11% |
| Ellie Sullivan | 2021 | 28:40.001 race | 28:04.002 races | -2.09% |
| Andrew Rodriguez | 2022 | 22:49.201 race | 22:22.001 race | -1.99% |
| Mae Lial | 2023 | 23:50.001 race | 23:22.001 race | -1.96% |
| Jacob (Coby) Mulliken | 2022 | 19:59.101 race | 19:36.001 race | -1.93% |
| Calvin Pagan | 2023 | 22:39.001 race | 22:13.001 race | -1.91% |
| Van Crocker | 2023 | 21:09.001 race | 20:45.001 race | -1.89% |
| Duncan Kilbride | 2023 | 21:13.001 race | 20:49.001 race | -1.89% |
| Anika Ata | 2025 | 22:10.001 race | 21:45.001 race | -1.88% |
| Miles Sandoski | 2023 | 18:02.001 race | 17:42.001 race | -1.85% |
| Caitlin Fitzgerald | 2021 | 23:34.001 race | 23:08.001 race | -1.84% |
| Juan-Pablo Fernandez Del Castillo | 2023 | 21:14.001 race | 20:51.001 race | -1.81% |
| Aston Chan | 2021 | 18:46.001 race | 18:26.003 races | -1.78% |
| Stella Pham | 2025 | 26:25.001 race | 25:57.001 race | -1.77% |
| Jessica Wu | 2025 | 28:09.001 race | 27:40.001 race | -1.72% |
| Benjamin Hebbel | 2023 | 17:45.003 races | 17:27.001 race | -1.69% |
| Vincent Gilbert | 2025 | 21:40.001 race | 21:19.001 race | -1.62% |
| James Good | 2021 | 20:42.001 race | 20:22.002 races | -1.61% |
| Elliot Smith | 2021 | 20:57.001 race | 20:37.001 race | -1.59% |
| Owen Richer | 2023 | 18:54.001 race | 18:36.001 race | -1.59% |
| Kirsten Ting | 2021 | 32:33.001 race | 32:02.002 races | -1.59% |
| Caroline Stilwell | 2025 | 24:13.001 race | 23:51.001 race | -1.51% |
| Michaela Ocko | 2022 | 24:13.701 race | 23:52.002 races | -1.49% |
| Sunny Qian | 2025 | 20:16.001 race | 19:58.001 race | -1.48% |
| Presley Bruno | 2025 | 25:16.001 race | 24:55.001 race | -1.39% |
| Alexa Burton | 2022 | 21:57.201 race | 21:39.003 races | -1.38% |
| Thomas Strong | 2022 | 19:58.501 race | 19:42.001 race | -1.38% |
| Marvelous Ugwu | 2025 | 24:14.001 race | 23:54.001 race | -1.38% |
| Allan Lu | 2025 | 24:15.001 race | 23:55.001 race | -1.37% |
| Kiernan Patel | 2025 | 22:05.001 race | 21:48.001 race | -1.28% |
| Ryan Growney | 2023 | 19:32.001 race | 19:17.001 race | -1.28% |
| Calvin Cochran | 2019 | 20:02.002 races | 19:48.001 race | -1.16% |
| Jerry Sang | 2019 | 25:35.001 race | 25:19.001 race | -1.04% |
| Jackson Pagan | 2023 | 19:43.001 race | 19:31.001 race | -1.01% |
| Kevin Weldon | 2023 | 22:21.001 race | 22:09.001 race | -0.89% |
| Kayla Clifford | 2019 | 25:22.003 races | 25:09.001 race | -0.85% |
| Izzy Cheney | 2019 | 22:40.003 races | 22:29.001 race | -0.81% |
| Ryan Wei | 2021 | 18:09.001 race | 18:02.003 races | -0.64% |
| Meredith Monnich | 2022 | 23:42.201 race | 23:34.004 races | -0.58% |
| South Fulwiler | 2024 | 24:21.001 race | 24:13.001 race | -0.55% |
| Alex Beys | 2025 | 21:52.001 race | 21:46.001 race | -0.46% |
| Shiloh Liu | 2021 | 33:08.001 race | 32:59.001 race | -0.45% |
| Kylee Bolding | 2023 | 24:46.001 race | 24:40.001 race | -0.40% |
| Anthony Coston | 2022 | 21:57.901 race | 21:53.001 race | -0.37% |
| Jack Butterworth | 2022 | 22:13.801 race | 22:09.002 races | -0.36% |
| Meg Dugan | 2021 | 22:10.001 race | 22:06.001 race | -0.30% |
| Emily Williams | 2021 | 25:24.001 race | 25:20.001 race | -0.26% |
| Jason Louie | 2022 | 19:57.701 race | 19:55.002 races | -0.23% |
| Charles Jackivicz | 2023 | 18:03.003 races | 18:02.001 race | -0.09% |
| Cassidy Bruno | 2025 | 20:11.001 race | 20:10.001 race | -0.08% |
| Jude Hebb | 2025 | 20:12.001 race | 20:11.001 race | -0.08% |
| Kailin Shi | 2022 | 22:31.701 race | 22:31.004 races | -0.05% |
| Theo Martin | 2025 | 21:42.001 race | 21:42.001 race | 0.00% |
| Steve Ma | 2025 | 22:10.001 race | 22:10.001 race | 0.00% |
| Stella Curwin-Amfitheatrof | 2025 | 19:15.001 race | 19:15.001 race | 0.00% |
| Akshaya Sundraraj | 2021 | 33:47.001 race | 33:47.002 races | 0.00% |
| Alexander Kirby | 2022 | 21:31.201 race | 21:32.001 race | +0.06% |
| Grant Vensel | 2023 | 21:16.001 race | 21:17.001 race | +0.08% |
| Evan Zhang | 2022 | 20:56.501 race | 20:58.002 races | +0.12% |
| Dylan Fu | 2025 | 19:44.001 race | 19:46.001 race | +0.17% |
| Catherine Maloney | 2024 | 26:48.001 race | 26:51.001 race | +0.19% |
| Torey Mathews | 2022 | 23:53.101 race | 23:56.004 races | +0.20% |
| Kathaiana Ifill | 2022 | 27:15.701 race | 27:20.004 races | +0.26% |
| Matthew Abati | 2021 | 20:32.001 race | 20:36.002 races | +0.32% |
| Noah Divon | 2023 | 22:00.003 races | 22:05.001 race | +0.38% |
| Po-Tao Hsueh | 2022 | 21:40.601 race | 21:47.002 races | +0.49% |
| Peyton Lubeck | 2024 | 20:06.001 race | 20:12.001 race | +0.50% |
| Terry Qi | 2025 | 19:11.001 race | 19:17.001 race | +0.52% |
| Miles Johnson | 2024 | 25:18.001 race | 25:26.001 race | +0.53% |
| Connor Steele | 2021 | 18:57.001 race | 19:03.003 races | +0.53% |
| James Oldershaw | 2024 | 21:19.001 race | 21:26.001 race | +0.55% |
| Harrison Huang | 2025 | 29:03.001 race | 29:13.001 race | +0.57% |
| Nicolas Huaco | 2023 | 17:18.003 races | 17:24.001 race | +0.58% |
| John Pena | 2023 | 22:50.001 race | 22:58.001 race | +0.58% |
| Alexei Liska | 2025 | 21:51.001 race | 21:59.001 race | +0.61% |
| Thomas Strong | 2021 | 20:15.001 race | 20:23.002 races | +0.66% |
| Alex DeChiara | 2025 | 21:20.001 race | 21:29.001 race | +0.70% |
| Maksim Roman | 2023 | 18:55.001 race | 19:03.001 race | +0.70% |
| Immy Serifovic | 2021 | 23:04.001 race | 23:14.002 races | +0.72% |
| Brian Xi | 2021 | 20:16.001 race | 20:25.001 race | +0.74% |
| Ching Hei (Andre) Leung | 2022 | 23:23.301 race | 23:34.002 races | +0.76% |
| Teddy Ellis | 2021 | 18:53.001 race | 19:02.003 races | +0.79% |
| Nathan Anderson | 2019 | 18:10.003 races | 18:19.001 race | +0.83% |
| Ellie Gable | 2019 | 25:01.002 races | 25:14.001 race | +0.87% |
| Louis Chiasson | 2022 | 20:28.001 race | 20:40.002 races | +0.98% |
| Dion Cheung | 2022 | 26:58.301 race | 27:15.004 races | +1.03% |
| Torey Mathews | 2021 | 25:24.001 race | 25:40.002 races | +1.05% |
| William Trautz | 2023 | 17:21.001 race | 17:32.001 race | +1.06% |
| Sam Dunn | 2021 | 18:52.001 race | 19:04.002 races | +1.06% |
| Ana Quijano | 2023 | 25:54.501 race | 26:11.001 race | +1.06% |
| Ryan Shue | 2021 | 20:54.001 race | 21:08.002 races | +1.12% |
| Serhii Malevych | 2022 | 23:07.501 race | 23:23.002 races | +1.12% |
| Alitza Soiffer | 2022 | 26:07.001 race | 26:26.004 races | +1.21% |
| Will Husband | 2024 | 17:48.001 race | 18:01.001 race | +1.22% |
| Natalie Williamson | 2022 | 20:44.801 race | 21:01.003 races | +1.30% |
| Sophia Hansen | 2021 | 23:02.001 race | 23:20.001 race | +1.30% |
| Luke Peabody | 2023 | 19:01.003 races | 19:16.001 race | +1.31% |
| Masan Porter | 2022 | 21:43.201 race | 22:01.004 races | +1.37% |
| Louis Chiasson | 2021 | 20:14.001 race | 20:31.003 races | +1.40% |
| Kai On (Jason) Yu | 2021 | 20:12.001 race | 20:30.002 races | +1.49% |
| Eric Liu | 2023 | 21:48.003 races | 22:08.001 race | +1.53% |
| Ian Schmidek | 2023 | 23:57.001 race | 24:19.001 race | +1.53% |
| Zidan Graham | 2022 | 23:26.301 race | 23:49.002 races | +1.61% |
| Lily Manley | 2019 | 24:43.003 races | 25:07.001 race | +1.62% |
| Alexander Cesaretti | 2021 | 20:09.001 race | 20:29.002 races | +1.65% |
| Andy Chen | 2023 | 22:22.001 race | 22:45.001 race | +1.71% |
| Elizabeth De Ramel | 2022 | 25:31.401 race | 25:58.002 races | +1.74% |
| Kailin Shi | 2021 | 23:47.001 race | 24:12.003 races | +1.75% |
| Grant Vensel | 2024 | 19:49.001 race | 20:11.001 race | +1.85% |
| Drew Kirk | 2019 | 18:34.002 races | 18:55.001 race | +1.89% |
| Grace Martin | 2019 | 24:03.002 races | 24:31.001 race | +1.94% |
| Myles Ndiritu | 2021 | 22:43.001 race | 23:10.002 races | +1.98% |
| Mahiro Yamikawa | 2019 | 17:12.003 races | 17:33.001 race | +2.03% |
| Sam Poulin | 2019 | 19:05.003 races | 19:29.001 race | +2.10% |
| Yaman Habip | 2021 | 18:58.001 race | 19:22.002 races | +2.11% |
| Dung Pham | 2019 | 23:23.002 races | 23:53.001 race | +2.14% |
| Zach Rogers | 2019 | 18:40.003 races | 19:04.001 race | +2.14% |
| Bart Lojanarungsiri | 2019 | 22:23.002 races | 22:52.001 race | +2.16% |
| Natalie Williamson | 2021 | 20:08.001 race | 20:35.003 races | +2.24% |
| Eleanor Lial | 2024 | 20:07.001 race | 20:34.001 race | +2.24% |
| Somers Estwanik | 2024 | 21:59.001 race | 22:29.001 race | +2.27% |
| Gabriel (Gabby) Guerrero | 2021 | 17:34.001 race | 17:58.003 races | +2.28% |
| Molly Sheehan | 2022 | 22:00.801 race | 22:31.004 races | +2.29% |
| Peter Duhamel | 2024 | 18:07.001 race | 18:32.001 race | +2.30% |
| Kevin Farmer | 2021 | 21:03.001 race | 21:33.002 races | +2.38% |
| Neela Soni | 2024 | 27:20.001 race | 28:02.001 race | +2.56% |
| Brady Payne | 2021 | 22:35.001 race | 23:10.001 race | +2.58% |
| Emma Rose Zilla | 2022 | 25:26.401 race | 26:07.004 races | +2.66% |
| Lucy Walker | 2024 | 21:46.001 race | 22:21.001 race | +2.68% |
| Sebastien Amor | 2025 | 17:32.001 race | 18:02.001 race | +2.85% |
| Evan Ning | 2021 | 22:47.001 race | 23:29.002 races | +3.07% |
| Alexa Burton | 2021 | 22:52.001 race | 23:35.002 races | +3.13% |
| Anna Mulliken | 2022 | 26:43.201 race | 27:34.003 races | +3.17% |
| Julia Torrey | 2021 | 21:47.001 race | 22:29.003 races | +3.21% |
| James McCarron III | 2023 | 17:03.001 race | 17:36.001 race | +3.23% |
| Jack Hutchison | 2019 | 17:34.003 races | 18:09.001 race | +3.32% |
| Jack Burton | 2021 | 19:29.001 race | 20:08.002 races | +3.34% |
| Percy Gao | 2024 | 19:56.001 race | 20:36.001 race | +3.34% |
| Peter Duhamel | 2023 | 18:58.001 race | 19:37.001 race | +3.43% |
| Evan Zhang | 2021 | 19:51.001 race | 20:33.002 races | +3.53% |
| Ruby Tsai | 2021 | 24:25.001 race | 25:18.002 races | +3.62% |
| Andrew Mottur | 2019 | 16:49.003 races | 17:28.001 race | +3.87% |
| Daghan Konur | 2025 | 19:58.001 race | 20:45.001 race | +3.92% |
| Maggie Xu | 2019 | 29:03.003 races | 30:12.001 race | +3.96% |
| Abdel Barakat | 2019 | 18:32.003 races | 19:20.001 race | +4.32% |
| Zach Quintal | 2024 | 19:24.001 race | 20:16.001 race | +4.47% |
| Emilia Raviola | 2022 | 24:12.801 race | 25:21.003 races | +4.69% |
| Gratian Ting | 2021 | 23:44.001 race | 24:55.002 races | +4.99% |
| Zoe Campbell | 2022 | 20:48.301 race | 21:51.003 races | +5.02% |
| Isabelle Ocko | 2022 | 24:21.501 race | 25:36.003 races | +5.10% |
| Alex Szynal | 2019 | 26:34.002 races | 27:56.001 race | +5.14% |
| Howard Wu | 2024 | 24:04.001 race | 25:19.001 race | +5.19% |
| Robinson Noble | 2021 | 23:05.001 race | 24:18.002 races | +5.27% |
| Ross Stewart | 2019 | 18:14.003 races | 19:12.001 race | +5.30% |
| Harper Weng | 2019 | 30:51.002 races | 32:32.001 race | +5.46% |
| Brewster Worth | 2024 | 22:02.001 race | 23:19.001 race | +5.82% |
| Sofia Mraz | 2022 | 24:43.801 race | 26:20.003 races | +6.48% |
| Harry Wu | 2024 | 20:57.001 race | 22:20.001 race | +6.60% |
| Elizabeth Pener | 2022 | 24:43.101 race | 26:22.003 races | +6.67% |
| Lucia Zinny | 2021 | 23:57.001 race | 25:36.001 race | +6.89% |
| Ethan Sweeney | 2019 | 17:53.003 races | 19:12.001 race | +7.36% |
| Isabel Pavloniss | 2021 | 28:40.001 race | 31:10.001 race | +8.72% |
| Lauren Torres-Rivera | 2019 | 30:38.002 races | 33:19.001 race | +8.76% |
| Andrew Rodriguez | 2021 | 21:42.001 race | 23:50.001 race | +9.83% |
| Annie Husband | 2023 | 24:49.001 race | 28:13.001 race | +13.70% |
| Samantha Brooks | 2023 | 25:31.001 race | 29:09.001 race | +14.24% |
| Victor Xu | 2021 | 22:46.001 race | 26:05.001 race | +14.57% |
| Owen Richer | 2024 | 17:49.001 race | 20:44.001 race | +16.37% |